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Justin Mason Baseball Chat
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Kate
10:51
Will Spencer Steer and / or Will Brennan have full-time roles to start the year?  Or will they need to hit / injury their way into a starting spot?
Justin Mason
10:53
I believe that both will. Both will have to hit to have a role worth drafting in most formats though.
Titio
10:53
I hate to ask this, but would it be crazy to trade Soto right now in dynasty if I can get a haul back?
Justin Mason
10:55
I would want a massive haul! That being said, I am always will to make deals on just about anyone if the price is right. I traded away at the end of 2021 in a long term keep league with contracts for Devers, LeMahieu, Santander, Carlos Colmanrez, and a couple of first rounders last year. I will probably regret it for ever, but I also was going for a title and was able to move those picks and prospect for even more to add to my team.
Kate
10:55
Does Kyle Muller need a trade to get another real shot at a rotation spot?  Does he get moved this offseason?  Or does Atlanta keep him around for depth?
Justin Mason
10:57
I think he stays with Atlanta. Can never have too much pitching depth and they just moved Odorizzi. With Soroka's health and Morton's age concerns, I don't think they would move him.
Justin
10:58
I'm in a 15-team dynasty league. I was offered Bleday, A. Martin, and Nolan Jones for Gray. Was also offered Jairo Pomares, Isaiah Greene, and the 54th pick in 2023.
Justin Mason
10:59
I think I would do the deal for Bleday and Martin. Neither are likely stars, but both should be valuable 15-team pieces.
I assume that was Josiah Gray and not Jon or Sonny
Kate
10:59
BTW stumbled upon Nick Pollack's "Nick Pollack and Friends" podcast series recently and listened to the episodes with you and Sporer.  Really enjoyed learning more about you guys!  Had to laugh at the idea of Sporer managing a Jamba Juice franchise haha!
Justin Mason
11:00
Thanks! Nick is a great friend and he is always a blast to talk to in that kind of setting. I told him at FPAZ that I want to do it again.
Titio
11:00
With deGrom’s health and age, it’s not crazy to move him for a stable younger piece, is it? Say, Framber Valdez? (dynasty league)
Justin Mason
11:00
It is not crazy, but I have a hard time giving him up for just Framber and I am probably the biggest Framber guy in the industry.
Chip Locke
11:01
In a $135 NL-Only league I have both McCarthy and Meneses keepable at $11 (FAs are $10 and prices go up 10% each year). My plan is to shop them around and see what I can get for each, but are either of these going to generate value at that price do you think? Would they be worth keeping if I don't find a good buyer, or should I just cut bait and see what they cost in the auction?
Justin Mason
11:02
In an NL only, I think you definitely keep them if you don't find buyers. I am not as big on them as Steamer is but they should play a lot and should recoup most of that unless they completely fall apart.
TheLaserShow
11:02
Is Rasmussen just a drop in the pan or can he keep this up?
Justin Mason
11:03
I absolutely think he can keep this up. I think the big question is will the Rays allow him to go deep enough into games to really make him an SP 2? That is a tough question. They started at the end of the season...
Justin
11:03
What do you think of Wilson Contreras' worth in a two-catcher, 15-team dynasty league?
Justin Mason
11:04
I think he is extremely underrated this season. I know some people will fade him with other options emerging and his going to a new park/team, but there is almost no catcher as safe as him and wherever he goes, he is likely getting a team upgrade.
Matthew
11:05
We're on year 17 of a keeper league, but it's falling apart because too many guys don't have the time to do daily roto. Have you ever changed league rules from roto to weekly H2H? Anything to keep in mind to keep the league fun/balanced?
Justin Mason
11:07
That is a big move. Have you thought about moving to weekly roto? If you do move to weekly H2H, don't load up with a ton of extra categories. Doing that makes it more like a points league. Stick with a 5x5 or a 6x6. The most important thing is that as many people being on board as possible. Sometimes leagues go through down periods. As long as it is fun, you guys will make it work.
Travis
11:07
Can you tell us a little about how you do your in-season research, in terms of tools/process? I'd love to know how an expert's workflow looks.
Justin Mason
11:10
So I start my ranks in August/September of the previous season. I want to get my initial thoughts before others have ranks or projections out so I have my own baseline. I then start full projections in October, but this year I was a little late. Once ADP, others ranks and projections are out, I am reading everything I can. I am looking for where my ranks and projections are completely different to challenge myself to do deep dives on whether I think the market is right or I am. At the same time, I am doing article for the site and podcasts that shape what I think. I did an Offseason Checklist article recently that goes into more detail
Gary
11:11
Twins going to give Ober enough starts to be fantasy relevant in 12 team mixed?  The guy seems to deal when given opportunities.
Justin Mason
11:11
I really hope so. I projected him for 125 innings last night but they are a really good 125 innings. I am a big fan.
Kate
11:12
How confident are you that Hunter Brown will find his way into Houston's starting rotation permanently at some point this year?  I was thinking Verlander would almost certainly return (which would have made him 7th in line for the rotation), but it seems like maybe that's not the slam dunk I thought it was?
Justin Mason
11:14
I do think Verlander is back, but there is no reason why Brown can't bump out Urquidy and McCullers is no guarantee to stay healthy. I think he is a long term play this year, so it really depends on your format. Can you stash him for a while? These things often work themselves out.
bushupking
11:14
Do you buy the injury-prone label on Santander?
Justin Mason
11:15
I do not. He played in 152 games in 2022. I don't think there is much reason to think he can't play in 140-150 this year especially with how much they DH him.
Identity Theft Isn't Funny
11:15
Should I be selling Mike Trout in dynasty now before the injuries ruin all his value?
Justin Mason
11:16
That is tough because he is still a beast when he is on the field. I would want a pretty nice return, but I can see the argument for a 31 year old that has missed a lot of time.
Aloha
11:17
Aloha! Do you think Trent Grisham is poised for a big breakout season this year?
Justin Mason
11:19
Probably not unless we see a complete approach change. He needs to get more aggressive in the zone. If he does that and keeps the exit velocity gains, then maybe. I think he is worth the price right now.
11:20
I think I talk myself into Grisham every time I discuss him lol. Like Charlie Brown kicking a football
Justin
11:20
Speaking of McCullers, what is his value? He's overpriced in my league ($21) and due for an extension.
Justin Mason
11:20
I projected him for 130 innings for 2023. They aren't bad innings, but I think there is so much risk.
Sierra
11:21
Better buy low Chi Sox candidate - Robert or Moncada?
Justin Mason
11:21
Robert
Johnny5Alive
11:21
Someone on twitter floated Devers to NYM for Baty, Tidwell, and Morabito.  While I think its a little rich for 1 year of Devers, would you do, say, Baty for Devers straight up? Would either team?
Justin Mason
11:22
I wouldn't be surprised if both would do it. If Boston doesn't think they can resign him, do they want to lose him like they are Bogaerts? I think the Mets would sell their soul for a championship at this point.
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