Jeff Sullivan FanGraphs Chat -- 2/26/16
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Guest
10:07
Did Jackson turn down the angels BC a platoon or the $?
Jeff Sullivan
10:07
I'll guess money
Outta my way, Gyorkass!
10:08
Which of the three NLC front runners falters into non-contention first?
Jeff Sullivan
10:08
I guess the Pirates? But I don't feel strongly about this, between them and the Cardinals. It's tight.
Outta my way, Gyorkass!
10:10
To what capacity do you think MLB's sudden interest in taking players to task for domestic violence allegations plays into the next round of CBA negotiations? I can't imagine the players union is going to take an extended, indefinite break for Jose Reyes lightly.
Jeff Sullivan
10:11
Well, the MLBPA was part of the domestic-violence-policy negotiations. They agreed to the terms, and Reyes has been dealt with to this point in accordance with the terms. So while the union is going to make sure Reyes isn't treated unfairly, I don't think they're going to work too hard to come to the defense of a player who pretty strongly appears to be guilty of something
TF Fredrik
10:12
Soler and Schwarber ABs getting cut (mainly Soler), is this something that slows development, or shut up stupid, teams stacked and people get hurt.
Jeff Sullivan
10:12
People get hurt, people underperform, and people can find at-bats here and there through selective days off. Schwarber will hit plenty, and Soler will hit plenty. They won't be spending weeks on the bench
10:13
One should trust the Cubs to strike the right balance. And there's no reason to believe a young player's development is necessarily maximized when he plays every day. Sometimes it's important to just sit and learn.
Outta my way, Gyorkass!
10:14
Which AL team decides to fold their hand and attempt a rebuild in earnest first? Which one should?
Jeff Sullivan
10:14
I could see the argument for the Orioles. Tempted to say the Angels, but they don't have anything to move, really, given that Trout won't go anywhere.
10:15
At some point you figure the Tigers will stop accumulating nine-figure contracts
HTST
10:15
How long until 6 man rotations are the norm due to tj?
Jeff Sullivan
10:15
Very long. Probably never
CamdenWarehouse
10:15
Now that Fowler is off the table, do the Orioles go after Jackson?
Jeff Sullivan
10:15
I feel like Bruce would be better for them
Yancy from Fort Myers
10:16
Have you ever tried a kumquat? Did you find the fruit enjoyable?
Jeff Sullivan
10:16
Yes, no
Guest
10:17
How much elbow does Felix have left?
Jeff Sullivan
10:18
I don't think it's on the verge of blowing out. Ervin Santana pitched for a while with a partial tear and he seems okay. But we know for a fact Felix has signs of wear and tear, which are normal. I'd recommend a state of slightly higher awareness
Jim
10:19
Is Dave Stewart a) a moron, b) unreasonably optimistic about Miller, c) crowdsourcing his trades with his kid's no-keeper fantasy league, or d) ______. Could the Mariners have traded Paxton for Swanson straight up at the beginning of the offseason? Other GMs must be kicking themselves for not taking advantage of this guy before the Braves got to him.
Jeff Sullivan
10:20
I don't think the Mariners could have traded Paxton for Swanson although that's interesting. Yes, other front offices are aware of the fact it's probably worth checking in with Arizona every so often about trades. And while I don't think Dave Stewart is an actual moron, I think he has made a baseball decision or two one could classify as moronic. I'm sure he has other strengths
Joel
10:20
On opening day, do you think you will give the people what they want and chat on fangraphs during a baseball game?
Jeff Sullivan
10:21
We've historically had a running Opening Day live chat, so I wouldn't expect this year to be any different
BK
10:21
Reports of Bautista's asking price have to be exaggerated, no? That price just seems so ridiculous that it's funny.
Jeff Sullivan
10:22
I don't think they're actually exaggerated. I think we just don't usually get leaks about details around initial proposals
Every settled negotiation features two numbers coming together to meet somewhere in the middle
Aron
10:23
After the Mariners traded Miller to the Rays, all of the analysis were structured around Miller vs. Karns, with Lomo-Powell and Farquhar-Riefenhauser (not sure on either of those spellings) being compared relatively equally as well. If the trade hadn't been Dipoto's first, do you think the HOT TAKE would have been different at all? Powell seems to fit what Dipoto covets to a T.
Jeff Sullivan
10:23
The Mariners like Powell a lot. He's a huge part of that trade for them. Doesn't mean it's unreasonable to think Powell faces long odds of being a capable starter
Jeff Banister
10:25
Why are so many people expecting major regression from my club. We didn't lose anyone of importance from last years division winning team, we added more depth to our bullpen, and we get back a guy from Tommy John who was a top 10 pitcher in all of baseball before getting hurt. Seems like other high profile pitchers coming back from their first TJ surgery have fared quite well.
Jeff Sullivan
10:26
It's a relatively unimpressive group of position players, and though Hamels is good, Darvish is still a question mark and the rest of the starting depth is mediocre. I do quite like the Rangers bullpen, and I think this is a half-decent team, but I need to be convinced it's actually a *good* team
HTST
10:27
What would Saunders cost the Halos straight up?
Jeff Sullivan
10:27
Saunders isn't going to move unless the Blue Jays are getting a replacement for him
Alex
10:28
Early pick for 2017 top prospect? Crawford, Giolito, Urias, Mazara, Devers, Rodgers, Moncada, or other?
Jeff Sullivan
10:28
Crawford if he doesn't play too much in the majors in the next year
Ronnie
10:29
What is the difference between CLUTCH & the high leverage splits available on the player pages? I noticed Khris Davis had a wRC+ of 174 last year in HighLev but a -0.28 CLUTCH score, for instance.
Jeff Sullivan
10:29
Davis had just 32 high-leverage plate appearances and he hit better in low-leverage situations than in medium-leverage situations
10:30
Generally there's going to be a close relationship between Clutch and leverage splits, but leverage forces all plate appearances into groups, whereas Clutch is based on Win Probability Added and combines all opportunities on something of a sliding scale
Like, you can help your clutch score in the first or second inning. You'll never have a high-leverage at bat that early
Hammerin Hank
10:31
Will Marcus Stroman be on an innings limit this season?
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