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Jeff Sullivan FanGraphs Chat -- 3/17/17
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Mt Lebo Blue Devil
9:48
Does Ahmed or K Marte head to the Padres? If so, is the other in AAA?
Jeff Sullivan
9:49
Usually I would bet against any sort of intradivision trade like that but I could see Ahmed getting flipped. Not so much Marte, who the D-Backs just went after on purpose
Jay
9:49
Is Taijuan Walker having another desert mirage spring or is there some significant change that might actually care over into April?
Jeff Sullivan
9:49
He's done this before. He's even been amazing for stretches before. Start to get excited if he strings together two successful months
Galvanic
9:49
What are the chances Smyly keeps his velo in the 94 range this year? Or was it a symptom of knowing he was only throwing 60 pitches.
Jeff Sullivan
9:50
I don't think anyone should expect Smyly to hover around 94. It would be very reasonable to expect him to hover around 91, and perhaps even 92. That's what he's done now for two brief starts in a row
Given that he was at 90 before, this could be huge
kramer
9:51
best single tool ever?
Jeff Sullivan
9:51
Barry Bonds' bat speed
Best current tool is Giancarlo Stanton's power
Just based on exit velocities, he's even more exceptional than Aroldis Chapman
R
9:52
on a scale of snowflake to triggered what are you today?
Jeff Sullivan
9:52
I shouldn't be subjected to questions like this in my safe space
TooDamnTall
9:53
If (big if) aging curves start going up and players can extend their playing times to older ages, do you think we would see older prospects? Would players be given more time to develop since there could be more time for them to be productive?
Jeff Sullivan
9:54
I don't think it would change development patterns too much. If a player develops steadily, that player will come up when he's ready. If a player plateaus for a while, well, teams have limited patience, because there's a premium on organizational roster space
Hi Jeff
9:54
What does a peak Bundy season look like?
Jeff Sullivan
9:54
Ace-level starting pitcher, like with many starting pitchers. Few players ever experience even one full season at their peaks
The Cincinnati Kid
9:55
Can Reed wrestle the starting job away from Gurriel this year? If so, what date is he the "starter" going forward?
Jeff Sullivan
9:55
I mean, sure, he could, but Gurriel is going to be given a long leash. Might instead see playing time get chipped away from Evan Gattis
That team has too many damn hitters
Josh
9:55
Which WBC team is your favorite?
Jeff Sullivan
9:56
I don't think I have a favorite. I like all the teams! But I *more* like the teams composed of players who have actually lived in their countries
2-D
9:56
How confident are you in Cleveland's internal options if Kipnis misses significant time?
Jeff Sullivan
9:56
Not very, because he is good, and the replacements are not so good
TapeyBeercone
9:57
Will Ian Happ find a home in Chicago, or is he destined to be traded for an arm?
Jeff Sullivan
9:58
Right now it's a coin flip for me, but he's still at least a year away, so there's plenty of time for circumstances to change. We should wait for him to hit at an advanced level before we assume he'll be good in the majors
bosoxforlife
9:59
Is Las Vegas worse than the other PCL venues or is evaluating pitching the same in the entire league. First deGrom, and now Gsellman and possibly Lugo show nothing there, get called up only in desperation then look like major leaguers from day one.
Jeff Sullivan
10:00
Vegas is bad. Colorado Springs is bad. Albuquerque is bad. Reno is bad. Iowa is fine! Memphis is fine! Basically, it all depends
Reptar
10:01
Why don't we see more 5-6 game consecutive series in the season? Especially with division rivals? Would cut down on travel days and ensure
Jeff Sullivan
10:03
Baseball needs to have games every Friday, Saturday, and Sunday to maximize attendance. If you stretch a series beyond four games, then you're shrinking the other series of the week, making travel more annoying. And if you just played week-long series against a common opponent, that would probably get boring for people
You're right that it would result in fewer trips, I believe, but do you really want to see the Cardinals and the Brewers play seven times in seven days in the middle of June?
JRuby
10:03
2015 = year of pitch framing
2016 = year of spin rate
2017 = year of launch angle
2018 = year of... what?
Jeff Sullivan
10:03
Looking forward to free agency
mtsw
10:04
Is Scott Schebler anything? ZiPS has him projected to hit 20 HR which seems hilariously optimistic.
Jeff Sullivan
10:05
He was basically already on a 20-homer pace. He could be an average regular
Fleshy Pad
10:06
Is there any evidence that suggests pitchers have "down" years after pitching deep into playoffs the previous season because of the extra wear‬ on their arm? I tried googling but couldn't find anything
Jeff Sullivan
10:06
I just found an old post from one Paul Sporer! https://paulsporer.com/2011/11/23/is-playoff-hangover-real-for-starting-pitchers/
10:07
I don't remember ever seeing anything conclusive. There's anecdotal evidence in either direction, and it makes sense those innings wouldn't come with *zero* cost, but I wouldn't really worry about it in general
Ronnie
10:08
I was playing around with the RBI% page on baseball musings and noticed that Adam Dunn (13.28) & Juan Pierre (13.17) have eerily similar career marks. No question.
Jeff Sullivan
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