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Jeff Sullivan FanGraphs Chat -- 7/6/18
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Jeff Sullivan
10:53
Probably not very much
To us
10:54
It does mean an awful lot for Dylan Floro
Fangraphs reader
10:54
Is the Astros pen underrated? It seems like if Collin McHugh was in the Tigers pen, there'd be all sorts of articles about how the Astros should trade for him to fix their weak pen.
Jeff Sullivan
10:54
Astros are second in bullpen WAR and second in bullpen ERA-, but 14th in bullpen WPA
10:55
Astros bullpen has a league-leading 65 FIP-. Yankees are at 68; no one else is below 82
A little bad timing is all that keeps us from recognizing the Astros' bullpen as being terrific
Matt D
10:56
Do we just have to live with inconsistency from start to start with guys like Pivetta, Heaney, & Newcomb?  How does a pitcher like that turn the corner from sometimes good to usually good?
Jeff Sullivan
10:56
When you have good but non-elite starting pitchers, you're going to get a fair number of clunkers. Just the way it is. None of those guys are aces
Daniel Carroll
10:57
I just picked up hockey a couple years ago after going to a Leafs game. I know they're super hyped up about getting Tavares, but should they be worried at all about losing Van Riemsdyk?
Jeff Sullivan
10:57
I'm not actually smart enough about hockey to know how to answer this question, except that I'm pretty sure you take Tavares over Van Riemsdyk eight days a week
Also the only thing I've lately been able to think about is Ottawa trading the best player it's ever had
Go to hell, hockey
Outta my way, Gyorkass
10:58
What is wrong with Lewis Brinson? He's getting on half a season worth of PA's already, and has been nothing short of awful.

I know he's got the tools to be good to great...is this a guy who is putting things together to figure it out & break out sometime, or is this player we're seeing who he really is?
Jeff Sullivan
10:59
It's not much but, since the start of June, Brinson does have a 107 wRC+
11:00
I don't think he's hopeless, but he's been a high-risk prospect for a while. Swings and misses with a third of his cuts. It helps that he's an above-average defensive CF. Just hope for progress over the next three months
The Law
11:00
The Yankees should send Sonny Gray to the minors when Tanaka returns. Yay or Nay?
Jeff Sullivan
11:00
Nay
Bort
11:01
What the heck is going on with Austin Barnes?
Jeff Sullivan
11:01
One could have rightfully asked the same thing about him last season
He's not as good as last year's 142 wRC+, and he's not as bad as this year's 77 wRC+. There you go!
borksadork
11:02
Odor turnt the corner?
Jeff Sullivan
11:02
If you can believe it, since the start of June, not only does Odor have a 111 wRC+ -- he has a walk rate of 11%!
11:03
He's swinging a lot less than he used to and, surprise, it's gotten him into better counts
11:04
I think this'll be a cyclical thing -- pitchers will come back into the zone more often, and then Odor will have to swing more often, and then all that goes on. I don't think Odor is fixed. But I think he is in a better place than he was a couple months back
Dustin
11:04
I entered this season with modest hopes that the Braves would end their stretch of awfulness and at least be fun to watch again; for that reason, I continue to convince myself 2018 doesn't end with a playoff berth. Am I wrong to do so?
Jeff Sullivan
11:04
I think you'd be wrong to do the alternative
With your approach, at least there's the possibility that you're forcing yourself to appreciate every game and every win
TRb
11:04
Just how much better are faster pitches? Is there a thresh where speed starts to matter less or more?
Jeff Sullivan
11:05
I think velocity bumps are most impactful around the 90mph zone
But I'm also waiting for the day when baseball stops scouting velocity over everything else. It's no coincidence pitchers are getting injured all the damn time
I used to celebrate the guys who gain a couple ticks season to season. Now they all just make me nervous
11:06
Drew Smyly might've been the tipping point
Vineet
11:06
Brewers have the biggest difference in Majors in their actual runs allowed (3.72/G) and Fangraphs ROS projected runs allowed (4.49/G). Projections don't trust what's happened so far? Do Brewers need to make a big push for this to be sustainable?
Jeff Sullivan
11:06
I think the Brewers will need to add a pitcher, but I also think the projections don't fully understand the strength of the Brewers' bullpen
11:07
I will point out the Brewers currently have baseball's second-lowest BABIP allowed (.269)
drobber
11:07
Can we assume Cano will play some 1B when he returns? Wouldn't that make the most sense?
Jeff Sullivan
11:07
Some first, some second, some DH
graphs man
11:07
the white sox have seen concerning approach problems with Yoan Moncada, Lucas Giolito looking like a nonfactor, horrific command from Michael Kopech, as well as a slew of other young players/ prospects performing poorly. how much does this set them back?
Jeff Sullivan
11:08
Overall, it has not been a positive season, to say nothing of the various top-prospect injuries. Doesn't mean they won't achieve a competitive window, but most definitely they shouldn't even consider the chance of a 2019 wild-card berth
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