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Jeff Sullivan FanGraphs Chat -- 4/7/17
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Jeff Sullivan
9:43
2010: 45 pitchers with 200+ IP
2011: 39
2012: 31
2013: 36
2014: 34
2015: 28
2016: 15
Those last two are two pretty significant numbers
If I'm being conservative, I'd say 2025. More aggressively, 2020?
botchatheny
9:44
is it a crime that mike matheny gets paid to fill out a major league lineup ?
Jeff Sullivan
9:44
Depends on how he got to that position. Did he threaten somebody's life? Is it the result of extortion? In either case, yes, then that would be criminal
David B
9:47
Jeff, what would it take for the Indians to lock up Lindor beyond his six years of contol? Do you think the Indians would be willing to commit to Lindor's price and would Lindor be willing to commit to taking a discount vs free agency?
Jeff Sullivan
9:48
Christian Yelich signed for about 7/$50m after 1+ great seasons. Lindor is better than Yelich, and he's presumably about to have his second full great season
9:49
Mike Trout signed for 6/$145m. There is, you know, a giant range here
9:51
Lindor isn't strongly incentivized to sign an extension -- he got a $2.9-million signing bonus already. You're in the area of nine figures here
9:53
Let's ballpark it at 6/$100 million between this year and next year. The Indians should be willing to sign him, but I don't know if it'll actually happen
Not many better players to try to build around
Internet connectivity issues getting worse! Stay tuned!
mike sixel
9:53
You got power, Jeff? The Twins walked A LOT already, is this partly the new FO and batting coach, or just KC being bad at pitching?
Jeff Sullivan
9:53
KC has bad pitching
9:54
Jason Castro already has six walks in 12 plate appearances. One strikeout. Yikes
9:55
It is amazing to me that Eddie Rosario already has two unintentional walks. Last year he had 10
Charlie
9:55
You've probably gotten a ton of questions about Arrieta. But is there any way to find out Arrieta's velocities in idividual games? His ERA took a turn for the worse around June 27 of last year. Am wondering if there is corresponding trend in the velocity.
Jeff Sullivan
9:55
Long link coming!
Slight dip around the middle of last year. I don't know what's going on in 2017. Need more data
John H
9:57
How much do scouts for NL teams scout the ability of a SP to swing the bat, since they obviously will be asked to hit? Also, what kind of win probability does having an Arrieta/MadBum add rather than your average, terrible SP hitter. Thanks!
Jeff Sullivan
9:58
I can't imagine it goes much beyond "good hitter for a pitcher" or "pitcher." Almost binary. So, like, Bumgarner gets pitched differently, and Arrieta gets pitched differently, but there's no specific strategy. It's either, be careful with this guy, or don't
9:59
Since the start of 2014, Bumgarner has been worth about 4 WAR as a hitter. Greinke and Arrieta, closer to 2. Bumgarner adds something like a win a year with his bat alone!
He's absolutely amazing
Ken Tremendous
9:59
Jeff, do you play MLB: The Show? If you do, what are the most annoying glitches or errors, in your estimation?
Jeff Sullivan
10:00
To be totally honest, I've never gotten the appeal of baseball video games. Video game baseball is *so slow*
Terry
10:02
Lets cut the Puig hype for a second, he has faced Jerad Weaver and Trevor Cahill, two players who should not even be on a 25 man roster.
Jeff Sullivan
10:02
Cahill, at least, has some utility. Weaver is straight batting practice
10:03
Puig has homered against an 85mph fastball down the middle, a 78mph slider even more down the middle, and an 85mph changeup down the middle. Let him face some real pitches first
mtsw
10:04
If Arrieta is injured will some ex-Orioles pitching coach come out of the woodwork to shake his head sadly and be like "we told him to stop throwing the cutter..."
Jeff Sullivan
10:04
Can't take that position anymore with Bundy throwing his!
Ken GIles
10:04
Am going to strike out 120 while getting 35 saves this year?
Jeff Sullivan
10:04
Chris Devenski has a better shot at 120 strikeouts
<3 Chris Devenski
Matt
10:04
I posed this question to you on twitter, but with regards to Arrieta...any chance this is intentional? Didn't look like he was reaching as far back to gain some fastball command. His locations were definitely much better this week than most of last year.
Jeff Sullivan
10:05
Yet he still struggled to throw 60% strikes. Not saying people should be alarmed yet. More like, be on notice. Something here is objectively weird
Jay
10:07
Given how the 1B/DH market played out over the past winter, would Carlos Santana be wise to take a hypothetical extension from the Indians now (assuming it's not a ridiculous low ball offer)?
Jeff Sullivan
10:08
Depends on how he feels about Cleveland, but, Encarnacion still got paid. Trumbo still got three years, and Santana doesn't have Trumbo's contact problems. Santana won't suffer the same fate as, say, Chris Carter did
Cabbage
10:08
Is Robert Gsellman one of those cases where so many have claimed that he's underrated that he's now overrated?
Jeff Sullivan
10:08
Feels that way, but maybe I'm biased by the frequency with which his name comes up in these FanGraphs chats
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