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Justin Mason Baseball Chat
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Justin Mason
9:41
Chat will begin at the top of the hour as long as we have enough questions. In the meantime, please follow me on all my social media’s (twitter, tiktok, facebook, youtube, bluesky, mastodon, threads, post, and instagram) at JustinMasonFWFB! I am doing regular podcasts on the FWFB podcast as well as three episodes a week for the Sleeper and the Bust so definitely make sure you are subscribed there as well!
RAGBRAI
10:00
Do Snell and Montgomery sign before catchers/pitchers report?
Justin Mason
10:00
I would assume they do, but there is only about two weeks left so I guess there is a chance they don't.
RAGBRAI
10:00
Brewers seem to need more SPing. What’s the best they can probably do?
Justin Mason
10:01
I think a guy like Mike Clevinger or Domingo German would make sense. I don't think they will pay up for Snell or Montgomery so they need to look for a guy on a cheaper deal that might want a pillow contact.
Mi nombre es
10:01
Hi Justin, pick two to keep in 12 team roto: L. Webb 5th, O. Cruz 11th, Casas 20th, Royce 22nd.  None of my other keepers are pitchers.  Thanks!
Justin Mason
10:02
Give me Casas and Royce at those prices.
RAGBRAI
10:02
Better chance of happening-Alfonso traded at deadline or signed to extension?
Justin Mason
10:03
I think Pete Alonso gets an extension before he is traded if something is done before he just walks.
Insert Witty Name Here
10:03
The eternal debate: Wins, QS, or IP for a standard roto league?
Justin Mason
10:04
Personally I like wins. I know it is a bad stat, but there really isn't a good one. I know some leagues use win+ QS which might not be a bad alternative.
cool 1
Chip
10:04
Just curious, why doesn't Mark Leiter Jr show up on the RP fantasy rankings at all? Adjacent question - what is your take on him going into '24?
Justin Mason
10:05
I think people discount him a bit because of his age and lack of MLB experience. He was pretty good in spite of some rough stretches last season. I think he could fall into saves if something were to happen to Alzolay, but mostly he is a holds guy.
Old No. 7
10:06
Are teams now using AI extensively? How has or will it change the game as we know it?
Justin Mason
10:06
I honestly have no idea. I am sure some are and some aren't
Insert Witty Name Here
10:06
Thoughts on not paying for top tier pitchers due to the injury risk? As much as I love Strider as a pitcher and a person, I just think the risk of his injury profile can’t justify his price.
Justin Mason
10:07
Every pitcher has risk, but unless they have a recent history or a red flag I see (i.e. velo drop, change in mechanics), I don't worry about it too much. Strider doesn't strike me as a guy with many red flags.
Thanos
10:08
Nolan Jones ran a .401 BABIP last year, obviously that's going to come down but ZiPS projects .364 and Steamer says .348. What's the Justin Mason projection system got?
Justin Mason
10:09
Jones is definitely not going to run a .400 BABIP again, but .348 seems a little light, but not too far off. I might be more in the .355-/365 range in Colorado. I think there is some real regression coming for Jones and I am not a buyer at the top 50 ADP that we have seen.
Tom
10:09
There’s so much hype around Wyatt Langford.  Why are people so adamant in his profile that he’s a can’t miss prospect?  How does he differ from guys like Torkelson and Kelenic?
Justin Mason
10:12
I don't know that he necessarily is different. He looked great in the minors, but we are still talking about 200 plate appearances between four levels. I don't know that we have seen enough to know if there are holes in his swing like Kelenic or more development needed like Torkelson. I do think he is a naturally gifted hitter with power and speed which makes him enticing. I will take the gamble here and there, but he will continue to rise in redraft price and if he gets too high, I will pass.
cool 1
Matt
10:12
Which veteran 3B do you prefer out of Arenado and Bregman?
Justin Mason
10:12
Arenado, but it is close.
Insert Witty Name Here
10:13
Any post hype prospects your bullish on this year?
Justin Mason
10:16
I am always looking for guys that were top prospects and are close to or in the Majors that maybe people have forgotten about because of underperformance or injury. Colton Cowser is the first name that popped into my head. I think Curtis Mead kind of fits the bill as well. Andrew Painter should be back this season. Pete Crow Armstrong should be back to the Majors as well.
Martin
10:16
I caught some flack about fading Lars Nootbaar at ADP 199. The body of work is just meh. Thoughts?
Justin Mason
10:19
I think he just needs an opportunity. The problem is I don't know if he will platoon or not. There is some power and some speed, but I think he profiles more like a really good accumulator, but if he platoons, that really takes away those chances to accumulate. Everything lines up well if he plays full time, but I am a little tepid on him because the Cardinals are stacked and he may share that role.
RAGBRAI
10:19
There are a few elite closers left. Are we seeing the end of them? Is Bullpen by Committee the way most teams will be going?
Justin Mason
10:20
I think you will continue to see a mix. Some teams like having that established guy and others want to mix and match. This is why it is important to follow the team philosophy as opposed to just always going by the individual skills.
Colton
10:20
Now that Hoskins has signed with the Brewers, where does he fall on your 1b list this year? Top 10?
Justin Mason
10:21
I think he is really close especially if he looks healthy in spring. I think he definitely jumps into the top 12 with an argument to be top 8 or 9.
RAGBRAI
10:21
Is SF’s offseason done? I thought they had money to spend but doesn’t seem like they’ve stepped up much yet?
Justin Mason
10:22
I don't know. As a Giants fan it is pretty frustrating because I don't think they have a clue what they are really doing at this point.
Guest
10:22
Final keeper conundrum in a keep 10: Royce Lewis, Elly or Langford?  Feels like they all have a upside v downside aspect to them (I also say this as an Elly skeptic)
Justin Mason
10:23
Wait, you can keep 10 but have two cut two of these guys? I guess I would cut Lewis and Langford but you have to be able to package guys together. Lewis and Langford are close to being top 50 players in dynasty.
Nick
10:24
Who are your late round targets for SBs this year?
Justin Mason
10:26
So just for future questions, remember to put in league size so that way I know how late we are talking. Maikel Garcia is going outside the top 200, Jose Siri, Parker Meadows, Will Benson are all going around pick 300, Alex Thomas about 350, Brice Turang, AMed Rosario, Tim Anderson around pick 400, Garrett Mitchell around 450.
Todd
10:27
Hi Justin, would you trade away a $17 Tucker(last year to keep) for a $5 Soto in AL only $260 cap?  Other keepers are $22 JRod, $21 L Robert, $33 JRam, $8 Tork
Justin Mason
10:27
Yes
ghost of kris bubic
10:27
you mentioned velo drop as a precursor to tj surgery.  I've noticed a velo spike on the last 3 i owned in fantasy.  any merit to this or sss?
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