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Jeff Sullivan FanGraphs Chat -- 4/29/16
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Jeff Sullivan
10:10
No news that I'm aware of yet, but it's coming soon, and since we all know Reyes is going to get SOME kind of suspension maybe ESPN is just making the safe assumption
Trumbone
10:11
If there were a hypothetical breakfast cereal called Volcan-O's, what would it consist of?
Jeff Sullivan
10:11
raw grain and chili peppers
it would be horrible
Ember
10:12
What do you think of Severino so far this season? Should he get sent back to the minors, to work on stuff, or try to get right in the majors?
Jeff Sullivan
10:13
You don't demote him this fast. He still has a sub-4 career big-league ERA, and the stuff is playable. The things he has to work on, he probably has to work on against major-league opponents
10:14
My assumption is anything wrong here is mechanical, and you want to have that guy working with the best coaching staff in the organization
Laremy Tunsil's Gasmask
10:14
Robbie Cano has hit a bunch of dingers already, the only thing I can see is that he's just hitting may more fly balls and less line drives, could he hit 30-35 HRs this year?
Jeff Sullivan
10:15
So far it looks like he's made a concerted effort to pull more balls in the air. That comes at the expense of a more all-fields approach, and it comes at the expense of a few hits, but if Cano wants to up his power game, then he could keep this sort of production up
Joe
10:15
Lot of people calling for Fredi G's job, but Braves are just a bad team. I don't see how changing managers is going to make bad players all of a sudden play good. Now if Braves knew who they wanted as the future manager, then I can see making the change so he can work with the young guys coming up, but replacing Fredi with an interim manager seems pointless. (sorry, rant).
Jeff Sullivan
10:16
At some point Gonzalez just gets associated with losing. That can be tough to recover from, and dismissing him would give players a little jolt. The problem, very obviously, is NOT Gonzalez, but if they feel like he's not the long-term manager there, there wouldn't be harm in beginning a transition
jon
10:17
The Braves enter today's game at Chicago, having scored 74 runs in 22 games. The Cubs enter today's game owning a +74 run differential through 21 games.
mtsw
10:17
Are teams starting to figure Kenta Maeda out? He doesn't seem like a guy primed for long term dominance once hitters familiarize themselves with him.
Jeff Sullivan
10:17
Yesterday was the first time he allowed more than one run
10:18
In the process, he got his whiffs, and he threw more than 70% strikes
Maeda still looks good
Martin
10:18
What impact does throwing to Jeff Mathis and JT Realmuto have on Jose Fernandez's development. They're both rated very poorly in most catching metrics. Where would he be if he had someone like Yadi, Montero or Posey to throw to? Thanks!
Jeff Sullivan
10:19
Pitchers who have worked with Mathis swear by him. His reputation isn't founded on nothing. I would assume that working with Mathis would only be good for Fernandez's development, ignoring the run-support aspect
Gavin
10:19
How much longer should I wait for Alex Wood to come around?
Jeff Sullivan
10:19
Give him two starts. But these struggles are surprising to me
I really did think he was back to normal. Because he looked like he was back to normal!
Gary
10:20
How long until Joey Gallo makes Moreland unemployed?
Jeff Sullivan
10:20
Earliest, a month from now. But I'm excited!
10:21
For anyone unaware: Gallo's strikeout rate in Triple-A is down to 25%. Still early enough for that to be a blip, but last year in Triple-A he was at literally 40%
So he's slugging .662.
Steve
10:21
Is it good, bad, or neither if a large percentage of runs are scored off home runs?
Jeff Sullivan
10:21
I'd say very slightly bad? To me, it implies the lineup might have less success against higher-level pitchers
But that's more of a postseason concern
Q-Ball
10:22
White Sox have the best record in the AL. How close are they to being the best TEAM in the AL?
Jeff Sullivan
10:22
It helps them that the AL doesn't really have a great team. But they need to, you know, hit.
10:23
I'm also very much unconvinced by Mat Latos
Kvn
10:24
The Cubs are favored to beat the Braves with a probability of 71.7% according to the scoreboard on this site. This got me thinking, is that about as lopsided matchup as there will be this year? Could the Cubs push 80%+ with Arrieta on the mound, at home, against some AAAA innings eater starting for the Braves?
Jeff Sullivan
10:25
Last year, Scherzer and the Nationals got to 78% against Sean O'Sullivan and the Phillies. I think you could get right about to 80%, yeah
The Cubs appear better than last year's Nationals. And the Braves are one big ol welp of a baseball team
Nick
10:26
For my statistical analysis class's final we can analyze anything we want, so obviously I'm going with baseball. Got any ideas that seem interesting but aren't quite worth your own time?
Jeff Sullivan
10:26
Is it beneficial or irrelevant to have a changeup that moves like your fastball?
Zonk
10:27
The Pirates are hitting .292 as a team, including .300 by non-pitchers! The team BABIP is .351. There's a ton of luck to that early season hitting, isnt' there?
Jeff Sullivan
10:28
I was going to say it helps to play the Reds, but they actually have the lowest batting average against the Reds out of everyone they've played so far. So!
10:29
Last April, the Royals hit .306. Second place was at .286. In May, the Royals hit .253
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