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Jeff Sullivan FanGraphs Chat -- 4/7/17
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dave in slc
10:31
if k rod does blow up and lose the job who is the next to close games out?
Jeff Sullivan
10:31
Rondon's time to shine
dave in slc
10:32
Strahm has been getting lit up. I know its early, sss etc but is there reason for concern here?
Jeff Sullivan
10:33
Even last year, he declined -- awesome debut stretch, but in his final 12 appearances, he had 8 walks and 11 strikeouts in 11.1 innings. He might actually be mediocre
Weezy
10:33
How'd you feel about Andrew Triggs yesterday?
Jeff Sullivan
10:33
I want more missed bats but I remain a believer
mtsw
10:34
Does the fact that the arbitration system rewards hitters for counting stats (which aren't park adjusted) but pitchers for wins and saves (which aren't really effected by park) bias the arbitration system against teams with hitters parks?
Jeff Sullivan
10:34
I don't think so to any meaningful degree. They still talk about ERA too
GERB
10:35
How well would Lindor have to hit to challenge Trout for an MVP? Assuming Trout does his thing again. A 20/20 season with 375+ OBP enough?
Jeff Sullivan
10:35
I'd say a wOBA around .360 or so. Lindor is already recognized as the central performer on a very good Indians team. If Cleveland is good and LA is bad, Lindor will have a lot of momentum
Dillon
10:36
Hi. Do you know if minor league data (leaderboards) for 2017 is going to be an option. It's been one day but just wanted to be sure.
Jeff Sullivan
10:36
I don't know why that would disappear
dave in slc
10:36
you may have already addressed this but I just got here. are you a believer in the new Puig swing? Can and will he get back to form?
Jeff Sullivan
10:36
I haven't read about Puig's new swing yet, but I don't think his swing has been the problem. His plate discipline has been the problem.
10:37
If Puig's approach still sucks, then that severely limits his upside
Craig
10:37
Archie Bradley really throwing two 70 pitches and a 60? Isn't that basically Dellin Betances?
Jeff Sullivan
10:38
Betances has an 80 breaking ball. And let's give Bradley a little more time to prove he can throw consistent strikes
HappyFunBall
10:38
If you're the Diamondbacks, do you want Bradley to turn into a capable 3/4 starter? Or another Andrew Miller that can be traded for someone else's stud prospect?
Jeff Sullivan
10:38
I'd be happy with him becoming a stud multi-inning reliever, if possible
mtsw
10:38
I know you don't do fantasy questions, but if my fantasy season partially hinged on Sam Dyson keeping his closer job, how panicked should I be right now?
Jeff Sullivan
10:38
7/10. It's a deep bullpen and Matt Bush is next in line
LA Law
10:39
Is Patrick Corbin going to turn a corner this year or is it time to give up hope?
Jeff Sullivan
10:39
Never lose hope
Bob
10:39
How do you see the Washington closer role shaking out? Will Glover and Kelly take over the job?
Jeff Sullivan
10:39
I might be the world's biggest Blake Treinen fanboy, so I'm the wrong person to ask
Justino
10:39
What stats make the differences in WAR between BBREF and Fangraphs? Does one have more accuracy, in your opinion, than the other?
Jeff Sullivan
10:39
Biggest differences: FG uses UZR, BR uses DRS. And FG uses FIP, while BR uses something more akin to ERA
10:40
For pitching WAR, I like FG. For position-player WAR, it's more of a tossup
Kiley
10:42
What does a Noah Syndergaard extension look like? I know, Kershaw, but when does this guy win a Cy Young?
Jeff Sullivan
10:43
Let's see. Arrieta just got about $16 million in his last year of arb. Got about $11 million the year before
Syndergaard looks like he's headed for Super 2, so let's put his four arb years at...something like $35 million
10:44
Give him two FA years valued at $45-50 million combined
Something around 6/$80m - $90m?
Jeffrey
10:45
If you're starting a franchise would you rather have Aaron Judge or Michael Conforto?
Jeff Sullivan
10:45
Conforto
Jim
10:45
Are any of the aces in baseball not major injury risks? It seems every top start has some problems right now with injuries or speculation of injuries...
Jeff Sullivan
10:46
I think guys like Kershaw and Verlander have done enough to demonstrate their arms are OK. Doesn't mean they don't have a high baseline risk level, but they're less risky than, say, Arrieta or Gray
Diaz
10:46
Seen this online somewhere but who would you take? The padres 1-5 SP or the Dodgers 6-10?
Jeff Sullivan
10:46
Dodgers 6-10
Matt
10:47
Best pitching staff from top to bottom in the MLB?
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