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Fantasy Baseball Chat With Jeff Zimmerman
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Jeff Zimmerman
11:03
Hello
11:05
It's finally nice to get a bit of free agent move with Ray and Smyly signing deals
S
11:06
Do you know how projection systems are handling the shortened season? I imagine they have to be using some cross validation techniques but can’t seem to find anything speaking specifically to this point.
Jeff Zimmerman
11:07
Most weigh each season by PA and a of total. For example, it might be 50% previous, 30% two years back and 20% from three years.
11:09
For a normal three seasons, it might by 40 HR, 20 HR, 20 HR with 600 PA's for a projection of 30 HR.
11:11
Now assume 13 HR (200 PA) and the 20 for the other two season (600 PA). The projection is weighted to the 20's and would be not be all the way to 30 this time.
Devil Ray Jay Johnson
11:11
Chances of a Civale breakout?
Jeff Zimmerman
11:12
Good
11:13
He fell apart late, but all the pieces are there.
11:14
He improved his walk and strikeout rate while throwing a cutter more
Isolated Thinker
11:14
Generally speaking in redraft leagues, around what round do you think Chris Sale should be drafted as a DL stash?
Jeff Zimmerman
11:16
I would focus on ADP, but maybe the 18th round or so. Depending the league rules, I might take Sale and Severino on a turn because once one of the big three TJS returnees is picked, the others will go soon after that.
DynastyOwner
11:16
Is Wander the type of prospect you over pay for now, even if you’re a serious contender next year? I try to stay grounded on prospect hype, but it seems many consider him the exception the rule. I find myself want a piece of that action.
Jeff Zimmerman
11:18
I'd just pay the normal cost. I'm a little worried heal turn in to Corey Seager. Good but no steals. The guys at Rotowire just did pod talking about him and how the steals may dry up as Franco bulks up.
Devil Ray Jay Johnson
11:19
Better strategy in only leagues next year: ace + relief ace + enough cheap ratio guys to get IP minimum, or load up on decent starters (but no ace) + relief ace?
Jeff Zimmerman
11:20
I like the decent approach if possible. The problem is that SP's are getting too much inflation and aren't worth their value.
11:21
With the lack of pitching, I'm focusing more and more on them trying to find deals now.
Guest
11:21
Do you expect Clevinger to pitch an "normal" 2022 in the second year of his new contract?
Jeff Zimmerman
11:22
He'll probably be in the 140 to 160 IP range.
stepheng
11:22
Are starting pitchers going to become more stratified in terms of workload?  I'm assuming there will still be a group of elite guys who can push 200+ IP but wonder if everyone else will struggle to break 160 -170.
Jeff Zimmerman
11:23
This is a major issue going forward and applies to comment I made earlier where some some guys will be pushed up with FOMO on the mind.
11:25
It happened to me in a league last year where Paddack ended up my ace, but I leaded up on so much hitting, I cruised to a win.
Guest
11:25
A.L. Salary decisions....do I extend K Lewis by a year from $ to 10$15? Alvarez for two years from $4 to $14 and Bichette two years from 7 to $17?
Jeff Zimmerman
11:26
Yes on #1 and #3. I'm worried about Alvarez and would make the deal and see if you can trade him off.
PB&Js
11:26
I can't figure out how to peg Yandy Diaz's playing time next season. It's probably a fool's errand for any Ray, but am I wrong to thing he's one of the few lineup "regulars"?
Jeff Zimmerman
11:27
He's not close to being a regular, especially if Franco is called up. There is talk of Franco playing 3B
11:28
I think 80% is about the highest amount he could get.
The Gyrko Store Called
11:28
Will Madrigal eventually steal bases or is he strictly runs and avg/obp?
Jeff Zimmerman
11:29
I don't know, but I wouldn't count on it. I plan on drafting with 5 to 10 in mind  and any others are a bonus
Buck Farmer Only
11:30
Daniel Lynch: frontline guy, useable backend guy, future reliever, or bust?
Jeff Zimmerman
11:31
Usable backend for now. It's so tough to evaluate minor leaguers right now. I think the fantasy managers who stay on top of them will really have an advantage next year.
Guest
11:31
How do you project Jared Walsh after his impressive month of baseball in LAA?  Is he a $10 keeper in an AL only Dynasty League?
Jeff Zimmerman
11:32
I think he is good and has been for a season or two. The problem is that he has a broken Hall of Famer ahead of him on the depth chart and Ohtani filling the DH spot.
11:33
If he can get full-time at-bats, buy in immediately.
Buck Farmer Only
11:33
Keep Marco Gonzalez for last slot  if he only costs a couple bucks and you have no one else better?
Jeff Zimmerman
11:34
Sure, but be ready to release him if he struggles.
Buck Farmer Only
11:34
Best middle class AL only 1B?
Jeff Zimmerman
11:34
Tellez, Nunez
Buck Farmer Only
11:34
Will Franchy Cordero get enough playing time to draft as a $1 OF?
Jeff Zimmerman
11:36
Maybe, but I like Olivares.
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