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Jay Jaffe FanGraphs Chat - 8/6/21
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AvatarJay Jaffe
3:40
When Dan projected him in the spring it looked as if he'd fall well short (https://www.baseball-reference.com/players/c/correca01.shtml) but he's a player whose value seems to depend a lot on the defensive input, and he looks a lot more special via DRS than UZR, or the blend of the two that's used in ZiPS. His 4.5 bWAR is already his fourth-best season and probably winds up as his third-best. I do think he's gotta blow past the marks convincingly to have a real shot at the Hall because the stigma of sign-stealing is going to hang with him for awhile.
Eric Hosmer
3:41
If I turn into Nelson Cruz (but lefty) from this day forward, do I have a shot at the Hall?
AvatarJay Jaffe
3:41
no.
Nate
3:41
T/F - Robinson Cano will never get another hit in the majors.
AvatarJay Jaffe
3:41
false. I think he'll be somebody's DH next  year.
WinTwins0410
3:41
Jay, thanks for the Tony Mullane detail.  Just a personal note: my wife handed me a New York Times article recently about fun, multigenerational family vacations.  I took a look at it, and it was written by your mother-in-law!  https://www.nytimes.com/2021/07/17/travel/multigenerational-family-vac...
AvatarJay Jaffe
3:42
Ha, yes!
and i know that I didn't have to share that but i also know that Paula Span is a writer whom a lot of my readers' parents like!
3:43
(i'm quite fond of her as well!)
Luke
3:43
What type of contract does Seager get as a FA this year keeping in mind his consistent injury woes? And is he a fit with the Yankees if they trade Urshela and move DJ to 3B?
AvatarJay Jaffe
3:46
I think so much depends on how he holds up over the next couple of months. obviously talented, trouble staying on the field, but a good number of his injuries have been fluky. The Yankees infield scenario you offer would have to include a move back to 2B for Torres, which would make sense. Still, i'm not sure that trading the guy who's been quality for the past 3 seasons to fit in an expensive free agent is the best way to go.
Sean
3:46
King Felix has no HOF chance, does he? :(
AvatarJay Jaffe
3:48
not as I see it. That he's gone to camp twice, offered flickers of hope but failed to even get as far as the regular season would be the death knell of any candidacy
Marshall
3:48
Re my earlier Harper question, maybe I'm way off but I feel like most fans view Harper as a disappointment thus far. I just thought it would be highly unusual for a HOFer to be viewed as a disappointment, and you seem to agree; so do you not think fans currently view Harper as a disappointment, or do you think over time those perceptions will fade once he's elected?
AvatarJay Jaffe
3:50
I think Harper suffers by the inevitable early-career comparisons to Trout, who's the best ballplayer many of us have ever seen. The further he gets from that, the more he'll be appreciated in his own right, particularly if it eventually comes in the context of a winning team.
Owen
3:50
Altuve is, sadly, back to being good again. Would you vote for him for HOF and do you think he'll ultimately get in?
AvatarJay Jaffe
3:52
I'm not tremendously convinced he'll have the staying power to make a strong run at it. We've seen what Bad Altuve looks like and it's pretty bad, and unlike, say, Seager, we've seen some soft-tissue lower-body injuries that don't bode well in the long run.
3:54
As for his candidacy, I'm going to try to keep an open mind about it for as long as I can. I will say that despite what's been said about him not wanting to partake in the trash can scheme, I feel a lot less joy watching him than I did a few years ago. Maybe that's just a blanket thing about the Astros in general.
3:55
Whew, I blew through my stop time. Still some very good question sin the queue, but i have stuff to do including a podcast spot that will run next week, when I'll be on a much-needed vacation in sunny San Diego with my parents and brother and his family. Thanks so much for stopping by!
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