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Fantasy Baseball Live Chat Marathon (3/25)
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Andrew Gould
7:25
I'm actually kind of concerned about him being in the rotation. He was looking nasty in a long-relief role after getting bombed in the rotation. He doesn't seem to have a starter's repertoire, so I'm more concerned about him blowing up your ratios now. As a result, I'm not moving him up significantly. Still a bench dart throw in my mind.
Mike
7:26
12 team, AL only $260 cap.  10 keepers,  Huge inflation rate for this league, 20-25%.  Most of the big boppers are kept at good value.  Franmil Reyes worth $40 here?
Andrew Gould
7:27
I don't have much experience in AL-only salary cap leagues, but you know your league better and seem to be suggesting that he would be. My only caveat is that he -- and all other UT-only eligible players -- always get undervalued in drafts. Even if you think he's a $40 player, there's a chance he may not go for that much.
Daniel
7:29
Name one player going round 3 or later that you think will return first round value.
Andrew Gould
7:30
Hmm .. Yoan Moncada. Although something is telling me Vlad or Ohtani because those are the guys I have the biggest FOMO about not drafting anywhere.
Patrick
7:30
Wish we didn't have to ask this question, but what is your strategy (this year with a longer season) with players from the same team in case of a Covid shutdown?
Andrew Gould
7:33
This is a good point that people are overlooking since society have reached a Covid fatigue. I'd keep that in mind before loading up on too many players from a single team to avoid a Marlins/Cardinals situation. It seems clear they're going to truck through the season at all costs now, but there's still a solid chance some team gets hit hard before more people get vaccinated in the summer.
Fred
7:33
Which catcher do you think will have a more productive year as a late round catcher? Elias Diaz or Omar Narvaez?
Andrew Gould
7:34
Narvaez is a sneaky "just forget 2020" mulligan pick. He batted .277, .275, and .278 in the last three years before hitting .176 in just 126 PA. He could bounce back as a decent C2.
Andy L
7:34
Who has more keeper upside Vaughan or Kelenic?
Andrew Gould
7:35
Kelenic, especially if we're talking long-term. Vaughn might make a bigger impact this season, but Kelenic could be a future superstar.
Matt Williams
7:37
Tarik Skubal or Freddy Peralta in 12 team Standard 5x5 H2H?
Andrew Gould
7:38
Leaning Skubal now that he's in the OD rotation (and as I mentioned above, Peralta scares me as a starter). Both are similar late upside picks though.
Fred
7:38
Which offense scores the most runs this year??
Andrew Gould
7:41
The homer in me wants to say Mets because their lineup doesn't get the love it deserves, but I'll go Dodgers. Health is the only thing getting in the Yankees' way, and Blue Jays are a maybe not-so-sneaky candidate.
Jamie
7:43
I am boring but I always get the job done. Like Christian Walker who nobody talks about ever! Kind of feel like he's just such a super safe pick at the end of drafts.
Andrew Gould
7:44
Hey, I have oatmeal for breakfast most mornings. Nothing wrong with taking a steady contributor who gets the job done.
Micah
7:45
Looking for DEEP sleepers for saves/holds/ratios potential middle relievers (along the lines of Bender, Bednar, etc.)...any recommendations?
Andrew Gould
7:46
Miguel Castro has had a great spring for the Mets, who may need him to play a big role with Lugo hurt and Betances/Familia both far past their prime.
cool 1
Matt Williams
7:48
Whats the best case scenario for when Zac Gallen returns to the mound?
Andrew Gould
7:49
I'm not a doctor, but I've seen 6-8 weeks as a timetable. I'm a cynic, so that makes me think 8+ weeks.
Andy L
7:49
I feel like Mancini is being undervalued. Is there any other veteran bats to target late rounds? Josh Donaldson scares me.
Andrew Gould
7:51
If you don't want Donaldson, take Justin Turner as your old 3B. Also like McCutchen, Segura, Carlos Santana, and Lorenzo Cain.
Doug
7:51
How much do you like Joc Pederson going to Wrigley? Is he worth drafting in a 5 OF standard roto ?
Andrew Gould
7:52
It could mean more playing time vs. LHP (which could mean a lower BA). He's a solid 5th OF type if you have a steady BA foundation. Or he's worthy of a higher investment in an OBP/points league.
Tim
7:54
H2H categories first 10 picks hitters/pitchers how many?
Andrew Gould
7:54
Depends on league settings, draft flow, and all that good stuff, but I tend to have 3 or 4 pitchers through 10 picks.
Guest
7:55
I'm in an H2H points league, custom scoring favoring batters. There are always mixed reviews as to who "potential breakout" or "bounceback" candidates, but they will make or break a team in my league.  Who do you think would be a player worth reaching for/avoiding at all costs? And what do you believe is the best way to assess regression; year by year avgs., advanced stats/batting metrics, etc.?
Andrew Gould
7:57
I'll be honest, I'm not a "reach at all costs" guy. Frankie Montas, Tyler Mahle, and Aaron Civale are some of my favorite breakout SP targets, but I've seen them go high enough that I'll happily pass. All of those factors you cited should factor into analyzing regression. For 2021, I'm looking more at a player's full history since 2020 was such a small sample.
Guest
7:58
Would you prefer La Stella, France or Fletcher for 2B/MI bench backup? I like that La Stella would qualify at both MI/CI slots, and Fletcher provides OF coverage too, but in H2H category 6x6 (OPS) which would provide most offensive upside across all categories?
Andrew Gould
8:00
I like all three, but also wouldn't think of either of them as an "upside" pick. I suppose France has the higher ceiling since you're paying for contact from La Stella and Fletcher. La Stella won't hit many HRs, but he could still offer a nice OPS.  So I'd probably lean La Stella.
8:01
OK, that's all folks. Thanks for talking with us all throughout the day. Good night, and let's get ready for some baseball!
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