Jeff Sullivan FanGraphs Chat -- 6/30/17
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Jeff Sullivan
10:46
They're proceeding as if they don't expect that to ever be the case
Duffy, last I heard, is in a holding pattern
Could just dump Hechavarria if his numbers don't improve. He was already a possible non-tender candidate
Gary
10:47
Was Ichiro Suzuki about as good as it's possible for a player to be while having 30 power?
Jeff Sullivan
10:47
Ichiro or Tony Gwynn, yeah
clayton
10:47
is madmax better than me =/?
Jeff Sullivan
10:47
No
PTBNL
10:49
If you had to pick right now, who would you expect to be the AL WC teams?
Jeff Sullivan
10:49
Currently leaning Yankees/Mariners but that second one is in flux
chris
10:49
The highest BABIP ever in this yankee stadium is .387. With Judges unusual .400+ BABIP and his large K rate, is he due to cool down?
Jeff Sullivan
10:49
He can't and won't sustain a sky-high BABIP, but he also hits relatively few balls in play, so it's of lesser importance for him
Zihuatenejo
10:49
The Dodgers have been reluctant to move top prospects at the deadline in the Friedman/Zaidi era. Do you think that changes this year, or do you expect more of the same?
Jeff Sullivan
10:49
More of the same. It works
BBech
10:50
Mountains or valleys?
Jeff Sullivan
10:50
Mountains
Joey
10:50
Do you think Kenta Maeda is in the rotation to stay ROS?  Or will they continue to use him in a flexible bullpen/starter role?
Jeff Sullivan
10:50
The latter. They'll keep moving people around in an effort to keep different arms fresh
hoju
10:51
Listened to the podcast yesterday afternoon and was slightly calmed about the Nats pen; game happened and now as a reactionary I am decidedly not. Is there any more urgency to get someone with the Trea injury etc or should the Nats still be totally unconcerned until closer to the deadline?
Jeff Sullivan
10:51
They're up 9.5 games on the competition that matters most, so there's no urgency to make the team a million times better. But they will absolutely get one reliever, probably two, and very possibly three
10:52
It would make me laugh if the Nats just called up the White Sox and traded for Robertson, Kahnle, and Swarzak at the same time
Richard
10:53
Should the Dodgers be worried about Verdugo & Calhoun getting bored of being stuck in AAA? They clearly do not want to use one of their options this year so should they be a actively looking to trade them?
Jeff Sullivan
10:53
They'll be open to trading them, given the roster logjam, but there's no real harm keeping prospects in Triple-A for a full season. The players aren't entitled to the big leagues, given their experience
Friarfan
10:54
What do you think of Wil Myers this year? Is it just an extended slump or is this just who he actually is.
Jeff Sullivan
10:54
Just to be clear, Wil Myers has a 118 wRC+. Last year, he had a 115 wRC+
He even has a 134 wRC+ in June, so he's not slumping
Chaps
10:57
Mike Fiers hasn't given up a HR in 6 games (37 innings), which started roughly around the time he talked with Lance McCullers Jr. about his curveball. McCullers is the new Ray Searage confirmed?
Jeff Sullivan
10:57
On the one hand, I'm naturally skeptical of anything having to do with improved home-run suppression. It's almost always pure bunk. On the other hand, at least Fiers takes it to the extreme!
Nola, Lewsianna
10:59
5 machines can make 5 shirts in 5 minutes. how long does it take 100 machines to make 100 shirts?
Jeff Sullivan
10:59
5 minutes!
Sean
10:59
Do you believe that the projections react too slowly to changes? E.g. the Dbacks are projected for .508 RoS but all of their win orders (1st/2nd/3rd) have them as a ~.600 team to date
Jeff Sullivan
10:59
I've written about this before. Even well into a regular season, the projections are still better at seeing the rest of the year than the standings are
11:00
It's not that the actual performance is irrelevant, and of course there are times when the projections are too slow to react. Like, Archie Bradley is just a different player now. But mostly, the projections are better than one's intuition
I know that's not very fun. On the other hand, maybe it's incredibly fun!
Jesse
11:01
May I ask how to interpret the vertical drop numbers in pitchFX when it as it pertains to the batters?
Jeff Sullivan
11:01
Doesn't really mean anything. Just reflects the movement of the pitches the batters have seen
J
11:01
With smaller FA deals being successful like Hill to Oakland, Fowler to Cubs,  Holliday to NY, etc. and bigger deals like Zimmermmann to Detroit, Chris Davis, Ellsbury, Heyward not looking great... are we going to a see a change in preferred targets?  How does this affect the mega FA class?
Jeff Sullivan
11:02
Well, there hasn't been much in the way of FA mega-talent lately, anyway. That's going to change. And while teams are disinclined to give players big huge honking mega-contracts, there's also a ceiling on how high a salary can go, so the natural thing to do is to make a deal longer instead of more expensive. So there are counter-pressures
Jon
11:02
Do you see the cubs going after a veteran player before the trade deadline this year?
Jeff Sullivan
11:02
Yes
Nic
11:02
Did you see Dustin Fowler Injury. Any idea how that might affect his future.
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