Jeff Sullivan FanGraphs Chat -- 3/3/17
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Jeff Sullivan
9:22
It's still very early in spring. Many pitchers are below their summer velocities. Arm strength, in general, isn't even fully built up by April or May. Be patient here
7777hk
9:23
How seriously does Loss of Price hurt sox?
Jeff Sullivan
9:24
If Price is actually lost for the season -- which is still not a certainty! -- it's a major, major blow. Probably drops the Red Sox close to Blue Jays level, meaning that becomes the first and most interesting division race in the league
Chone Figgins
9:24
Would the Mariners have ruined Mike Trout had they drafted and developed him?
Jeff Sullivan
9:24
If I ever die, and if there's a God, and if I ever meet God, this will be my...second question, probably
Hal
9:24
Why do people use "it's all downhill" in a negative way? Which way would you rather ride your bike?
Jeff Sullivan
9:24
In fairness, uphill is exhausting, but downhill is brutal on the knees. But there are other ways to go downhill too! Many of them thrilling
Andrew
9:25
Why is George Springer rated so much higher than Matt Kemp? Is it simply more runs scored?
Jeff Sullivan
9:25
Because he's a far superior all-around baseball player
j-dog
9:25
do you prefer Willson Contreras or Gary Sanchez?
Jeff Sullivan
9:25
Sanchez
Bill
9:25
A starting pitcher only has 2 pitches. How good would they have to be for the pitcher to be a good starter?
Jeff Sullivan
9:26
Chris Archer basically has two pitches and at times he's been a great starter. So, slightly worse than Chris Archer's pitches
CamdenWarehouse
9:26
I tend to think of "all downhill" with Calvin and Hobbs sledding at an uncontrollable speed before crashing.
Jeff Sullivan
9:26
Everyone should learn how to properly self-arrest
Rand
9:26
Eno loves Dylan Bundy for this year. Do you share his optimism?
Jeff Sullivan
9:27
Depends. I don't think Bundy is on the verge of becoming an ace or anything, but I think he and Gausman are going to remain underrated because of the parks and opponents they have to deal with all the time
CamdenWarehouse
9:27
It's a six year old and a stuffed tiger
Jeff Sullivan
9:27
SELF-ARREST
Moonraker
9:28
The projection systems have Moncada striking out at a 28% clip this year, yet he struck out 31% of the time in AA last year. I know he's a top prospect, but don't you agree this is pretty curious?
Jeff Sullivan
9:28
Very young, and he's posted lower strikeout rates at his two other, lower-level regular stops. If projection systems didn't make any use of aging curves, they'd be worse
Hal
9:28
Hamels was really good with 90mph fastball/changeup for until he added a curve/cutter
Jeff Sullivan
9:28
And then, of course, we have Randy Johnson
Phantastic
9:29
Seems like pitchers experiment with new pitches a lot in ST and, even if they're successful, don't throw that pitch during the season very much. What 2 or 3 pitchers do you see actually taking a new pitch into the season this year
Jeff Sullivan
9:30
I'm going to take a quick look down Jason Collette's new pitch tracker http://www.fangraphs.com/fantasy/2017-new-pitch-tracker/
9:31
I believe we'll see changes from, say, Tyler Glasnow, Aaron Blair, and Dylan Bundy. In Bundy's case, it would be restoring a previous pitch
Bruce Wayne
9:32
If Andrew Triggs makes 25 starts for the A's this season are you taking the over or under on his Steamer Projections? ERA 4.41 FIP 4.23 xFIP 4.39
Jeff Sullivan
9:32
Under, if under means better in this case. Triggs makes 25 starts only if he's pretty good. Which I think he can be!
Ronnie
9:32
Question about two pitch pitchers immediately brings to mind Ben Sheets & his criminally underknown 2004 season. 264 K/32 BB in 237 IP for an even 8 WAR.
Jeff Sullivan
9:33
No further comment
Raindog
9:33
I can't shake years worth of perception that Jose Ramirez was a quality-fielding no-hit middle infielder. Am I supposed to really believe he's a quality-hitting meh-fielding third baseman?
Jeff Sullivan
9:33
Have you come to terms with Justin Turner yet?
9:34
I'm not convinced Ramirez is actually that level of hitter, but this wouldn't be unprecedented. And he's not...built...like a Gold Glove candidate
Tim
9:34
Am I crazy for liking Spring Training better than regular season?
Jeff Sullivan
9:34
Almost certainly yes, but I should at least ask for an explanation. I, personally, am a huge fan of how pretty much every ST game is a matinee. But then, I'm someone for whom baseball is my job, not something I try to experience after my job
steve
9:35
would you (not dombrowski) trade benintendi straight up for Quintana?
Jeff Sullivan
9:35
No
That's simultaneous addition and subtraction. Doesn't move the needle enough
Hal
9:35
Which out of the Velasquez/Nola/Eickhoff trio are you most optimist about this year?
Jeff Sullivan
9:35
Nola. He's fantastic
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