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Jay Jaffe FanGraphs Chat -7/14/20
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Mike Ortman
2:57
Yeah let’s stay with the Padres, an exciting team who is coming up with all kinds of talent. Does Preller have what it takes to assemble a legit contender?
AvatarJay Jaffe
3:01
The farm system is loaded, the roster has intriguing talents that are still in their control years, and ownership has shown a willingness to spend money, so Preller *should* have what he needs, but he's made some questionable decisions, the Hosmer contract being the most glaring one. I don't think they can afford another mistake of that magnitude.
Mike Ortman
3:01
How much of a difference do you think it makes towards a player’s HOF election if they played for just one team? It’s for sure a small boost I think, but how big a difference does it make?
AvatarJay Jaffe
3:06
I think it *was* a factor but now that every candidate has spent his entire career in free agency it's less of one, because there are fewer of those guys. Being a one-team player doesn't seem to have helped Lou Whitaker or Todd Helton; we'll see what it doe for Joe Mauer and (perhaps) Joey Votto. Other than that, it's going to be a long time before we see a test case.
Nolan
3:06
Despite the cancellation of the All-Star game, will certain players be named All-Stars for the purposes of incentives in contracts, etc.?
AvatarJay Jaffe
3:06
not to my knowledge, no.
Roy
3:08
Remember when Lindor was supposed to be all glove & no bat. Wonder who's next
AvatarJay Jaffe
3:10
Surely the prospect hounds have better memory than I do on the subject but I don't really think there was ever a time in his professional career where Lindor was thought of as good field, no-hit. His minor league numbers may not have been remarkable at some stops, but in age-to-level terms, he pretty much always held his own, starting with A-ball at age 18.
Lorenzo
3:11
With the new extra inning rule, whats your over/under for longest game this season?  How many innings?
AvatarJay Jaffe
3:11
I bet we don't see a game go longer than 13 innings.
AC/SD
3:14
What do you think the Pads would have to offer Springer to get him- roughly? And yeah, they'd have to trade away Myers and some money to free up space. Please and thank you.
AvatarJay Jaffe
3:16
They can't seem to give Myers away. As for Springer, who of us knows what the free agent market will look like next year, but I'd think he aims for about $23-25 million annually.
Nick
3:16
Which players have a better chance to win an MVP, Cy Young, or ROY in a 60-game season than in a 162-game season?
AvatarJay Jaffe
3:19
All of them, basically, except for the guys who won't get enough playing time. We see mediocre players have great half-seasons with some frequency; the only thing that might stop (spins the wheel to choose a random starter) Kyle Gibson from winning a Cy Young award is the chance that 10 other guys will have stats that look somewhat like his over that short a stretch
Joe
3:19
What will it take to lead the league in WAR this season?
AvatarJay Jaffe
3:20
3-4 WAR, i think. 3 is basically an 8-WAR season, 4 is almost on pace for an 11-WAR season
Mike Ortman
3:20
Last one from me. Not a question though.....just wanted to say thank you for doing these. It is super fun for me and I think all of us who jump on here with you. Definitely in my calendar each week, and it’s a blast to be able to pick your brain on this stuff.
AvatarJay Jaffe
3:22
Thanks for the kind words, Mike! I enjoy these chats, to — enjoy connecting with readers — though in pandemic times they come at a high cost to productivity given the other factors in play, including child care and the folly of talking about sports while the country falls apart. Whew, that's starting to get dark. Anyway...
3:23
It's my time to skidoo, pick up the kiddo, and run some errands before I sink my teeth into the lower reaches of PPR right fielders. Thanks for stopping by this week, and please be safe out there!
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