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Justin Mason Baseball Chat
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Justin Mason
9:47
Chat will begin at the top of the hour as long as we have enough questions. In the meantime, please follow me on all my social media’s (twitter, tiktok, facebook, youtube, bluesky, mastodon, threads, post, and instagram) at JustinMasonFWFB! I am doing regular podcasts on the FWFB podcast as well as three episodes a week for the Sleeper and the Bust so definitely make sure you are subscribed there as well!
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10:00
Good morning everyone!
Or afternoon!
Matt
10:00
I'm having a lot of trouble on my drop decision with Lux. $9 in Ottoneu. I feel like he could have a great season with his potential, but there is obviously so much risk. What are your thoughts?
Justin Mason
10:01
I am a big fan of lux, so at that price I would probably keep him because he is surely going to go for more than that in the auction.
Keith
10:01
30 team league. Who wins this deal: Tatis for McLain and Gavin Williams?
Justin Mason
10:02
For me it is Tatis because it is so hard to acquire premier talent in leagues that side. I know depth is important but give me the stud.
Luke
10:02
Do you think Sal Frelick or Cedanne Rafaela end up being top 100 dynasty players?
Justin Mason
10:02
Probably not.
My Name
10:02
I know this is a big and sort of vague question, but what (if any) league-wide macro trends are you keeping an eye on in early '24? For instance, I know a lot of people were paying attention to whether guys were stealing more with the bigger bases last year. Any large-scale shifts like that currently on your radar?
Justin Mason
10:03
I don't think that we have massive ones like last year. The big thing I am thinking about is the pitch clock. Guys who struggled with it last year may struggle more and if the uptick in pitching injuries was correlated to the pitch clock then I want to be very careful with injury risk pitchers this year.
Luke
10:03
Do you prefer Brayan Bello or Gavin Williams long term?
Justin Mason
10:04
That is really close, but I think it is Bello for me.
Qane
10:04
Thank you for doing these! Must-reads always. Keeper auction 6x6 roto that adds IP for pitchers, and BB-K for hitters. I can keep 6. Inflation for top available talent at auction is pretty massive. Focus is 2024 but consideration for +$3 for 2025 for young guys also in the mix. Final two spots, who do you like: Steer $8, Montgomery $10, Bello, $8, Tork $7. Thanks
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Justin Mason
10:04
Tork and Steer
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Ryan
10:05
Do you see Jared Jones having a big impact this year or is he more of a long term play?
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Justin Mason
10:06
I think he is more of a long term play. The Pirates are not overly aggressive with their young pitchers traditionally and Jones isn't on the 40-man yet.
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Vince
10:06
Justin thanks for your service! Now, that you are a champion, could you give me your wisdom on Albies vs Semien and Eflin vs Webb in a very high fantasy I.Q., 12-tm, H2H categories league. Thanks!
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Justin Mason
10:07
So, Albies vs Semien is a question of upside versus floor. Albies could have a massive ceiling but he has had injury issues and isn't quite as bankable as Semien who is a modern day iron man at 2B. I prefer the stability of Semien especially early in the draft, but I don't think you can go wrong with either.
10:09
Eflin vs Webb is a similar conversation. If Eflin stays healthy, I think he can be a top 15 pitcher in 2024, but health had been an issue for him prior to TB. Webb is a bankable asset but not as flashy and he plays on a team that won't get him a lot of wins. I lean Eflin here because of his upside
Charlie Morton Stanbase
10:09
What do you think is the best way to handle incoming crossover players in an NL/AL only salary cap dynasty league (from a league rules & admin standpoint)?
Justin Mason
10:10
That is a really interesting question but I think you should probably handle them like you would any other free agent. Set up a bidding process that is fair across the board.
Ruby
10:10
Who’s a better Jackson to hold in my keeper league? I have both on the roster and I don’t think I can hold both.
Justin Mason
10:10
Holliday
dave
10:11
Can Keaton Winn be a solid contributor for NL only leagues?  He had a solid K rate throughout the minor leagues and seems locked into the backend of the rotation.
Justin Mason
10:12
The stuff is really intriguing and I know he is going to be a popular sleeper for deeper formats. That being said, I do worry about the Giants organization and how they handle pitchers. Maybe a new manager changes that but it also may be more of organizational philosophy.
tumtum
10:12
Andres Munoz's FB is too hittable for a closer, right? Should I sell high before he fails in the role, or hold tight?
Justin Mason
10:12
I think you hold tight.
tumtum
10:13
How long do you think Seth Brown and JJ Belday lose their spots in the OF and Butler moves up?
Justin Mason
10:13
I don;t think Brown loses his role but I think that Bleday could be part of a very frustrating rotation that includes Butler all season long.
RAGBRAI
10:14
Has anyone in the NLC done enough to separate themselves from the pack so far? Who is the current favorite?
Justin Mason
10:14
I think it is a pretty close race with all five teams that should be very fun to watch. If I had to bet on one it is the Cardinals, but I could honestly see any team winning it.
My Shoulder Hurts
10:14
Hi Justin! I can’t believe I’m asking this, but in a keep forever league, do I want to keep Kershaw or Jon Gray? Thanks for your advice!
Justin Mason
10:15
This is a way tougher question than I would ever have expected it to be, but it is Kershaw.
Bo
10:15
Do you think G. Stone will bounce back this year?  Was there any certain reason for his struggles last year?
Justin Mason
10:17
The stuff is good if he can learn to control it. I think he will turn out fine. Probably not a stud, but a back end of the rotation if he can get things under control
dave
10:18
Any chances this is the year we see Brendan Rodgers eclipse 20+ hr's?  His barrel percentage has been trending up for the last 3 years.  He also had a strong finish to last year once the shoulder seemed healthy.
Justin Mason
10:19
I have never been a believer and I don't know that there is a reason to start buying in now outside of the price being very affordable. Full time role in Colorado is nice, but he has been drafted off of prospect pedigree for years and we need to just accept that he isn't ever going to be a stud.
Guest
10:19
Cole Ragans or Tanner Bibbe, mixed 12 6x6 w/holds. Both would be 16th rounder. Other keepers are Bryce Harper (6), Eury Perez (6), Zac Gallen (8). Can only keep 4.
Justin Mason
10:19
Bibee for me but this is really close.
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