You are viewing the chat in desktop mode. Click here to switch to mobile view.
X
Jeff Sullivan FanGraphs Chat -- 4/20/18
powered byJotCast
Prev Page View Full Chat Next Page
Matt
10:45
See the Red Sox AAA team hosting an "Evil Empire Weekend" in which they glorify the pitcher that intentionally threw at hitters? Thoughts?
Jeff Sullivan
10:46
Minor-league teams need to be incredibly creative with their promotions and marketing in order to try to draw a profit
10:48
It would be one thing if Joe Kelly hit Tyler Austin in the head. Never want to glorify a head-hunter. As is, Austin was hit in the middle of the back, and while I'd prefer to discourage any and all intentional hitting of batters, this one isn't so egregious that it makes me upset
Besides, it seems like Joe Kelly himself isn't a big part of the promotion here. It's mostly about celebrating the Red Sox' side of a classic baseball rivalry
Trunkus
10:49
Looking at MLB average statcast wOBA and xOBA for all plate appearances, xWOBA is 25 points higher than wOBA (332 v 307).  What's going on? Bad weather?
Jeff Sullivan
10:49
Almost certainly weather
Cold weather hasn't suppressed exit velocity, but it has suppressed home runs
Not Finnigan
10:50
Have the first few weeks of the season changed your thoughts on the Red Sox or does this just confirm that they’re good
Jeff Sullivan
10:50
They're good in exactly the way they were supposed to be
Lou
10:51
Matt Kemp has a 172 Wrc+
Jeff Sullivan
10:51
And a non-negative DRS!
He's still not good, but the Dodgers will take whatever positives they can get right now
RK
10:51
Do you read the other writers' chats?
Jeff Sullivan
10:51
Sometimes, and definitely not all of the times
Mark
10:52
You love Ketel Marte. I love Ketel Marte. Ketel Marte has hit 64 percent of his batted balls on the ground. What is going on?
Jeff Sullivan
10:52
Shitty start. It happens. He's probably making too *much* contact
RK
10:52
Buxton has the record for best SB % at 90% yet steamer projects him at only 75% this year...any theories as to why?
Jeff Sullivan
10:53
I've never really thought about stolen-base projections, but my hunch is that the projection systems regress SB% very very heavily
Baserunning in general gets regressed very very heavily, which is why the best baserunners in baseball look underrated by the preseason projections
Mario Mendoza
10:53
Free Aaron Altherr!
Jeff Sullivan
10:54
I like him too, but he *is* slugging .268
Joe Joe
10:54
Not counting AL East, which Division Favorite is most likely going to not win the division this year? I'm going with Nationals until the Mets get hurt.
Jeff Sullivan
10:54
I'll say the Dodgers could be in the most trouble. The Diamondbacks look good, and Kenley Jansen does not
Frigid cold
10:56
How much stock should be taken into the Jays current record given that they mostly been beating up bad teams.
Jeff Sullivan
10:56
They're 9-3 against what I'd call bad teams, and 3-3 against what I'd call good teams. Keep that up and they make the playoffs
James
10:57
Do teams look at conventional stats for minor leaguers at all, or is it all more advanced stuff?
Jeff Sullivan
10:57
It's just about all more advanced stuff. At the very least, rates instead of counting stats. But traditional stats, as far as the decision-makers are concerned, are dead and long buried
Brew_Crew
10:58
Why don't we include linear weights for different types of outs in or calculations of wOBA? We treat a single as different from a walk, so why not treat a strikeout as different from a groundout or a fly ball?
Jeff Sullivan
10:58
There's just not a very big difference in the value of different kinds of outs. So it would be extra work for a negligible gain
Dongmingo
10:58
Can David Price succeed at his current velo and pitch mix? It seems like he's destined for trouble.
Jeff Sullivan
10:59
When healthy, David Price has the kind of command that would play at lesser velocity. I might never believe that David Price is healthy again
jon
10:59
better long term future andrew benintendi or rafael devers?
Jeff Sullivan
10:59
I lean Benintendi
Cookie Monster
11:00
Chris Stratton.  What the heck?
Jeff Sullivan
11:00
From a Statcast perspective, he's a really interesting pitcher. Completely off the radar, but he's a high-spin guy. Reasonable bet to take a true step forward this season since he's got rotation job security
T-Bone
11:00
Teoscar! Similar to Franchy, obviously he hits the ball hard, but only when he hits it.  And only when he plays in a crowded outfield. Stardom this year, or not yet, or probably never?
Jeff Sullivan
11:01
Probably never a star, but he deserves to bat 500 times in this season
Nick S
11:01
Biggest hole in xwOBA is that it doesn't include spray angle.
Jeff Sullivan
11:01
I think it's getting there. Work in progress! (I am not an authority)
ohioastrosfan
11:01
Does romo have a chance to become the new TB closer if colome continues to struggle?
Connecting…