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Jeff Sullivan FanGraphs Chat -- 8/1/18
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Jeff Sullivan
10:36
Rays opening-day payroll has topped out at $77 million. A's opening-day payroll has topped out at $87 million. Pirates opening-day payroll has topped out at $100 million
10:37
The Pirates cleared $90 million three years in a row
Not saying that's all because of the ballpark, of course, but everyone benefits when a stadium isn't a nightmare
(Except for many of the taxpayers!)
v2micca
10:38
So, is the Chris Sale DL stink purely precautionary on Boston's part, or should Red Sox fans be a little nervous?
Jeff Sullivan
10:39
You should be a little more nervous than the front-office speak would suggest, because teams have a habit of downplaying these things. At the same time, it does appear to be precautionary, and the Red Sox are in a comfortable spot, so my worry would be at just a 3 or 4 out of 10
Sale has never been sidelined by a shoulder problem before in the bigs
Zonk
10:40
Did the Cubs do enough to address the starting pitching issues?  Was Theo backed into dumpster-diving by lack of impact prospects to trade?
Jeff Sullivan
10:40
Few prospects to move, and Hamels has as good a contact rate as he ever has. I see why they believe Hamels is better than this
10:41
This is on Lester and Quintana to do better than they have. The rotation is overflowing with name value. Results haven't matched. The absence of Darvish is obviously another big problem
Mets gonna Mets
10:42
So after do nothing yesterday, the Mets suffer their worst loss in franchise history... which I suppose should have been a given at this point. At least no one got hurt. Is there any hope for 2019?
Jeff Sullivan
10:42
Yes
Moderate, but it's there
10:43
You could do worse than starting with deGrom, Syndergaard, Nimmo, and Conforto
Billy Beane
10:43
The A's should have definitely matched the offer for Gausman and O'Day, right? It wasn't nothing, but getting a reliable starter and shortening the game with a guy like O'Day would've helped them more than most.
Jeff Sullivan
10:43
O'Day is out for the rest of the season
10:44
That was a money move, with the Braves taking the contract instead of giving up better prospects
Cartulo
10:46
I've heard a lot of "Rays waited a year too long" to trade Archer. Last year the Rays were in the thick of the WC race. Even if the prize was a play-in game at the Bronx it didn't made sense to let go of the teams best pitcher when they were still fighting for something. Context matters. Also, Meadows and Glasnow have lost shine but if the Rays can get them to being close to what they were, then the haul is absurd.
Jeff Sullivan
10:46
On deadline day last year, the Red Sox were WC1, and the Royals were WC2, 2.5 games ahead of the Rays
10:47
The Pirates traded for Archer when they were 3.5 games out of WC2
In other words, I agree with you
10:48
And while you could argue the Rays could've traded Archer last winter, I guess, remember that they have the AL's fifth-best BaseRuns winning percentage right now
They thought they could contend. They've only traded Archer when another team ponied up
Bo
10:49
What can we expect from Kolby Allard the rest of the year? I'm not going to knock him too much for his debut, given the rainy conditions.
Jeff Sullivan
10:50
I'm not super enthusiastic. He's been an average contact guy even in the high minors. Not an extreme strike-thrower. Back-of-the-rotation starter right now
ceiling fan
10:51
In Travis' article on the Dodgers' Dozier acquisition, he mentions that they "just slide under the luxury tax." Won't Kenta Maeda's incentives push them over that threshold?
Jeff Sullivan
We can assume, for matters such as this, that the Dodgers have the best information possible
This is why Forsythe was included, going the other way
Matt
10:53
Did you see last night's Nats/Mets game? Thoughts on Shawn Kelley?
Jeff Sullivan
10:53
I'm going to guess that display was only the tip of the iceberg
Ryan from Pittsburgh
10:53
So given that everyone now plays for a new team, which organization's moves will move the needle the most. Pirates? Brewers? PIRATES! WOOOOO ARCHER!!!!
Jeff Sullivan
10:54
Off the top of my head, the Dodgers and Pirates might've gained the most meaningful 2018 impact
I don't know. It's hard. There were so many trades! Every good team got better!
Ian
10:54
What’s Glasnow’s WAR total for the next three years?
Jeff Sullivan
10:54
I like him. 5.5
Poised
10:56
Should the Rockies play Dahl in CF and move Blackmon to a corner?
Jeff Sullivan
10:57
I understand why it hasn't happened, but I do think there's a good chance they'd be better with Dahl or even Tapia
I just don't know what Parra is doing for them
Abie H
10:59
Whats taking so long for the MLB to force the Wilpons to sell? This team is a disaster of epic proportions.
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