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Justin Mason Baseball Chat
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DressBarn
10:30
Hi Justin, thanks for the chat.  I've got a MI keeper problem.  I can only keep one of either Andres Gimenez or Wander Franco and I can't decide who to keep.  Any help on making my decision would be welcome. Thanks!
Justin Mason
10:30
Really depends on if it is a short term keeper league or long term. Long term I want Franco. This year I want Gimenez.
KevinT
10:31
Is the fantasy community on the whole not looking enough at all the rule changes and how thats going to affect pitching? I know alot of it is guesswork, but the fact is I have not heard anyone talk about the time to first. And as we know, "pitchers are creatures of habit". Just feel like especially for closers, guys like Jansen and Devin Williams with slow times to first are avoids this year for me.
Justin Mason
10:32
I think it is just so hard to quantify things. Some guys that are slow will struggle and others will adjust with little problems. Identifying who will and who won't is kind of a crapshoot. I understand using it as a tie breaker if you think that two guys are really close in value, but I am not taking a guy off my board because of something like that.
Keeper dilemma
10:32
Choose two SP between deGrom, Nola, Webb, and Fried. Points league but kind of prehistoric, with big numbers for wins, innings and k's.
Justin Mason
10:33
Nola for sure. Then it is between Fried and deGrom for me and that is a discussion between safety and upside. In a shallow league, I go deGrom. In a deeper league I lean Fried.
AJ Puk
10:33
Am I the immediate frontrunner for saves in Miami?
Justin Mason
10:33
No
Veenstar
10:34
Alec Bohm showed a lof progress last year, hoping he can do the same and keep building.  What do you expect of him in a loaded Philly lineup and where does he rank as far as third basemen go?  Thanks for the chat!
Justin Mason
10:34
I have Bohm 12th, but I also havent drafted him yet this year. I love his upside, but until he can raise that launch angle, the ceiling is not attainable.
Jefferson
10:35
Does Franmil Reyes play in the majors this year? I have to assume he settles on a minor league deal and gets called up for at least some run at DH
Justin Mason
10:35
I think he should get a shot somewhere, but he might also lead the KBO in home runs this year.
Archibald Witwicky
10:35
Waiting on catcher and taking Grandal & Bethancourt as your top 2 in a DC is which of the following: Dumb, Risky, Depends on your roster construction, Bold, Innovative, None of the Above
Justin Mason
10:36
I think it is a bit risky, but I also don't mind it because you can load up elsewhere. Just make sure your catchers 3 and 4 are playable or at least have some upside.
Eladio
10:36
Do you think Hayes could surprise and become a long term piece again?
Justin Mason
10:37
I am assuming you are talking about Ke'Bryan Hayes. I think at this point that he is what he is unless he can raise that launch angle. That being said, I dream on what we saw in 2020.
Archibald Witwicky
10:39
If a transformer could turn into a bat or a ball, would that help Victor Robles with his exit velocity issues?
Justin Mason
10:40
Probably not lol. I probably will never completely give up on him though. He did have a big gain in hard hit rate in the second half and he made gains in his zone contact. Screw it! I am back in baby!
I am kidding. Kind of.
Salvo
10:41
5x5 (WHIP, QS, S+H) 12-team roto draft league, $260 budget, six keepers. Teams often roster 3-4 good/great starters, stream the other starter spots. I'm keeping Jazz plus five pitchers; whom do I NOT keep? Woodruff ($15), McClanahan ($9), Nestor Cotes ($6), Tristen McKenzie ($6), Hunter Greene ($6), Helsley ($6).
Justin Mason
10:41
Man that is tough. I think I would probably not keep McKenzie
Salvo
10:41
I meant 5x5 AUCTION, not draft, in my question.
Sam
10:41
I'm trying to figure out my dynasty league pitching staff and can't decide between Lance Lynn and Nick Lodolo. Who would your preference be?
Justin Mason
10:42
If you are competiting this year, I go Lynn. If you are thinking more long term, it is Lodolo.
Alex
10:42
A lot of times in preseason articles someone will recommend a player as a sleeper, which gets that player drafted. How long do you usually hang onto sleepers before moving on? Do you give them a month, half a season, etc?
Justin Mason
10:44
I think that is player to player dependent. My general rule is that anyone drafted in the last third of my draft is cuttable otherwise I would have drafted them earlier. That being said, if I believe in a profile, or I see something on the field or in the numbers, I have no problem holding pat.
Dave H
10:44
In our NL Only keeper league we have talked about adding holds or .5 holds as a category stat but there is reluctance from some managers. What impact on closer/saves value do you think that could have? Lots of arguments being made from both sides. Thanks Justin
Justin Mason
10:46
I think that just makes the reliever pool deeper. It really comes down to what your league wants to do. I tend to think that making something easier doesn't necessarily make it better especially when holds is not a very good stat generally anyhow. I am also a fantasy purest so I tend to believe I you give me the rules of the game and it is my job to figure out how to win not to change the rules to make it easier for me.
Orioles2024
10:46
Need help!  Keep 5 in a HtH categories, 10 teamer.  Adley, BWJ, Gunnar, JRod, Acuna...and Manoah.  Am I crazy to go into the draft with no pitchers?  But those first five...wow?
Justin Mason
10:48
Man, that is a pretty awesome crew in a keeper. I don't have an issue going in with five hitters, but in a one catcher I would probably throw back Adley and in a two catcher maybe I try and package Manoah and Henderson for another stud. If you can't get a deal done, I might just roll with the hitters and try to get Manoah in the draft.
Archibald Witwicky
10:48
Toying with the idea of drafting 2 closers in the top 4 rounds of a DC. Ignoring closing (relatively) for the rest of the draft, and loading up on SP so that 6 of the top 10 picks are pitchers. Thoughts?
Justin Mason
10:50
I don't necessarily hate this idea, but it could put you behind in offense and starting pitching. If you do it, then I guess I would go hitter, hitter, RP, RP and then hammer hitting. I prefer to just get one RP that early unless value dictates something else.
The enemy of my enemy
10:50
Would think Correa would get a bump in your estimation given he and the Dodgers' mutual disdain. Is that what makes it a "weird" hatred?
Justin Mason
10:51
I don't know. I just have always disliked him as a player and personality. I was really annoyed when the Giants "signed him" and was pretty relieved when it fell through.
Dave H
10:51
Who do you favor between Chourio/Wood/Jones/Painter in a 5x5 dynasty draft?
Justin Mason
10:51
Jones, Wood, Painter, Chourio but they are all studs.
KevinT
10:52
Do you think overall about the fantasy market as a whole and try to Zig where others Zag or do you fall in line mostly? For example, the narrative is "pitching is deep, so you can wait on pitching" this year. But wouldnt the optimal strategy if the conventional wisdom is to wait on pitching to attack it early?
Justin Mason
10:54
I think if a draft or auction falls that way, then it definitely can be smart to zig while others zag. For instance, in my first draft of the year I was picking at 15 and both Cole and Burnes fell to me there. So instead of taking neither or one, I started pocket aces with the top 2 SPs in the game. I think there is a difference between taking advantage of value because of group think and just being different to be different. I don't want to be the latter.
Hector
10:54
What are your thoughts on keeping a reasonably priced good veteran as opposed to an inexpensive rookie. Example 11 team AL only standard 5x5, $260 budget, 20% inflation- keep Bergman at $23 or Jung at $7. Thanks!
Justin Mason
10:56
To me it comes down to safety versus the potential reward. I think too often we gamble on the cheaper guy because he is cheap as opposed to the more expensive guy that we know should return value. In this case, If I feel like as much as like Jung, Alex Bregman is probably the better bet.
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