Jeff Sullivan FanGraphs Chat -- 11/4/16
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Jeff Sullivan
9:27
Josh Johnson is almost 33, but in my head he's still a 26-year-old. Like Rich Harden. In my imagination, Rich Harden never grows old
Dock Ellis
9:28
Did I miss anything on Wednesday?
Jeff Sullivan
9:28
A lot of people have been calling that the best Game 7 ever. I remain unconvinced, but I don't know the numbers on Rajai Davis/Aroldis Chapman vs. Tony Womack/Mariano Rivera
9:29
I also don't know how much to factor in the Cubs adjustment. What does them being the Cubs add to the entertainment value? Something, obviously, but to what extent?!
Barnard
9:30
In light of Rich Hill becoming an absolute force as a starting pitcher, do you think the Indians (or any future team he plays for) will attempt to convert Andrew Miller back into a starter?
Jeff Sullivan
9:30
He's 31 and there's too much to lose. He's plenty valuable the way that he is
Minty
9:30
Do you trust Heyward or Baez more to make the adjustments to become more consistent offensively?
Jeff Sullivan
9:30
Heyward, because he's been actually good before
Brett W
9:30
Cubs should trade Arrieta, Hammel, both, or neither?
Jeff Sullivan
9:31
They can trade Hammel if they want. Don't see much of a point to trading Arrieta
Jobu
9:31
Is it time to rosterbate?
Jeff Sullivan
9:31
It's never been more that time
Santa Monica
9:32
Highest priority for LAD: Jansen or Turner? Where does LAD go if they don't go Jansen? Internal or External?
Jeff Sullivan
9:32
My gut tells me Jansen, just because he's three years younger. If they miss on him, I think they go external and try to add a couple guys
Bryan
9:32
You're Theo Epstein after his month-long bender. What's your first big move to get the Cubs repeat?
Jeff Sullivan
9:33
Very, very genuinely, I wonder now what would be Epstein's motivation
Like, he's already checked off two of baseball's very greatest career accomplishments. He is 42 years old
9:35
Maybe the motivation is to try to build a dynasty? Maybe each season is enough motivation on its own? I can't relate to what he's pulled off.
The good news, clearly, is that the Cubs already have an incredible foundation. First thing to do, perhaps, is to fill the Chapman slot with a different great reliever
9:36
And then you hire whoever you have to hire to get into Jason Heyward's head and make him not suck anymore
BK
9:36
Given his height and solid bat, could Neil Walker be realistically pursued as a 1B by a team who has a long term 2B? I have Toronto (Devon Travis) in mind.
Jeff Sullivan
9:37
You could see that, especially given the concerns with his back. He is 31 years old. But he also just had a pretty good year at 2B so I imagine that would be his preference
DN
9:39
In Dave's trade value series how would you compare values? For instance, is someone around 10 worth two in the 30 range?
Jeff Sullivan
9:39
Let's test. Would you trade...Paul Goldschmidt for Starling Marte and George Springer?
9:40
That feels too lopsided for the second team.
It might be that a 10 is worth two...50s, or thereabouts. But in truth you basically have to work out the projected surplus values to find a rough equivalency
Dock Ellis
9:41
MLB has to capitalize on the World Series right? The NFL is on a sharp decline. If they do non-stop promos of the 2016 playoffs, it has to get people excited right?
Jeff Sullivan
9:41
Problem: excited about what? MLB has nothing to offer for the next five months
The World Series spoke for itself. It's not like people don't know about baseball. I don't think the game has to market the playoffs; I think the game has to market its elite young talent
9:42
Market Bryant. Market Rizzo. Market Lindor. Make people love these players. They are ever so lovable
Francisco Lindor should -- *should* -- be a superstar in 2017, in the truest sense of the word. He probably will not be
Guest
9:43
Assuming he was a free agent, and would simply go with the highest bidder, what is Theo's open market price right now?
Jeff Sullivan
9:43
What did the Cubs just give him, something like 5 years and $50m+?
9:44
Maybe he'd get a few more million per year on the market. But it can't be overstated that Epstein didn't just build the Cubs by himself
His support staff is phenomenal. A front office is dozens of people, not one GM or president of baseball operations
Erik
9:45
Isn't the narrative that Chapman was gassed a little overblown? Wasn't the pitch that Davis hit out something like 99 on the outside corner?
Jeff Sullivan
9:45
I looked at this yesterday just for fun -- at one point Wednesday, Chapman had a 15-pitch sequence during which he threw only three fastballs. He'd never done that before as a big-leaguer
He was gassed. Even a gassed Chapman still throws hard, but not *as* hard, and not to the same spots. He wasn't keeping his fastball up, like he likes
Bobby Blownilla
9:46
In your opinion, what are the Mets biggest needs besides health?
Jeff Sullivan
9:46
I guess it would be depth, because they're unlikely to have health
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