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Jeff Sullivan FanGraphs Chat -- 9/12/18
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Travis
11:03
Trout/Harper is dead; it's all about 2nd place now, between Harper/Machado.  What're your guesses for their contract length/$?  Who do you think performs better?
Jeff Sullivan
11:04
How about Trout/Betts? It's something new!
I don't actually have a current contract prediction for Harper/Machado, because we haven't recently seen many cases like these. I think, because of the competitive-balance-tax threshold, the contracts are going to be necessarily creative, structured in ways that don't lend themselves to the familiar year/dollars construct
11:05
I think I slightly prefer Machado, for his superior bat control
Ko
11:06
How much has the outlook changed on Adalberto Mondesi? in an extended sample, he's more or less what everybody's thought, high K's, low BB's, plus power, defense & 80 speed. Seems pretty underrated for a barely 23yo
Jeff Sullivan
11:07
I think it's always justifiably hard to trust a player with his approach. He needs so many things to go right in order to be an average hitter. It's a good thing he's so dangerous on the bases
Room for progress here, to be certain, but when I look at Mondesi I don't yet see a plus regular
Acunami
11:08
Are people overlooking the Braves in the NL? With Folty and Gausman, the strong top of the lineup, could they emerge with the pennant?
Jeff Sullivan
11:08
Sure they could. Or someone else could, too
The best team in the National League doesn't currently occupy a playoff spot. If the Dodgers remain out of the picture, that makes the path clearer for everybody
11:09
Don't think the Braves are markedly worse than any of the other contenders
distracted in class
11:10
How am I supposed to feel that the best starting pitching staff the Rockies have had in my lifetime allows 0.88 runs per first inning?
Jeff Sullivan
11:10
That is weird!
11:11
Overall, not adjusting for park, the Rockies rank 21st in runs allowed. They rank dead last in runs allowed in the first inning
Now, last year, they ranked ninth in runs allowed in the first inning
11:12
So I'm not convinced there's an actual problem. But it's enough for them to reevaluate their warmup routines
Mordecai Brown
11:12
For how many teams would Shohei Ohtani become the best hitter if suddenly traded? Over/under 50%? (By my count everyone other than Yankees, Red Sox, Indians, Astros, Athletics, Dodgers, Diamondbacks, Reds, Nationals, Braves, Rockies, Cardinals, Brewers)
Jeff Sullivan
11:12
Yeah, I'd guess about half
11:13
All right, I need to get rolling
So thank you everybody for hanging out, and I'm sorry for what I didn't or couldn't address. We'll do it again next week at the normal Friday slot, and until then, be well and have great days
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