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Kevin Goldstein FanGraphs Chat - 11/1/2021
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Kevin Goldstein
12:00
Hi everyone. It's Monday, I'm chatting. The typing muscles are loosened and I'll get to as many questions as I can.... LET"S GO.
Bret
12:00
What happened to Luke Voit? He looked like a fixture for the Yankees heading into this season, having some recent monster seasons. Obviously, injuries plagued his 2021, but why has it pushed him out of favor and into a nontender candidate?
Kevin Goldstein
12:01
I don't think he was every really healthy, which is obviously an ongoing concern for him. He's on the wrong side of 30 and doesn't have a skillset that ages well...
Dave
12:01
Going to watch any NBA this season?
Kevin Goldstein
12:01
No plans.
Matt
12:02
Can the Angels count on one, or both, of Jo Adell/Brandon Marsh to be a full-time regular next season?
Kevin Goldstein
12:03
I think a safe way to enter the off-season is by assuming you can count on one of them.
Justin
12:03
How low do you think a team's payroll would have to be leading into a year (or after a small group of years) in order for the league/MLBPA to demand action?  If the Pirates open 2022 under ~$40 million like the project to and dont get in trouble (when combined from the past few years' low spending), I dont know how any team will ever will get in trouble.
Kevin Goldstein
12:03
Hard to answer this with a CBA on the horizon....
Ryan
12:03
Rockies sent Ryan Rolison to the Dominican winter league instead of the Fall League. Is this better or worse for development? Would players rather
Kevin Goldstein
12:04
It's neither better or worse, but it's more player specific. If there was a player who I wanted to get more coaches and hands-on instruction with some game reps thrown in, I'd want them in the AFL. If there  was a player who I wanted to simply get highly competitive innings, I'd go to LIDOM.
Jeff in Jersey
12:05
Would you extend QO's to both Syndergaard and Conforto? If they both accept, the Mets are near the luxury tax without any additions...but there aren't any bad one-year deals, right?
Kevin Goldstein
12:05
There are bad one year deals. I'm not sure 37m for those two for one year is the best idea.....
KG
12:05
Marco Luciano had a nice start to the season, but cratered upon promotion to High A.  Wonder if this is worrisome at all, or not really since it was only for a month or so and he's so young.
Kevin Goldstein
12:05
Not really since it was only for a month or so and he's so young.
Jefferson
12:05
Charlie morton has been so good in his late 30s. What's your concern level about him returning after the broken leg?
Kevin Goldstein
12:06
Really not much. Obviously it's far preferred over an arm issue.
Jefferson
12:06
Thoughts on Kyle seager email? Seems like a real shitty way to depart with a player who has been with the team for over a decade
Kevin Goldstein
12:06
Sounds like they tried to get in touch with him and did imform the agents which is standard protocol.
Yo-Yo
12:06
All four positional Cardinals (Gorman/Yepez/Nootbaar/Donovan) are crushing it in the AFL, for whatever that's worth. Do you think all four reasonably project to be average or better players? Let's say average is 1.5-2.0 WAR/600.
Kevin Goldstein
12:07
I certainly would not bet on all four becoming that. Some will.
Beiisbolero21
12:07
Astros going with Garcia over Urquidy tomorrow; any idea why?
Kevin Goldstein
12:07
Urquidy pitched yesterday (breifly) and I wonder if they're hoping to save him for game 7.
Dave
12:07
What's for lunch?
Kevin Goldstein
12:07
Wife made pizza last night, and there are leftovers.
Jacob
12:07
That spinning throw play from Correa last night was A+.
Kevin Goldstein
12:08
He's just a phenomenal defensive player. It's really what separates him from Seager in my mind as far as the big name free agent shortstops.
Yo-Yo
12:08
Has your method of projecting swing-and-miss guys changed at all over the years? If you look at the worst contact% rankings, the very worst players are often the best overall hitters. Do you give more leeway towards the guys who whiff a ton now because of the current state of hitting?
Kevin Goldstein
12:08
You can recalibrate a bit as to what big swing and miss really is, but contact is still exceptionally important.
James
12:09
Thanks for the chat! For their 2022 roster should the Padres run it back, tweak it, or overhaul it?
Kevin Goldstein
12:09
It's an excellent roster. I think the Padres need to get away from always trying to make the biggest splash and get the biggest name and 'win the offseason' and focus on depth. A lack of depth is what doomed them last year.
Or I guess, still this year.
171
12:09
Do players spend time in Spring Training planning out and practicing their special celebration handshakes with each other? It seems like a good amount of players have a whole routine that is different between different players. How do they plan and remember these 8-9 different 2-4 second celebrations?
Kevin Goldstein
12:10
Yes they do. Spring training is an absolute grind. It's like groundhog day for six weeks.
Parade of Arms
12:10
Is pitching so fungible now that a team whose 3rd best pitcher is Will Smith or Tyler Matzek can win a World Series?  What can or should MLB do to make pitching matter again?  (Or, do you think they should stand pat and do nothing?)
Kevin Goldstein
12:11
Both teams are without their best starters. Coming off of the very weird 2020, everyone is exhausted. I would wait until we get through a 'normal' season before I start worrying about it.
Colin
12:11
By your estimate, what percentage of teams have “win a World Series” as their true organizational goal, not caveated by financial or other constraints that make it more or less improbable?
Kevin Goldstein
12:12
I think it's a goal of all 30 front offices. Owners create the constraints.
TomBruno23
12:12
Kevin Goldstein
12:12
LIDOM is absolutely wonderful, and also now a part of mlb.tv. I hope everyone watches this winter. It's a blast.
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