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Jay Jaffe FanGraphs Chat - 12/13/18
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AvatarJay Jaffe
1:55
When I was using BP WARP at a time that it had a lower replacement level than it does now, there was stronger mathematical backing for that, which is why I changed from best-five-consecutive to best-seven. What I still find even having switched "currencies" is that the more years that you add, the more you might as well be using career WAR, since the correlations converge.

The goal of defining peak, even by making a subjective choice such as seven years, is that it brings different information to the process while still reflecting the reality of an institution that has been adding players for 83 years. Seven years is something of a sweet spot there, and even if six or eight works about as well, the amount of confusion that would come with changing it offsets what could be minor gains.
Kevin
1:55
Will we ever see a unanimous Hall of Fame inductee? Who do you think has best shot if so?
AvatarJay Jaffe
1:56
1) Mariano Rivera (since he's first in line)
2) Derek Jeter (since he's next in line, and has credentials even more obvious than Mo's, justifiable resentment over his 5 Gold Gloves aside)
3) Mike Trout.
dstoetz
1:56
Jay, what do you think about Homer Bailey's involvement in the Dodgers Matt Kemp trade talks?
AvatarJay Jaffe
1:58
Swapping bad deals, but Bailey's has a lower AAV ($17.5M as opposed to $20M) which helps for tax purposes.
Whew, that chat went fast. Would love to answer more questions but my time is up here and I need to get back to eating human food. Thanks for stopping by!
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