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Jeff Sullivan FanGraphs Chat -- 11/9/18
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Ryan
9:54
The White Sox are evidently planning to bid for Harper.  Given his youth and the length of his expected contract, he would obviously still be around and playing at a high level when the White Sox are competitive; but do you think Harper has the patience to seriously consider a team like the White Sox in the midst of a long rebuild?
Jeff Sullivan
9:54
Same answer as for the Rangers above. Makes plenty of sense for the White Sox to like the idea of Harper. Makes less sense for Harper to like the idea of the White Sox
9:55
It would just...require a whole series of what I consider unlikely decisions
IsIt2020Yet?
9:55
Some Pirates fans are kicking around the idea that the Archer and Kela trades mean Huntington's prospect hording days are over and the Pirates are going to push some chips in during the Marte/Archer window. You buy that or think they're simply trying to look like they're trying?
Jeff Sullivan
9:56
I don't think it's going to be a trend
9:57
Besides, Archer was acquired with 3+ years left. Kela was acquired with 2+ years left. They're affordable, cost-controlled players. Aggressive moves for the Pirates to make, and it looks like they misread their situation at the time, but the Pirates can't afford to do many moves like that if they want to hang around for the foreseeable future
They'll always have the kind of budget that requires them to have cheap reinforcements at the ready
Kristen
9:59
SD apparently looking for 3B'man while TEX needs a C.  Profar for Hedges w/other pieces thrown in?
Jeff Sullivan
9:59
Considering Profar has two years left while Hedges has four, I think the Padres would be hoping for greater upside. Plus, Profar isn't the greatest defender
10:01
Hedges made some changes that appeared to pay off at the plate down the stretch. Blend intriguing offense with proven high-level defense and I'm also not sure the Padres would want to move Hedges now, with Mejia still a question mark
I think Hedges was more available in the middle of last season than he is today
Trent
10:02
My team is too cheap to sign Harper but needs an outfielder.  Which team should I be rooting for to sign Harper so that the trade market for OFers expands:  the Dodgers, perhaps to make Puig or Pederson available?  The Yankees, perhaps to make Hicks available?  Someone else?
Jeff Sullivan
10:02
Don't think Hicks would become available, regardless
Dodgers would make some sense here, sure
But you could just go trade for one of the Padres' guys
Ben
10:03
Farhan Zaidi!
Jeff Sullivan
10:03
Good hire
Mattyb
10:03
Do the Mariners move Dee Gordon now or let him try to rebuild his trade value and move him at the deadline?
Jeff Sullivan
10:03
I think one of Gordon/Segura is gone
10:04
And Segura is two years younger
Kiermaier's Piercing Green Eyes
10:05
Rays offseason now: sign Cruz or Donaldson and a starting pitcher, trade Cron for pennies on the dollar, consolidate talent to fix the 40 man crunch?
Jeff Sullivan
10:05
Something like that. Of course, would have to reevaluate if Cruz/Donaldson don't want to go there
10:08
Keep thinking Cruz would fit well in Houston too. Tampa Bay is no given
But Donaldson would be fun, if he'd accept a big one-year offer, or a slightly less big two-year offer
Muesli
10:10
I don't think a Sonny Gray bounceback is really worth all that much, especially with the bidding war that apparently's going on, but I seem to be alone in that opinion. He looks like he peaked years ago and is an OK MOR arm at best.
Jeff Sullivan
10:11
It's one year of control, so already, any trade price would be relatively modest
10:12
94 FIP-, 97 xFIP-
10:14
When you look at Gray, you can say, all right, the stuff seems to still be there, and he generates interesting spin. Maybe some innovative player-development team could squeeze more out of him, like we've seen some teams do. But then you have to remember that the Yankees are one of the most analytically progressive organizations in either league. They couldn't get the most out of Gray, so it's no guarantee that, say, the Astros could
Long and short of it: I agree with you, Muesli
stever20
10:14
Not sure how much you can talk about it yet- but how surprised were you that Sale finished outside the top 3 for the AL Cy Young?
Jeff Sullivan
10:15
Not that surprised. Would be a lot to ask of the voting pool to select someone who didn't throw 162 innings
Tim
10:15
I’m assuming you’ve seen the Sens Uber video? You gotta give them this, they’re not a dull team
Jeff Sullivan
10:16
I've gotten a kick out of like 100% of current and former NHLers all rallying to their defense, saying this kind of stuff happens constantly
10:17
Don't think it was that bad, but the next day's practice still must've been super awkward
Ozzie Ozzie Albies Free
10:18
So for some reason we don’t get too much Phillies talk outside of Manny/Harper hype. But can I get your thoughts on their rebuild? To be successful you have to hit on your high draft picks. So far, none of them have really excited me and our top prospects are pitchers which of course TINSTAAPP.  So even if Bryce or Manny sign, I don’t see where the auxiliary support really comes from. If that’s true, where would the Phils go from there? Love you Jeff!
Jeff Sullivan
10:20
I don't think the Phillies are on a *bad* course -- I think some other rebuilders have just lifted the expectations. I like the Phillies' rotation. I like a lot of their bullpen, I like Hernandez, Herrera's fun, Hoskins is obviously good
10:21
So much of the perception comes down to the fact that Crawford hasn't broken through yet, and Kingery's rookie season was a nightmare
10:23
The Phillies can be blamed for forcing Kingery to learn another position on the fly. They can be blamed for forcing Hoskins into the outfield. The defense is the Phillies' fault, and it needs to be fixed. But plop one star player into the middle of that lineup and a wild-card contender comes together awful fast
Aramis Ramirez
10:23
How screwed are the Cubs?
Jeff Sullivan
10:23
Not very screwed. They're pretty good right now, and they generate crazy revenue
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