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Jay Jaffe FanGraphs Chat - 4/19/18
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AvatarJay Jaffe
1:35
I'm sure there's good craft beer in Wisconsin, but it's not making its way to NY at a level that breaks through the local shelves, that at a time when local is particularly important again.  What are your favorite breweries from there?
Sean
1:35
Did the market undervalue Todd Frazier?
AvatarJay Jaffe
1:36
Hell yes. This seems to be the winter 2017-2018 Hill I Am Most Likely To Die Upon, going back to one of my last pieces at SI.com https://www.si.com/mlb/2018/02/05/todd-frazier-mets-contract-mlb-hot-s...
Ray Liotta as Shoeless Joe
1:37
What one statistic for pitchers and hitters would you choose from the back of a traditional baseball card to determine Hall of Fame eligibility? Thinking about wins and hits being so prevalent on voters' minds (300/3000, respectively).
AvatarJay Jaffe
1:39
depends on which era of cards we're talking! The last Toppos ones I bought a couple years ago had WAR on the back.

I don't think any stat on the back of a late-70s/early-80s card (the time I was actively involved in the hobby) would be sufficient as a HOF standalone determinant. If I could have times on base (hits + walks) and maybe pitcher strikeouts i could possibly get by.
Coz
1:39
New Glarus is far and away the best thing in Wisconsin.  They don't sell or ship out of state though...
AvatarJay Jaffe
1:40
Yeah, I've had New Glarus but not in awhile. Long, long ago, in a galaxy far, far away, I was married to a Wisconsin native and traveled there on an annual basis, but that hasn't been the case in nearly a decade.
Uncle Rico
1:40
LUDES!
AvatarJay Jaffe
1:41
I'm not holding, man.
Vegan Man!
1:41
Recently moved to Orlando, FL - know of any good sours down here? Thanks!
AvatarJay Jaffe
1:41
I am not much on sours from any region. Have tried a handful but it's not a style that really floats my boat. Sorry.
Rob Manfred
1:42
What trial balloon will I float out to avoid rainouts next year? And how would you address early-season scheduling?
AvatarJay Jaffe
1:43
I've come around to the idea that MLB should go back to 154-game schedules. I'd mandate each team play a few doubleheaders to further prevent the season from extending into March or November.

Rob Manfred will probably explain that if players picked up the damn pace, they wouldn't get so cold and wet.
james Schicker
1:44
Hi Jay .....admire your work.  Where do you stand on Keith Hernandez and HOF.  I believe given the era he had very good offense and he was the best defensive first baseman I have ever seen.  Anyway, think you know my opinion on his HOF candidacy .....what are yours?  Thx
AvatarJay Jaffe
1:48
Hernandez is a bit short on JAWS, mainly on the career front due to his early exit (he's 1.4 WAR below the 7-year peak). Given his historical importance. I think he'd be an OK Era Committee selection by the historic standards against those things are judged (High Pockets Kelly and Jim Bottomley wtf) but I'm not irate that he's outside when guys like Grich and Whitaker can't even get onto a ballot, and I'd put his former teammate Ted Simmons in first.
Tom
1:48
Ever try any St. Louis area craft beers? Schlafly, Urban Chestnut, and 4 Hands are all great.
AvatarJay Jaffe
1:49
Schlafly yes. It's fine. I doubt I had it at its freshest Might have had a 4 Hands somewhere, that rings a bell.
DocG16
1:50
Teheran or Porcello......Tanaka or Archer?
AvatarJay Jaffe
1:50
Porcello and Archer, but i'm less confident in the first of those picks than the second.
eppler
1:51
pujols and prospects for votto
AvatarJay Jaffe
1:51
The Angels have no prospects, and both of those guys can block the trade. Come on.
ssf
1:52
Can someone at FG write an article about Gallo's 2018 season thus far? Lots of weird things going on with him
AvatarJay Jaffe
1:52
i'll see if that gets the writing juices flowing
Brian Sabean's goatee
1:52
Also very much enjoyed The Casebook. I haven't bothered to shelve it since I got it in December. Thanks for your great work.
AvatarJay Jaffe
1:52
Thank you!
bob
1:53
What active pitchers would you bet on making the hall? Kershaw of course, but Scherzer, CC, Greinke? Felix or Sale? I don't expect you to guess on young studs like Thor, etc
AvatarJay Jaffe
1:57
Wrote about this in March https://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/will-king-felix-reach-cooperstown/
the one I'm most keen on from that group besides Kershaw is Verlander. it's far too early to consider any pitcher under 30, but another Chris Sale season like 2017 will mark him as a guy to keep an eye on in this context.
Justin
1:58
Your presence, along with Me Growley (had to) and Sheryl Ring, is a reason why I finally sacked up to become a member recently. (No offense to the departed, just a compliment to the newcomers) So keep doing you!
AvatarJay Jaffe
1:58
Thank you!
Yo-Yo
1:58
I was wrong about Smith! I had no idea he was that proficient of a baserunner. 580 SB with an over 80% success rate is bonkers.
AvatarJay Jaffe
1:59
Yup.

Ok, it's time for me to wrap this up and get some food. Thanks for dropping by this week's chat!
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