You are viewing the chat in desktop mode. Click here to switch to mobile view.
X
FanGraphs Arizona Fall League Championship Chat
powered byJotCast
Prev Page View Full Chat Next Page
Kate
4:10
I know you don't spend a bunch of time looking at / thinking about other outlets' work, but it feels like other people / places seem to be down on Kevin Alcantara and I can't really figure out why other than prospect fatigue?  Like we always knew this was a guy with big tools and hit tool risk who would probably need an adjustment period.  Doesn't seem like anything has changed, still major ceiling and obviously a lot of bust potential, but none of that is new.  He's just closer now which should be considered a plus.
Eric A Longenhagen
4:11
I could see moving off of him if you think his inability to remedy his warts so far is an indication that he won't ever be able to. In my view he's still super young and exactly the kind of athlete who takes until deep in his twenties to do he things I'm optimistic he'll still do.
His risk is effectively baked into his FV in my mind, his ceiling is bigger than a 50 if everything clicks for him.
4:12
I think it's fine for folks to draw different conclusions because it helps the readers know there's disagreement. That's way better than us all herding toward the same forecasts for whatever reason.
Scotty
4:12
Tell Meg we all say hello
Eric A Longenhagen
4:12
She says hey, the anthem was 1:31
4:13
She put a conservative 60 on the anthem
I thought it was better than that
Some of Surprise's lineup depth evident here bottom 2
leads to nothing, however
Kate
4:14
Not a prospect, but do you think either of Tyler Freeman or Austin Martin can get to enough pop to be viable everyday guys? Or do they both fall back into part-time roles once rosters improve around them?
Eric A Longenhagen
4:14
The latter
Troy
4:14
Does Jonny Farmelo look healthy, athletic, good sprint speeds and exit velos in AFL? I feel like at this point that is more important that stat lines
Eric A Longenhagen
4:14
He does, he's moving.
A Fan of Graphs
4:14
Are you excited about the ABS? I know everyone has an opinion on catcher framing potentially becoming less valuable but we will gain the pass/fail challenge stat. Some of these players are pretty bad at challenging success rate.
Eric A Longenhagen
4:16
The challenge system is going to be a beautiful revelation that takes baseball fandom to a new level. It'll nuance without costing us framing. It'll be ripe for many kinds of analysis (macro strategies and situations, and micro player and umpire stats) and make more people aware of the way the parties involved socialize throughout the game
We'll get Felix Neons etc
4:17
For those just joining, we're watching the AFL Championship game here: Live Streams | Arizona Fall League | MLB.com
Squirtle
4:18
Is it a problem that Edward Florentino needs a high BABIP to hit .260 in A-ball? Strange that he had such a high contact rate and low average
Eric A Longenhagen
4:18
Tough environment for hitters on that coast of Florida
it's part of it, maybe not all
Brian Cashman
4:18
I was surprised you mentioned Allen Facundo as a guy to protect. He hasn't pitched above A-ball and is projected to start in High-A. Does that really warrant a 40-man spot?
Eric A Longenhagen
4:18
I write about why in the piece
and there's video
4:19
he might just be a reliever anyway, you're not hamstringing his delveopment if you pop him in the rule 5, you might be getting a set-up man lefty who has touched 100 and has a nasty slider.
They have the space for him, etc.
High Knee Lift
4:20
Jake Bennett - nice stats. Thoughts?
Eric A Longenhagen
4:21
on the 45/50 FV line. Loose lefty with a good changeup, feel for location has been a little less precise than I wanted it to be out here, breaking ball is just okay, monster extension. To call him Hamels or lefty Doug Fister would be way too much but strike-thrwoing lefties with cambios are good.
Austin Gauthier
4:22
Does anyone take a shot on him in the rule 5? Nice versatility and batting eye for a bench piece.
Eric A Longenhagen
4:22
Position players who get popped in Rule 5 almost always fill a very specific roster need for the team. There are so many guys with roughly the same amount of talent that fit becomes the thing that gets the Reds to add yet another 2B or whatever.
Chauncey Billups
4:23
Who has the highest ceiling between Daniel Eagen, Jonathan Santucci, Ty Johnson, and Brody Hopkins?
Eric A Longenhagen
4:23
Hopkins
Johnson the highest floor
The surprise lineup is bookended by guys with real speed today
SalisburySteak
4:25
any thoughts on Roccaforte? Does he have a role on an MLB roster or is he just org depth? Thanks
Eric A Longenhagen
4:25
Wasn't on him before the draft but has looked good enough for me to put him in a liminal space. He'll be reviewed when we do the Royals list, I didn't get enough of a feel for him here to give you a grade off the top of my head.
Lowe Distribution System
4:26
Has Ethan Anderson convinced you one way or the other on whether he's a major league catcher?
Jim
4:26
Uberstine didn't make your 40-man crunch list for the red sox, although he had a solid year in AAA. Are you completely out on him or just too much red sox pitching?
Eric A Longenhagen
4:26
Not really, lefty swing is really long.
4:27
Uberstine: the latter
Connecting…