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Justin Mason Baseball Chat
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Justin Mason
10:48
Justin Turner and Josh Jung at 3B, Grissom, Stott, Luis Garcia at 2B.
Guest
10:49
First time caller, long-time reader and listener. Justin, I love you. Am I wrong in thinking the shift ban isn't going to have the intent that many anticipate? I don't have the numbers to back it up but if I had to guess... I imagine the shift happening in the outfield has likely suppressed much more of the 'fun' out of baseball. The infield shift ban will likely inflate BABIP of balls hit on the ground, but that flyball stuff that turns into doubles and triples will remain deflated prior to the money ball era, no?? Curious to hear your thoughts on (1) who benefits from the infield shift the most and (2) if you think MLB will ban the 'outfield' shift sooner rather than later once they realize the infield shift ban won't inject as much run production as they anticipate...
Justin Mason
10:51
I appreciate the love! I think we may overthink this a ton this offseason. Teams and pitchers will adjust and teams can still shift, just not as drastically. I think it is hard to pinpoint individual teams and players as we just have no idea. I am focusing on contact skills and teams with good defense already. I hope MLB doesn't make anymore mid-season changes, but who can trust them after the last few years?
Jim
10:51
you are a commanders fan and a San Francisco Giants fan? Seems like you have a few rough years ahead for you. I am from DC, I’ll pick up my commanders fandom back up once Snyder is out of the picture. At least I’m an Orioles fan and not a nationals fan so I have something to look forward to these next few years lol
Justin Mason
10:52
I am a commanders and SF Giants fan. Grew up in DC before the Nationals arrived. Looking forward to new ownership in DC. It is going to be a long few seasons as a fan for both teams
old Guy
10:52
Corbin Carrol or Jordan Walker, who is better, now or future
Justin Mason
10:53
Carroll is better now and long term, but I like Walker a lot.
Brettbland
10:53
Gabriel Moreno stats this year and does he start in majors this year.
Justin Mason
10:54
I think he starts the year in the Majors, but it is a frustrating time share with Kelly. 10-12 home runs and a .270 average seems about right.
Damian
10:54
Do you think franmil is done , or gets another chance? He did hit 37 hr a couple years ago
Justin Mason
10:55
I think he gets another chance somewhere, but wouldn't be surprised if doesn't. His profile is not what teams covet.
Brettb
10:55
Thoughts on bubble Thompson
Justin Mason
10:55
If he doesn't learn to make better contact, he is a AAAA player.
James
10:55
Will Josh Lowe or J Kelenic ever become really good major leaguers
Justin Mason
10:55
I still believe in Kelenic.
The Wizard of Oz
10:56
Will Ozzie Albies bat in the #6 or 7 hole because Michael Harris will be at #2? Or will Albies hit near the top? Big change in value here.
Justin Mason
10:56
I think Albies starts in the six hole but moves back up once it is clear he is completely healthy.
James
10:56
John Gray or Sonny Gray, who has the better stats in 2023
Justin Mason
10:56
John
Guest
10:57
Freddy Peralta worth the risk at a bit of a discount this year?
Justin Mason
10:58
I think so, but I wish the discount was larger. Still guys going behind him that I prefer.
Marc
10:58
Keep S. Perez ($20M) or A. Kirk($1M) in a salaried keeper league?
Justin Mason
10:58
Give me the discount on Kirk
Marc
11:00
Thoughts on Buxton this year?
Justin Mason
11:01
I think we are still haven't seen a big enough discount personally, but he is definitely cheaper than previously. Love the upside, but the injuries take away so much value. In a shallow league with IL spots, I'll take the gamble. In deeper leagues, I am staying away.
Just Me
11:01
You mentioned Torkelson as a post-hype buy, who are some others?  Is Jake Burger one?
Justin Mason
11:05
Burger is one I will take in extremely deep leagues. Riley Greene, Casas, Kelenic, Bart, Gore, Alek Thomas, Royce Lewis, Brujan, Jarren Duran, Larnach, Pearson are others.
RS
11:05
You think Castellanos comes back? He's cheap enough to be a value right now if he can get back to form.
Justin Mason
11:06
I think he can, but maybe not to what he was in his peak seasons in Cincy. 25+ homers and a .265 average is what I am thinking.
Treebearded
11:06
Which of these SP are going to make a major jump this year? George Kirby, Joe Ryan, Freddy Peralta, Patrick Sandoval, Tarik Skubal, Triston McKenzie, Roansy Contreras, Tony Gonsolin, Christian Javier
Justin Mason
11:07
I like almost all those names to be honest outside of Skubal who is a huge injury red flag.
Thank you all so much for joining the chat! Please follow me on all my social media's (twitter, tiktok, facebook, youtube, and instagram) at JustinMasonFWFB! I am doing 30 team preview podcasts in 30 days on the FWFB podcast as well as three episodes a week for the Sleeper and the Bust so definitely make sure you are subscribed there as well!
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