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Jeff Sullivan FanGraphs Chat -- 7/7/17
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Jeff Sullivan
10:27
Anything else, about the 2017 season specifically, is likely to be spoken around. Nothing Dipoto can say to satisfy the audience when the biggest problem has been terrible luck
Patty O'Furniture
10:27
What type of return could Julio Teheran bring to ATL?
Jeff Sullivan
10:27
Right now, not a great one
In case you haven't noticed, he sucks
He's better than this, but he's tanked his value
careagan
10:30
I know Dave is more of the trade speculation guy, but I'm curious to see your opinion: do you think Calhoun, Verdugo and a top 15 org guy could get Sonny Gray and Khris Davis to the Dodgers?
Jeff Sullivan
10:30
That seems more like a Gray package than a Gray and Davis package
josh
10:31
Hello jeff. I have some recent success using the last 30 day stats. How would i narrow down the last 30 days against LHP? I can only seem to do last 30 days for both hands for both pitching and hitting. Thanks
Jeff Sullivan
Pretty Tony
10:32
As a Tigers fan, the future looks boring and bleak. I look at a team like the Brewers, who have 5 of BA's top 55 prospects, a tiny payroll, and a really interesting, cobbled-together team (that's playing well!) and I can't help but think DET could never expertly navigate a rebuild in quite the same way.
Jeff Sullivan
10:32
No one could expect things to go as smoothly as they have for the Brewers. This has been too fast. And it's likely to have more ups and downs before the Brewers are through this entirely
Mike Mitchell
10:33
Why should Jeff Luhnow even consider a trade 3 1/2 weeks early? He's 9 games ahead of the entire AL, and then you just absorb the extra 4 starts of injury risk without a warranty.
Jeff Sullivan
10:33
Depends what he wants. The benefit is trying to jump the market
But the Astros definitely shouldn't feel any urgency here
Guest
10:34
re: Belt, I assume that Dave meant he was hurt in terms of reputation
Jeff Sullivan
10:34
Thankfully, I think the actual teams are beyond caring about a player's reputation. That's more of a fan thing
Guest
10:35
Kahnle's been beaten up lately -- are the wheels coming off, or just some bad luck?
Jeff Sullivan
10:36
Just a few bad games. He's still throwing hard, still missing bats, still throwing a bunch of strikes. Strike rate up from 62% to 69%. He'll give up a home run here and there, but he's going to be a desirable deadline asset
Jake
10:37
How do the Blue Jays' asymmetrical farm quality (great 2020 ETAs, not much for 2018) impact Shapiro's somewhat mysterious plan to be both a buyer and seller, ostensibly in the hope of being competitive now and a champion later as well. Does it mean they need to hold Donaldson, Stroman, and the other guys with a year or two left?
Jeff Sullivan
10:38
I have a lot of trouble seeing the Jays selling unless things fall apart. They've done the opposite of late. They're still close enough right now I think they stick together
Q&A
10:38
I feel like a big portion of the game is becoming one dimensional on both sides - pitchers throw as hard as they can and come up less polished. Hitters swing for the fences on every pitch to hit dingers and not much else. Does this make the game more or less interesting for you?
Jeff Sullivan
10:39
I don't think that much has actually changed. Like, comparing the average game from now to the average game from a decade ago, we're talking about just a couple plate appearances per nine innings. That being said, this is just part of the current cycle. I think the velocity stuff will slow down as we develop a better understanding of the link between velocity and injury
Rick
10:39
I'd argue that Yelich is widely recognized as a star
Jeff Sullivan
10:39
On FanGraphs, he is, yes
Scuffy Mcgee
10:40
Has Orlando Arcia flown under the radar this year after big prospect status and a slow first season in the bigs?
Jeff Sullivan
10:41
He's flown under the radar because he's a glove-first youngster playing in the game's smallest market
And while he can defend just fine, he's no Andrelton Simmons
Mr. Deadline
10:41
Any surprising names that you see potentially getting moved at the deadline?
Jeff Sullivan
10:42
I don't think it's actually going to happen, but there's some possibility the Mariners attempt to unload
fla;kldjwf
10:42
Was looking at Castellanos last night and his splits are really weird. Home vs LHP - .107 avg --- Home vs RHP - .328 avg -- Away vs LHP - .325 avg -- Away vs RHP - .175 avg. Kills right as home, can't hit them away. Kills lefties away but can't hit them at home. That's not normal right?
Jeff Sullivan
10:43
As a rule of thumb, assume splits like this are nothing
Handedness splits are real, and home/away splits are real, but I don't know why there would be a reason to combine the two
CamdenWarehouse
10:43
Remember in March when it was a question if Jimmy Nelson was even going to make the Brewers' rotation? Baseball is weird.
Jeff Sullivan
10:43
I love the sudden breakouts. Baseball would be boring without them
Curved ball
10:43
How much blame is the homerun derby going to get for Bellingers current slump?
Jeff Sullivan
10:44
I *think* we're starting to move past that, but I'm sure it'll still come up
PrayforOtani
10:44
Your thoughts on the core of Andrus, Mazara, Gallo, Odor, Profar, (possibly Otani), carrying the Rangers over the next 2-5 years? What's the Ranger's long-term play given the young talent of Astros, Yankees, Cubs, Dodgers, Indians?
Jeff Sullivan
10:45
Rangers are in a pretty bad spot, even with Gallo hitting decently. So much is going to be determined by how they feel about their chances at Otani. With him, sure, they could keep contending. Without him, this is an incomplete roster that doesn't have a long-term star
Guest
10:45
is jarrod dyson a good baseball player?
Jeff Sullivan
10:45
Yes
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