You are viewing the chat in desktop mode. Click here to switch to mobile view.
X
Jay Jaffe FanGraphs Chat - 7/7/20
powered byJotCast
Prev Page View Full Chat
WinTwins0410
2:52
Jay, what are your thoughts on Jim Edmonds and the Hall?  Should he be in?  And do you think Edmonds will he eventually make his way onto a small committee ballot?
AvatarJay Jaffe
2:54
I'm open to Edmonds but feel less strongly than I do about him than about Beltran, Lofton, and Andruw Jones, given JAWS and other considerations (though I'm still mulling how much the sign-stealing stuff should weigh with regards to Beltran) https://www.si.com/mlb/2015/12/14/jaws-2016-hall-of-fame-ballot-jim-ed...
Estevao
2:54
What are your thoughts on Chase Utley as a Hall of Famer. By WAR he rates as a significantly more productive player than Craig Biggie but not nearly the compiler that the latter was
AvatarJay Jaffe
2:54
I know it's a typo but Craig Biggie cracks me up. I'm fully on board with Utley as a HOFer and intend to vote for him when he becomes eligible. https://blogs.fangraphs.com/retiring-mauer-and-utley-both-worthy-of-co...
Trent Hauser
2:54
What kind of player does a 60 game season after a multi month shutdown favor, if any?
AvatarJay Jaffe
2:56
Who can say? We're in uncharted territory. I do think that most guys who were coming off injuries as of March/April are much better off now, but that's not exactly an earth-shaking revelation
Mookie
2:58
What sort of deal do you think Cookie Betts will get?
AvatarJay Jaffe
2:58
More cookies than he can eat in one sitting.
3:00
If he makes it through the season healthy I still think he'll get more money and a higher AAV  than Harper and Machado but I don't think he'll set any records.
Nick Stone
3:00
The Utley/Edmonds/Andruw questions made me wonder. All else being equal, who has a better shot of getting in; guys who fall off a cliff prematurely, or guys who get a late start? Or does it not matter?
AvatarJay Jaffe
3:06
While Jones is an example of a cautionary tale of the first category, I think that guys who get an early start are much better off from a HOF standpoint. it's worth a closer look, though.
Them
3:06
OK, fine, I hope Freddie recovers in time to start the season and bats .400, but that cluster luck rewards the undercriticized dirtbags in the Braves ownership/organization with a 20 win season. Closer to reasonable?
AvatarJay Jaffe
3:07
I don't have a problem with anyone rooting for that outcome.
Harmon Ripkowski
3:07
Hi! Do you think there are any pre 2000 relief pitchers who may yet see the HOF? i.e. Hiller, Tekulve, Quis, etc...
AvatarJay Jaffe
3:08
Even as a huge fan of Teke and Quis, I suspect that the door is closed on those guys. Can't really see what would bring them back into the conversation given how deep the 1970s-80s in particular are in terms of position player candidates.
SP jaws
3:08
The top of the list is filled with pre liveball era guys which makes sense since they pitched an insane amount of innings. Have you ever considered dividing it up into a pre 1920 list and a post one? Relievers already get considered separately
AvatarJay Jaffe
3:09
I've futzed around with some ideas, including basing peak on a capped number of innings, but nothing I'm ready to publish.
Mark
3:09
Do you think the decision to suspend the minor league season affects certain teams like Seattle and San Diego worse than others?
AvatarJay Jaffe
3:13
That's probably a better question for Eric Longenhagen. I think that any team with a heavy investment in prospects is getting hosed because so many of those guys are losing developmental time, and if lower down, time before they need to be added to the 40-man roster. I don't really have a great sense of which systems have more talent lower down rather than closer to ready.
AC/SD
3:14
Who are the top three contenders for Mookie, aside from the Dodgers?
AvatarJay Jaffe
3:16
Thinking in terms of big-market teams that have less $ committed in 2021 based on Craig Edwards' work https://blogs.fangraphs.com/projecting-team-payrolls-for-the-2021-seas...), the Rangers and Giants stand out. If the Mets are Wilpon-free by then, maybe they get involved, too, but that's a VERY big if.
Chris
3:17
Kyle seager seems like a perfect fit for the braves.
AvatarJay Jaffe
3:20
Well, in Camargo and Riley they have multiple options at 3B, though both have played other positions, but from the standpoint of adding a lefty bat to the lineup, he makes sense, and lord knows the team has the pitching depth to strike a deal if that's what the Mariners seek in return.
Beetlejuice
3:23
Over/Under games (per team) played in front of some fans this year? If it's zero, does that give the owners some cover for not wanting to pay players pro-rata for more than 60 games?
AvatarJay Jaffe
3:24
fewer than 100 with fans, total. Maybe even fewer than 50 games with fans, and I think that anything greater than zero is probably a bad idea, though maybe by September, my answer will be different.
Harmon Ripkowski
3:25
Speaking of the 70s, 80s stars, with Dewey getting 8 votes, Parker 7, Garvey and Whitaker 6, should those 4 be seen as the favorites in...22 or 23?  I like Evans and Whitaker, can't see Garvey getting to 12, wonder if Parker's support is more, how do I say, personal than statistical?  Or I may be really wrong, I dunno
AvatarJay Jaffe
3:27
I'm more impressed by the level of support for the first-timers (Evans and Whitaker) than the 3rd- or 4th timers (Parker and Garvey), especially as the latter pair failed to generate much heat on the BBWAA ballots.
Ok folks, it's time for me to go. Thanks so much for stopping by today, and please stay safe.
Connecting…