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Justin Mason Baseball Chat
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Justin Mason
9:03
Justin Mason: Will start at the top of the hour and if we have enough questions. In the meantime, please follow me on all my social media’s (twitter, tiktok, facebook, youtube, and instagram) at JustinMasonFWFB! I am doing regular podcasts on the FWFB podcast as well as three episodes a week for the Sleeper and the Bust so definitely make sure you are subscribed there as well!
9:04
I also have my Beat Justin Mason Online Championship today at 3pm EST and will be streaming it live on my youtube, twitch, and twitter as well as I will have a post for it on FanGraphs!
Just Wait
10:00
In a 5x5 roto, which position(s) would you feel comfortable filling a starter in the last few rounds, and with which player(s)? 1B seems to be very deep
Justin Mason
10:02
I think when we talk about positional scarcity it really depends on how deep of a league we are talking. For instance, SS is loaded, but in a deeper league, it falls off pretty quickly. 1B is is probably the easiest to get later on for sure. I have an article coming out on Fantasy Pros that I finished last night that breaks down my thoughts on each position for shallower and deeper formats.
BlueJayMatt
10:02
3B is weak this year, outside of the top 6-8 guys - how do you strategize to account for this during the draft?
Justin Mason
10:03
I think it is definitely weaker in the middle than at the top or in the back of the draft, but honestly it is not as bad as second base. I am hoping to leave my draft with an elite guy but if I don't I have found myself just waiting and taking one of the high upside young guys later like Josh Jung and Jordan Walker.
TJ
10:03
Hey Justin! Got a keeper question here (14 Team H2H Cat). All the details are in this image (https://imgur.com/a/sAYWmlR) as it would be easier than to type out and format. I have my 12 keepers planned for now. Would you change anything?
Justin Mason
10:04
I think the 12 you have lined up is right but I think you can make the argument for Lawlar over Chourio
cool 1
Frank
10:04
Am I crazy for thinking $7 Haase is a sneaky keeper in a 12 team AL only league when 6 of the other top 10 catchers are also being kept?
Justin Mason
10:05
I think he is a decent keeper at that price depending on your other keepers. You may be able to get him back for about that anyways.
Nick
10:05
What's Lux's upside if the reports of him coming in much stronger than last year translate to an increase in batted ball metrics?
Justin Mason
10:06
I think he has legit 25/20 upside. I have alleys been a big fan and he is still very young. He is a big target for me in drafts this year.
Closer and closers
10:06
Hi Justin. 10 team AL only. Debating between keeping $14 Clase or $1 Munoz (or maybe both). Any preference? I only get 4 keepers, so the idea of making 2 of them RPs is odd, but saves in AL Only look shaky.
Justin Mason
10:07
I would only keep Clase if I had only four keepers. I love Munoz's ceiling, but I also don't think he gets the job by himself in Seattle
Ron
10:07
Hey Justin,  What are your quick season projections on Jazz Chisholm and Oneil Cruz?  Trying to determine reasonable draft rounds for each, without overpaying. Thanks
Justin Mason
10:08
I have Cruz for 27/19 with a .242 and Chisholm for 22/22 .241. The difference being that I only have Chisholm getting 500 PAs because of injury.
tortycraig
10:09
Hi Justin! Keeping 8 of 10 in Roto 5x5 OBP Auction Draft League – cost savings for Lindor over Turner make sense to you? Keep Bregman over J Ram as well for more savings?? Thank you!

Leave

T. Turner (44)
Bregman (20)

Keep

Lindor (15)
Jose Ramirez (47)
Julio Rodriguez (20)
Mullins (8)
Robert (8)
Rutschman (6)
Cease (15)
Helsley (6)
Justin Mason
10:10
I would keep Lindor over Turner and definitely J-Ram over Bregman in this scenario.
BlueJayMatt
10:10
How many fantasy teams are you going to have this year?
Justin Mason
10:10
I am not counting this year. lol
Definitely more than last year but I don't know that I get back to my 2021 numbers.
5x5 roto
10:11
In your experience, who has the most accurate ranks for a 5x5?
Justin Mason
10:11
I think ATC is usually up there because he takes a smart aggregate of the best projection systems.
Trader Bob
10:12
Having some deep ambivalence about Tanner Houck as a keeper ... Jeff Zimmerman was pretty down on him as a starter in his scouting report, and he's coming off of surgery, but he hasn't not excelled at the MLB level, and the BoSox rotation is so rickety ...
Justin Mason
10:12
I am staying away from Houck. He is the type of guy you pick up if things are going well, but don't draft.
AlbertEinstein
10:13
Was mathematics invented or discovered?
Justin Mason
10:13
Pretty sure the chicken hears the tree fall.
Bart
10:13
14 Team ROTO Keeper league- keep 7- Who would you choose between Jeremy Pena, SS, Hou and Matt Chapman 3B Tor?
Justin Mason
10:14
Chapman for me. I like Pena, but don't see much growth in the profile and third base is more difficult to manage.
BT in VT
10:14
How good of an offensive player do you think William Contreras/Brewers can be?
Justin Mason
10:15
I think he can be pretty good, but I also don't know that he gets a ton of extra plate appearances at DH which could help him compile more. He is a top 12 catcher this year, but I don't see him breaking into the top 5-7
Air Yordan
10:15
In a points league (emphasis on strikeout and walk rates) I’m ready to go in on Vinnie P a round or 2 early. Is there any reason other than a poor lineup around him that I shouldn’t?
Justin Mason
10:15
Nope. Go get your guy.
RGM
10:15
Does Bryson Stott have Andres Gimenez breakout potential?  Is there anyone you're excited to see if they have a Gimenez type jump in them this year?
Justin Mason
10:17
I don't think he has that high of a ceiling in the speed department personally. The guys that I see that could are CJ Abrams, Nic Hoerner, Ha-Seong Kim, and Ezequiel Tovar. I don't dislike Stott, but he isn't a major target for me. More of a compiler than a potential stud
*Nico Hoerner
Dave
10:17
Can Ketel Marte score 100 runs this year?
Justin Mason
10:17
If he can stay healthy for a full season I think he could surprise, but dude just hasn't been able to stay on the field.
Matt
10:18
In round 14 of a current Draft & Hold, but in my opinion the room is bonkers. Hitters going way over ADP, Pitchers way under. So I'm re-evaluating my list. Do I go with the crowd? Zig-Zag? Or just take whatever value is there at the time?
Justin Mason
10:19
I like to soak up the value at that point and as long as it doesn't put me way behind. Just be careful of the positional drop-offs. I have had two DCs where I pushed SS too far and was left with garbage at what is supposed to be the deepest position this year.
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