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Jeff Sullivan FanGraphs Chat -- 3/24/17
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Jeff Sullivan
10:53
There are presently just five exit-velocity readings for Peralta in 2017 ST. His hardest hit, at 106 mph, was a line drive out
Jim
10:53
What about Theo Epstein's approach has made him so damn good?
Jeff Sullivan
10:54
He's surrounded himself with smart and complementary people, and he's capably led while understanding his own limitations
Ben
10:54
Would you like to some day write a book?
Jeff Sullivan
10:54
It seems like it's terrible
I would like to have written a book, but I would not like to write a book
It's the same conversation I have with myself about one day hiking the PCT
Samwise
10:55
Jeff is there a good place to see Spring Training velocity decliners/risers as a whole? I know a few articles on here spotlight a couple guys. Who is a sleeper to jump into the elite category with a velo change?
Jeff Sullivan
10:55
I think Jeff Zimmermann sometimes tweets about this stuff, so, follow him!
Call me delusional, Homer, but..
10:55
I'll take the over on Mariner's position player projections for 5 WAR. And Segura and Haniger might do that by themselves.
Jeff Sullivan
10:55
I don't think that's unreasonable.
Dont call me Gyorkass
10:56
Is Wong really gonna keep playing time from Adams and Gyorko? (with the assumption that Carpenter can move OR Gyorko can handle second)
Jeff Sullivan
10:56
I suspect the playing time will all eventually work out as it should. They'll start with Wong, but then he'll only play as much as he deserves. I'd give the Cardinals the benefit of the doubt on their infield mix
Mike
10:57
How much do you think tanaka gets if he uses his opt out?
Jeff Sullivan
10:58
So he'd be opting out of 3 years and $67 million, as a pitcher known to have a damaged UCL. The market would be very cautious with him, and I'm not certain he opts out at all
Ed
10:58
How do you feel about the tradeoff of having eight relievers versus only three bench players? Does it matter more in April when SP arms are still developing? Or do bench bats matter less than they used to?
Jeff Sullivan
10:59
Looking at, say, the Marlins, they have a bunch of everyday players, so their bench is hardly useful outside of pinch-hitting once or twice a game. The more platoons you have, the bigger bench you need. The Marlins can get away with an eight-man bullpen just given how they're constructed
Ghost of Greg Maddux Past
10:59
Do you have any idea what the Braves were thinking when they assembled their corner OF? It's not only really bad, but it's also pretty expensive.
Jeff Sullivan
11:00
The Braves would disagree with you on the bad part. Clearly they like Kemp and Markakis more than we do
CamdenWarehouse
11:02
I know you're big on him, but what do you think Triggs's line looks like at the end of the year?
Jeff Sullivan
11:02
Kind of Kendall Graveman-y, with fewer innings but maybe a better strikeout rate
IDEA FACTORY
11:02
Should every pitcher's mound be turned in to a shield volcano that explodes between innings? like, with water or beer or something
Jeff Sullivan
11:02
Then the groundskeepers have to do too much. Delays, constantly. Bad for game pace :(
Not Matt Harvey
11:03
How would you predict the NL East turning out in 2019? Mets on top with Nationals losing Harper?
Jeff Sullivan
11:03
I'm not even confident in my predictions for 2017
Estuve
11:04
do you know how Garrett Richards has looked this ST?
Jeff Sullivan
11:04
So far reports on his stuff and health are all positive. Throwing in the upper 90s again.
Matt
11:04
Do you get nervous when approaching the season when you've been the high guy on a player? (like Broxton)
Jeff Sullivan
11:05
Nah. I'm going to be way right on some players and way wrong on others. One time I wrote a positive FanGraphs post about Carlos Peguero. Ditto Ryan Goins. It's all part of the learning process, and if Broxton doesn't work out, there's going to be something to learn from that, like maybe not overreacting to early exit-velocity returns
That one guy
11:06
Honest question - players have been known to have abberations. Chris Johnson won a batting title. Jason Heyward hit home runs one year. Brady Anderson more so. Why would do so many believe Harper didnt have a single magical season and is back to earth for good?
Jeff Sullivan
11:06
It's that Harper was always hyped like that, and it's that he started last season looking the same, before whispers of injury. I totally understand your argument, but people want to believe in superstar breakouts, and there's enough evidence here that Harper could be more than a 120 wRC+ outfielder
Andrew
11:06
Better chance at a Cy Young run: Nola or Shoemaker?
Jeff Sullivan
11:06
Nola
All right, I need to get rolling
11:07
So thank you everybody for hanging out, and I'm sorry for what I didn't or couldn't address. We'll do it again next week at the same time, and until then, be well and have great days
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