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FantasyPros Fantasy Baseball Chat (3/2)
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Dan Harris
3:35
I prefer deGrom by a hair. If not for his lack of wins, there'd be a much bigger consensus for him as the top pitcher. I'm hoping with the additional bullpen pieces and better offense that it won't be quite a problem this year
Matthew
3:35
If healthy, do you see Kluber returning to anything close to his prior stats?
Dan Harris
3:37
Probably not his prior stats, but I don't think he needs to in order to justify rostering and contributing. Remember, he was one of the best pitchers in fantasy for a few years. But we did start seeing some issues with him even before his injury, like a slight drop in velocity, which raised some red flags even heading into 2019. So, I think the Kluber of old is gone, but I think there's a better than average chance that he can get back to being fantasy viable this year, for sure.
M. Cay
3:38
13 team, 5x5 roto. 9th pick. Looking to get Cole first. Machado or Harper with next pick? Thanks.
Dan Harris
3:39
Yeah, Cole at that spot would be great. I have Harper a few spots ahead of Machado, personally. There's just SUCH a strong baseline with Harper at this point in Philadelphia, and the quiet 15 steals he throws in are just gravy. There's a lot of variance with Machado's numbers over the last few years, and although he's still a second-rounder, you can always go with Rendon or Bregman a round later, and they aren't all that dissimilar.
John
3:39
In a categories league with a 10 innings minimum per week is the marmol draft strategy the way to go?
Dan Harris
3:41
There are very few places where I would consider Marmol, but in a categories league with that low a minimum, yeah, I think you can. I've never done it, personally. I'm very traditional when it comes to drafts. But in a categories league like that, I'm fine with it!
Heberlig
3:41
Are there any pitch mix storylines worth monitoring right now? Guys either adding pitches, or improving on existing ones?
Dan Harris
3:43
Always a fun endeavor! Yeah, I'll be writing an article on it later this month. Certainly, Marcus Stroman is someone I'm watching closely, and he looked dynamic today. He's adding a split change. I'm interested in Glasnow's and McCuller's cutters, too, as I think another pitch could greatly enhance their arsenal and performance.
Guest
3:43
Can't find much online about the Dodgers plans for Gavin Lux.  Other GMs in my league think the signing of Justin Turner is a death sentence for Lux's playing time.  I'm not so sure.  What is a reasonable expectation for Lux this year?  500ABs?  200?
Dan Harris
3:46
I mean, there's just no way to predict what the Dodgers are going to do. But, realistically, I don't think they want Chris Taylor to be their everyday second baseman, right? He's much better as a super-utility player, especially given how much rest they want to get Turner and others. A lot of it will be on his performance but I'd hope for 400-450 plate appearances and value him accordingly. Anything more is gravy
Devron
3:46
You mentioned 2B as a shallow position and noted it is critical to have a high-end starting pitcher. Are there other positions which would be considered shallow or otherwise critical for the upcoming season?
Dan Harris
3:48
Position scarcity is largely baked into rankings (as I detailed here: https://www.fantasypros.com/2021/02/position-scarcity-strategy-2021-fa...), so there's nothing you really need to focus on. I will say that in deeper leagues, OF dries up a little faster than expected, and certainly, there are perhaps a dozen reliable closers in the game. So, if you want a startable RP, keep your eyes open.
Heberlig
3:48
How does your approach to single-league drafts vary from that of your mixed-league drafts?
Dan Harris
3:49
I don't do a TON of single-league drafts these days, but the obvious shift in focus comes from position scarcity. As I mentioned in my last answer, it's barely a thing in mixed leagues, but it's a HUGE part of single-league formats. You need to pay close attention to the talent pool at the various positions in single leagues, and have your tiers set prior to drafting.
Brendan
3:49
Targets/Fades relative to typical 5x5 rankings for a 4x4 "sabr roto" league? (HR R OBP SLG for hitters and ERA WHIP K HR/9 for pitchers)
Dan Harris
3:52
Great format! For pitchers, Hyun-Jin Ryu certainly gets a bump, since we saw that his skill at limiting home runs translated even when he got to Toronto. Zack Greinke, too, who is a player I'm generally avoiding in leagues, gets a bump with HR/9 taken into account. For hitters, I give a guy like Bregman a bit of a boost, and I'd be more willing to buy back into Kris Bryant.
Thanks for all the great questions, everyone! Dad duty calls a couple of minutes early, but we'll do this again soon!
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