Jeff Sullivan FanGraphs Chat -- 2/10/17
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MPP
10:09
Is it time for the Rockies to unload their OF depth for a proven pitcher? They have not had a pitcher pitch 200 innings in almost a decade.
Jeff Sullivan
10:09
I think they mostly like what they have in-house. And if there was that much demand for their outfielders, we probably would've seen a move by now
10:10
The Rockies, at last, seem to be developing an actual pitching staff, with competence
Jerry
10:10
I get supply and demand as there are only 30 franchises available, but what's the reasoning for the $1.6B price tag on the Marlins when Forbes had them valued at less the $700M?
Jeff Sullivan
10:10
With franchise values seemingly skyrocketing, with no end in sight, you can talk yourself into paying a little too much at the outset
Matt
10:12
What do you expect from Yulieski Gurriel this season?
Jeff Sullivan
10:13
It's not real common to swing that much and make that much contact. Maybe he's like a right-handed Lonnie Chisenhall
Steve
10:13
% chance Nationals win NL east?
Jeff Sullivan
10:13
I'll say 60%
Erik
10:14
What is a better projection system, your personal favorite or an even blend between the 5-10 most common systems?
Jeff Sullivan
10:14
Even blend between the top three or four. I don't know if there are 10 decent ones
At this point, though, most projection systems are really similar
Brian
10:14
Someone named Bruce Maxwell III was 7th on the As in position player WAR last year. That's not a real person, is it?
Jeff Sullivan
10:14
And there have been at least two more of them!
Alex P
10:15
If you could be a GM of any team which would you pick? Fan favorite but easier like Boston or Cubs, or do you like a challenge and go Oakland or TB?
Jeff Sullivan
10:15
I'd want to stay on the west coast, and for some reason it really appeals to me to take over an organization where there's almost no pressure. Which basically means now I'm the GM of the Padres
LLW902
10:16
which player will be the first to claim they simultaneously gained and lost weight in the offseason
Jeff Sullivan
10:16
Noah Syndergaard gained weight but lost fat. He wins!
Chaps
10:16
Would you please rank the following in order of which you would most like to see: DH in neither league, DH in both leagues, keep the current setup, add the DH to the NL while removing it from the AL (and watch the hilarity ensue)?
Jeff Sullivan
10:17
Deep down, I know it would be best to have the DH in both leagues. Pitchers are terrible. But being a writer, I love that we still get statistics every single year. I'm a big fan of the science of it. So from my own perspective, where I'm not actually that invested in the outcomes of the games themselves, I like having the DH in one of the leagues
Don
10:18
What would an MLB salary cap implementation process look like?
Jeff Sullivan
10:18
It would begin by introducing a luxury tax. Oh, hey, that's already there
Robbie
10:19
Do you have any opinions on Chris Herrmann? He was somehow pretty insane with the bat for a little while last year before getting hurt
Jeff Sullivan
10:20
I have a hunch, so let me glance at some video real quick
10:21
Yep. Surprise! He lowered his hands so he'd chop down on the ball less
10:22
Didn't pick up that aggressive Donaldson leg kick or anything, but there is a change there, and his average exit velocity improved by more than four ticks
10:23
He swings and misses a fair amount, and it doesn't seem like he's a great defensive backstop. But I can believe in some of the power increase
Erik
10:23
How long would the Yankees have to remain mediocre for them to lose their status as the most valuable franchise?
Jeff Sullivan
10:24
Isn't so much of it about the ballpark and the network? Plus their own franchise history. It would take a *lot* of mediocrity
CamdenWarehouse
10:25
If MLB implemented the runner on second in extras rule, who would the runner be? The last out of the previous inning? A new player not otherwise in the game? The same player could make consecutive team outs. This would break the logical flow of game.
Jeff Sullivan
10:25
I thought I saw it written it would be the previous guy in the lineup. Or you could always pinch-run.
If implemented, it would be interesting to see if teams would then increasingly prioritize having a speed guy on the bench. Makes a Terrance Gore type slightly more valuable
Joe G
10:26
I find it difficult to evaluate retaining money in trades. Say the ChiSox ate all $25 million in Robertson's deal, could they get close to acquiring Robles? Or is this an inexact science where the raw numbers don't always translate to actual trades.
Jeff Sullivan
10:27
Let's say, hypothetically, you value Robertson at $30 million over two years. He's under contract for $25 million, so his "surplus" value is $5 million. That wouldn't be sufficient to land a major prospect
If Chicago, though, ate all the money, then suddenly Robertson's surplus value is $30 million. That's significant. Maybe not Robles, but close. $30 million buys a heck of a prospect
J
10:28
Who are the top 5 players in the game? Who is the guy that you seem to think other people would consider in there that you wouldn't?
Jeff Sullivan
10:29
Trout, Kershaw, Donaldson, Bryant...Seager? Machado? The average fan would probably argue too strongly for Miguel Cabrera
Dan
10:29
What is one trade that you would love to see happen?
Jeff Sullivan
10:29
Mike Trout to the Mariners for Yovani Gallardo
thomas the spank engine
10:30
do you think we've seen the end of discovery/invention of radical new pitch types and will instead see constant tiny iterations?
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