Jeff Sullivan FanGraphs Chat -- 4/15/16
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Jeff Sullivan
10:53
But they're over .500!
Merv Scornberry
10:53
Is Sano done already? He's still drawing walks but I think the Twins put too much on his plate when they moved him to OF. Just so they could bring in Bung Hole Park & his .160 BA...
Jeff Sullivan
10:53
This is one of the worst comments I've seen in my chats
I've included it for posterity
Daniel
10:54
What does Aaron Sanchez need to do going forward to convince you that he has turned himself into a legit #2/3 starter for the Jays?
Jeff Sullivan
10:55
Strikes. That's it. However he does it. I don't care if it's with the fastball or the curveball or the changeup or something else. Just strikes. The grounders will be there. The ball will stay in the yard. He just needs to not walk people.
CamdenWarehouse
10:55
What's next in the Panda/Red Sox saga?
Jeff Sullivan
10:55
Travis Shaw cools off and Sandoval gets another opportunity at playing time
SailorJerry
10:56
Cody Anderson failed to capitalize on the uptick in velocity last time out, think we'll see more k's today or is he just the same guy we've seen in the past with a slightly faster fastball?
Jeff Sullivan
10:56
According to the box score, when Anderson started his first game, the temperature was 32 degrees
I just about don't care how a pitcher does statistically when it's cold as balls
Barves gotta Barve
10:57
Going out to Portland for a long weekend over Memorial Day, any recommendations for a hike/things to do in the city?
Jeff Sullivan
10:58
If you're in the city, go to Cascade Barrel House, or Breakside Brewing. If you're looking to hike, it depends on your tolerance of snow line. If you're willing to go above it, go to Mt Hood and hike around Cooper Spur. I'm going Sunday and it's the besssssssssssst. If you don't like snow, occupy yourself in the Gorge. And then get out to Hood River so you can eat and drink at Double Mountain!
Jack
10:58
Does Kris Davis turn it around?
Jeff Sullivan
10:59
His contact rate, hilariously, is below 50% right now. He'll be OK
Scott
10:59
Do players typically have difficulty adjusting to different leagues?
Jeff Sullivan
10:59
I don't think so, at least not anymore
I mean, the AL is still better than the NL, so that's one thing. Might've been a factor for Cueto. but it's not anything acute
Gavin
10:59
Is it better scheduling wise to play bad teams later in the season? Seems more likely at that point that they've sold off assets.
Jeff Sullivan
11:00
I guess if you could pick, sure. That benefited the Mets
Mosef
11:01
I read recently that Pineda always underperforms his peripherals because his pitches pound the heart of the plate. Your thoughts on this?
Jeff Sullivan
11:01
He's definitely a lot better at throwing strikes than he is at throwing quality strikes. It seems to be an issue for him working out of the stretch, when most pitchers would prefer to nibble. He's not much for nibbling, so then he can get exposed.
Nat
11:02
In your Kelvin Herrera article yesterday, you described his new breaking ball like as having "a curveball’s speed and horizontal break, and something more like a slider’s drop." I had also thought of a prototypical curve as the 12-6 vertically dropping pitch, while a slider is more diagonal with more side to side movement. Is my understanding of pitch types completely backwards?
Jeff Sullivan
11:03
It's not completely backwards. It's just, you only see 12-to-6 curves from guys who throw over the top. Break is mostly a function of arm angle. Conventional pitchers get a bunch of horizontal movement on their curves.
MN Ben
11:03
when do the Twins become sellers, and who do we sell? I assume first to go would be Plouffe but what can he even fetch? Do Ervin Santana or Hughes even have value?
Jeff Sullivan
11:03
No one's selling anything for a while, but it's worth remembering Plouffe didn't even really have a market in the winter
Jeff
11:03
Are people getting ahead of themselves with Velasquez? Faced a Mets team that isn't the ball well right now, and padres team that is just down right awful. What's a reasonable expectation for him?
Jeff Sullivan
11:04
Of course, Velasquez will cool off, statistically. But the stuff is obvious, independent of opponent, and now he's pounding the zone. That's important, and it's a wonderful sign
Erik
11:04
Can the giles trade be rationalized from the Astros standpoint? Giles for Velasquez alone is probably giving up future value for no present value, and that's without considering the other four pieces. Were they dramatically underestimating VV, or are we way overestimating him?
Jeff Sullivan
11:04
Giles was and probably still is a dominant high-leverage reliever, with a big arm the Astros haven't had. Velasquez seemed to be more inconsistent, and given his history, he could blow out his arm again at any second
11:05
It all looks very different if Velasquez has Tommy John in a week and a half. This is the risk that the Astros accepted
Ronaldo The Coalmine Canary
11:05
Ichiro - will he get 3000 hits this year?
Jeff Sullivan
11:05
No, unless the Marlins tank and Ozuna gets dealt, or Stanton gets injured
Erik
11:05
Where does the Phillies rotation end the year? Can they finish around 15th in WAR?
Jeff Sullivan
11:06
I think they can stay out of the bottom 10, with development. But at some point they're going to pay attention to innings ceilings
Erik
11:06
Of the six teams projected to be terrible in the NL, which has made the best case for an outside shot at wild card contention so far?
Jeff Sullivan
11:06
I think the Reds have the best chance to not suck
e
11:06
what are some of your favorite non-baseball/sports sites to visit?
Jeff Sullivan
11:06
the outdoors
11:07
When I'm done with work, I basically don't want any more internet
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