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Jeff Sullivan FanGraphs Chat -- 2/9/18
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Jeff Sullivan
10:51
From a writer's perspective, I love that pitchers have to hit. I also think it's silly
West Coast Wreck
10:51
Atl has no good prospects to fill RF, a glut of ready/near ready pitching, and Mil & Min needs pitching and have OF prospects galore.  When does a deal happen?
Jeff Sullivan
10:51
I think there's a fair chance of a deal in the next three weeks or so
Uncle Muscles
10:52
The Jay's keep saying they plan on competing this year but their moves are pretty lackluster. I can't help but feel they're being insincere about really trying in an effort to keep attendance up. What do you think?
Jeff Sullivan
10:53
I think they're in a transition between being really good and having some of the best players on the farm come up and emerge. They're relevant, and should contend for the WC, so that's not so bad for a transition phase. Not much they could do right now to keep up with New York and Boston
Anthony
10:53
You've been down on Arrieta personally At what price point would you, as a hypothetical GM, feel comfortable jumping in? Does this same price point apply for someone like the Twins or Brewers on the optimal spot on the win curve?
Jeff Sullivan
10:53
If I'm the Phillies I try to throw like $100 million at him over three years
10:54
Take a shot, and if Arrieta doesn't work out, that doesn't meaningfully impact the budget since so many of the good players will remain affordable
THE Average Sports Fan
10:55
Are the position players and bullpen good enough for the Reds to make the playoffs with a league average rotation?  What would it take for the Reds to get to a league average rotation?
Jeff Sullivan
10:56
I don't think the Reds are going to finish in the top ten in position-player WAR again
If only because Cozart and his 5 WAR are elsewhere
I think the Reds have an outside shot at .500 with enough pitching improvement. I'd be satisfied with that much
Kevin
10:57
This may be an absurd question, but do you believe the Japanese/Korean leagues could come in and swoop some of these lower-tiered free agents? And might that cause a shift in the market?
Jeff Sullivan
10:57
I don't think they're positioned to sign any of the players who're going to get major-league jobs, but this could free up Asian leagues to poach some minor-league free agents who haven't found homes yet because of the higher-level stalemate
He Hate Me
10:58
Guys like Ryan Goins, CJ Cron, Daniel Descalso and Yovani Gallardo get rostered every year. Is that an indication of just how far away 99% of prospects are from the Show? Wouldn’t teams want them to replace the pros who are just hanging on? Seems like every team accepts a meh floor with no ceiling instead of a lower floor and higher ceiling at their 25th and 24th roster spots.
Jeff Sullivan
10:59
I'm not sure what Cron is doing in here. At least he theoretically has upside
There are always veteran hangers-on. I imagine it mostly has to do with teams not wanting to limit real prospects to infrequent playing time on the roster
11:00
Might as well let them develop as regulars at a lower level
Billy Beane
11:00
Jeff, since you have clearly consolidated all of the power at Fangraphs by slaying your opponents, can you (as the One True King of Fangraphs(dot)com) make sure Meg Rowley gets a chat? By my count we've lost two chats and only gained one.
Jeff Sullivan
11:00
I'll find out! But our chat schedule will beef up shortly anyway, for reasons independent of Meg
I love you Jeff
11:01
I miss your podcasts about the Mariners
Jeff Sullivan
11:01
I don't
Bryan in Boise
11:02
Crazy off season if you ask me. I see why the players are upset about lack of movement this offseason. Yet at the same time I understand why the teams are not just blindly giving away long term deals to backend starters like Lance Lynn as well.
Jeff Sullivan
11:03
So much of this has to do with agents just not understanding the reality of the market. They're holding out for terms they're not going to get. But you don't hear a whole lot about that because it's mostly agents who are talking to the writers who are driving the national conversation
Doug
11:03
Don’t the Padres have to pull their Hosmer offer off the table soon? If converting to LF, Myers will need tons of reps on Spring Training.
Jeff Sullivan
11:03
He probably won't need that many. He was an outfielder before he was a first baseman
Joe
11:04
What realistic thing would convince you of collusion?
Jeff Sullivan
11:04
Written evidence
Baloo
11:04
As a Tigers fan, ouch, but also I get it.  Personally, my fingers are crossed for Shane Greene to have a really good first half.  Seems about our only chance to pick up more prospects at the deadline.
Jeff Sullivan
11:05
This was always going to be inevitable for the Tigers at some point. They were competitive for a while, which was a plus. It can potentially get better quick, given good trades and development. But, for now, yikes
Lunar verLander
11:05
What was the last thing you actively cheered for/against in a baseball game?
Jeff Sullivan
11:06
I have little rooting interests all the time but the last time I truly lost my mind in an excited way was when Rajai Davis took Aroldis Chapman deep
I also lost my mind in Game 5 of this year's World Series but for different reasons
Todd Frazier
11:07
Is my "taking a hometown discount" at all related to the fact that the two most interested teams were both in NY?
Jeff Sullivan
11:07
What a coincidence
TJ
11:07
If the Brewers are offering 100+ million contracts, but a player doesn't want to go there, does that hurt the MLBPA's stance. Who's to say a player would even want to go to a non-contender or a small market even if they have the highest offer.
Jeff Sullivan
11:07
That's one of the funny things about the complaints about tanking. The bad teams have never been the ones driving the free-agent market!
@RationalMLBfan
11:08
So how are you settling in to being top dog at Fangraphs in the wake of Cameron's and Sarris's departures? Or would you have preferred to have assumed power via rousing revolt, rather than a bloodless coup?
Jeff Sullivan
11:08
As long as someone else's name is signed on my paychecks, I'm not the powerful one
Tom Shane
11:09
The Mariners have reiterated ad nauseum since missing out on Ohtani that they're happy with the rotation as is/want to give their young guys time to figure it out. This seems to fly in the face of pretty much every evaluation of their team if they're trying to make the playoffs. Does this seem like brash confidence, bluffing and posturing, or something else?
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