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Jeff Sullivan FanGraphs Chat -- 12/22/17
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Jeff Sullivan
9:03
Hello friends
Welcome to Friday baseball chat
My last Friday baseball chat for a while!
ToMcN
9:03
Hey Jeff! what's the hold up with Otani being added to the player pages/projections?
Jeff Sullivan
9:04
We have an Ohtani player page and projection now. I added him to the Angels' depth chart about an hour ago but those can take a little while to update on the public-facing side
3.48 ERA as a pitcher, 110 wRC+ as a hitter
9:06
In cases like this it's not really up to us -- we need to wait for a player ID from Baseball Info Solutions, and we need to wait for a projection from Steamer
Bored Brad
9:06
Top five Christmas songs? Go...
Jeff Sullivan
9:06
I don't like Christmas songs
Jimmy Neutron
9:06
Does AJ Reed have a shot at the Astros DH spot?
Jeff Sullivan
9:07
Not much of one, not out of the gate
Evan Gattis is still an above-average hitter and the Astros haven't forgotten about Reed's 2016 cup of coffee
antony
9:07
Jeff in your opinion, which team is more likely to sign Yu Darvish?
Jeff Sullivan
9:07
Cubs
Terry's Sarape
9:08
Next move for the Mets?
Jeff Sullivan
9:08
Private meetings with members of the front office pissed off over the return of Omar Minaya
9:09
And then probably acquiring a second-tier second baseman
Jack
9:10
Doesn’t the Evan Longoria trade kind of feel like the Troy Tulowitzki trade? Difficult to move someone who’s meant so much to a franchise, but both teams saw a declining player about to get 10-and-5 rights and felt they had to move that contract while they still could. Rockies fans were furious and heartbroken, like Rays fans are now, but I don’t think too many of them are lamenting that trade anymore.
Jeff Sullivan
9:10
Yeah, losing icons as they decline is generally worse in the short-term than in the long-term. No one ever actually *wants* to see their favorite players struggle for years at a time as they play in their mid-30s
9:11
Now, in the *longer*-term, it would be great to be able to say that someone like Longoria was a lifetime Ray. But as long as the Rays operate with such a low budget, they basically had to do this
Hunky Dory
9:11
Dear Jeff, being a Mets fan makes one want to bang one’s head against the wall.  Yours truly, HD
Jeff Sullivan
9:11
I'll trade you the Mariners
9:12
The true thing that Mets fans believe is that the Mets are annoying. The false thing that Mets fans believe is that they're somehow unique in that regard
Tim Salmon's Dad
9:12
In a world where you can reference only one projection system, you would choose...
Jeff Sullivan
9:13
There's basically no meaningful difference between any of the major ones
Which is why I'm perfectly content with our 50/50 Steamer/ZiPS split
Bobby Evans
9:14
Help me Jeff, don't let me sign another aging lefty OF.  Should I just grab Dyson or Maybin or maybe trade for Lagares, it's still about pitching and defense right?
Jeff Sullivan
9:14
Dyson as a Giant feels pretty obvious. If they want to trade for Billy Hamilton, they could make it all easier on themselves
Juan
9:15
Has anyone looked it if young players develop better on good teams than they do on bad teams?
Jeff Sullivan
9:15
I think Russell Carleton tried to look at this once a few years ago at Baseball Prospectus, but I have no idea how to track that link down
Tim
9:16
A cool note from the Evan Longoria trade was that Christian Arroyo is from the Tampa Bay area, and said he grew up a Rays fan and that Longoria was his favorite player. How old does it make you feel that there are now MLB players who grew up cheering for a team that didn’t exist until 1998 and idolizing a player who didn’t debut until 2008?
Jeff Sullivan
9:16
Doesn't make me feel any older than the fact that I've lost most of my own personal ambition
Having ambition is a young person's game
Growing older is all about settling
Jason
9:17
What can we expect from Moncada over a full season?  Is 30-30 realistic?
Jeff Sullivan
9:17
Probably not as soon as 2018, but perhaps as soon as 2019
Currently projected at 19/20
Questions?
9:18
Are the Phillies preparing to keep Hoskins in the OF long term  or is this a plan to trade Santana at the deadline for some prospects?
Jeff Sullivan
9:18
My understanding is that Santana kind of fell in their lap and they couldn't turn down the terms. At this point it's all about just having options. Now they can make a trade, or just rotate like five players through four spots
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