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FanGraphs Day 1 Mega Draft Night Chat
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Eric A Longenhagen
6:57
Good evening, chat. It's draft night number one. Hope everyone is ready to engage with a Major League Baseball thing, I'm quite excited.
6:59
Here's a list of the chainsaws I'm juggling tonight:
-chat
-sourcing picks and rumors from draft rooms and tweeting them
-updating the draft portion of the board with team/pick# in the "Trend" column
-Maybe sliding players onto their drafted team's prospect list on the pro side of The Board
7:00
You should assume, if I'm not engaging here for a little stretch, that I'm doing one of those other things
7:01
Let's do some questions before the Tigers go on the clock
Daniel
7:01
Dream scenario for Mariners at 6?
Eric A Longenhagen
7:01
Baltimore cutting a deal at 2 and someone they like more than Hancock falling to them.
Matt
7:02
What are the odds bitsko goes to UVA
Eric A Longenhagen
7:02
Non-zero, but I think someone will do pay him.
JD
7:03
Texas is taking Sabato at 14. I assume it’s underslot for a good amount. Who are we connected to at 50 then maybe overslot? I saw possibly Jake Vogel
Eric A Longenhagen
7:03
I don't think it'll be much under slot, if at all. Sabato has other homes in the teens. I have no names attached to them later.
Jorge
7:03
Crochet is mocked to CWS by you/Kiley/Pipeline. That seems like a change in philosophy, no? Still college but much riskier than past few years in 1st round.
Eric A Longenhagen
7:03
It does and, remember, new scouting director there.
MB
7:05
Does the fact that this is a five-round draft with lots players available as free agents afterwards make Houston’s draft-related sign-stealing penalty more severe, less severe, or equally severe as it would be in a year with a normal draft?
Eric A Longenhagen
7:06
More severe. Not only do they have less flexibility and room for creativity than they would have with more picks and more pool space to play with, but it might be harder to recruit players given the bad PR from the sign stealing. They're certainly among the best orgs at player dev, and that's a point in their favor for signing 20k guys, but their system is also loaded with arms so I don't know how many 20k guys represent upgrades.
Billy G
7:06
I've known THE BOARD was great, but didn't know the full extent until recently. I've been playing around with some of the data and it's awesome. As an A's fan, it's a little alarming to see how concentrated the farm is top heavy and old their system is, especially considering their minor leaguer pay faux pas. Will the team be able to infuse the minors with talent or can they survive if some of these players (Beck, Davidson, Buelvas, Puason) to hit?
Eric A Longenhagen
7:08
People with other teams think, unless OAK is the only team interested in you, post-draft 20k guys will look to go elsewhere in response to OAK's initial decision not to pay minor leaguers
Billy G
7:10
I truly don't get why Ed Howard seems to be falling, or at least have a very large range, for someone who seems guaranteed to stick at short and is signable. What gives? Is it really just about not seeing him this spring?
Eric A Longenhagen
7:10
Yes. Some teams had arm strength concerns last summer but that's so minor.
seth r
7:11
any chance max meyer slips to the Reds?
Eric A Longenhagen
7:11
nada, he wouldn't get past SD
7:13
Sounds like DET might announce Tork as a 3B
7:17
People picking behind Baltimore think they're cutting underslot
7:21
Max Meyer 3. Now where does Lacy go?
7:22
Some teams were worried about the medical, others are not
Guest
7:22
Whoa Baltimore
5 Run Homer
7:22
Can Tork actually play 3B?
Eric A Longenhagen
7:22
I had a 3 on his arm in high school so I don't think so. I suppose it's worth a try.
Johnny Eutaw
7:25
How far underslot does the Kjerstad deal have to be for that pick to end up not looking bad?
Eric A Longenhagen
7:25
If he signs for $4.5 mil it's strong
Especially if they clean up at 30 and 39
BG
7:25
Roughly how many texts will you send today to Kiley and Keith? If I set the line at 140.5, you going O/U?
Eric A Longenhagen
7:26
Kiley and I used to spend 10 straight hours on the phone today. Wished him luck briefly this am.
Cory
7:29
How nice is it to have something else to dedicate some of your attention to?
Eric A Longenhagen
7:30
really nice
Matthew
7:30
Is Meyer an underslot as well? Are more teams doing them because they don’t have much scouting
Eric A Longenhagen
7:31
Can't see him being under slot, he had homes all over the next several picks, what incentive does the advisor have to agree to under?
7:33
Hearing Austin Martin to Jays but people seem less sure than previous picks....
mrkevinschwarz
7:37
The lineup for Toronto is going to be awesome
Pumpsie
7:37
Can Martin start in CF in the majors next year?
Eric A Longenhagen
7:38
We just don't know yet. Didn't really have a chance to see him play there after coach Corbin moved him because of the pandemic
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