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Jay Jaffe FanGraphs Chat - 1/6/20
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AvatarJay Jaffe
1:42
Ichiro because he made such a huge initial impact.
Jerome
1:44
Yusmerio Petit has been a full-time reliever for the last five seasons. The highest xFIP he had was last year at 4.48. Steamer has him forecasted at 5.10 for 2020. What about his performance recently speaks to it being likely that he won't be effective moving forward?
AvatarJay Jaffe
1:46
Take the projection with a grain of salt, like every other pitching projection. Petit doesn't strike out many guys but he walks almost nobody — the kind of thing that tends to get heavily regressed in any projection — and has generally beaten his peripherals as a reliever.
Danny
1:46
I’ll try to bring this up in the comments for the crowdsource ballot, but are you familiar with this rationale for Hall voting: players who were raised in the steroid culture (Manny, A-Rod, etc.) get a “pass” for PED ties, meaning the line should be drawn at those being drafted or debuting after the start of the testing regime in the mid-aughts? This strikes me as an eminently reasonable way to turn the page.
AvatarJay Jaffe
1:47
I haven't heard that one before. What you're suggesting basically distinguishes between Latin American players and non- and I'm not sure I'm comfortable using that as my rationale when compared to the cleaner line of pre/post-2004 testing and suspensions.
1:48
Ok folks, lots of great questions today and I've already gone longer than I expected. Thanks for stopping by and let's do this again next week!
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