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Kevin Goldstein FanGraphs Chat - 8/23/2021
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Dave
1:06
For years now the Mets have had suspect medical outcomes. Is this bad luck, bad personel or a process problem?
Kevin Goldstein
1:06
It's really impossible to know from the outside.
Manny
1:07
Give me your wild card picks
Kevin Goldstein
1:08
NYY/BOS; SFG/SDP
JupiterBrando
1:08
Let's say every player in MLB was still a prospect, and you were evaluating them based on the tools they have now but not the stats you've seen them put up. How many of them would be 80 overall?
Kevin Goldstein
1:08
80 what? There would be some 80 raw power guys and some 80 runner but no 80 hits.
Jacob
1:09
Is spin efficiency one of the things Astros, Rays etc believe they can fix and target guys who don't have good spin efficiency?
Kevin Goldstein
1:09
Far better to have it first and then harness it correctly than try to teach it.
Craig
1:09
What would a corner OF like Andrew Benintendi fetch on the open market this year?
Kevin Goldstein
1:10
Not much. Maybe a one-year pillow deal w/ a bad team.
Appa Yip Yip
1:10
Re: reliever WAR - for an individual player it seems squiffy, but what about WAR for the entire bullpen all added up? Does that shave off some rough edges, or is it also weird and unreliable?
Kevin Goldstein
1:10
I think that definitely helps, but still has some issues.
Chris
1:11
Do you think most players are generally able to shut out distractions from fans, or does stuff like the hatred directed at the Astros players actually affect them?
Kevin Goldstein
1:11
They can shut them out.
Dave
1:11
Isn't there something broken in the 80/20 scale if no one is ever an 80 or a 20 in certain things?
Kevin Goldstein
1:12
There are many things broken if you are looking for some sort of perfect adherence, but it creates a language that people understand.
Guest
1:12
Pretty sure he meant 80 FV (or perhaps "present value" in this hypothetical) and you probably guessed that too... Not sure why the snark was necessary in response to what was a pretty interesting question!
Kevin Goldstein
1:13
Calm down, I just didn't see it that way because I don't think in FVs. I doubt you'd put an 80 on any of them.
Tom
1:13
I was thinking about Dave Dombrowski's tenure in Boston, and it led to a question: How does the industry evaluate GM's who come in and immediately trade away future assets for current ones? Do "flags fly forever" in that case?
Kevin Goldstein
1:13
FLAGS FLY FOREVER.
goober
1:13
Who are your favorite under-the-radar FAs this coming winter? Any pitchers like Robbie Ray who might be a few tweaks away from greatness?
Kevin Goldstein
1:14
Props to the Jays for tweaking Ray. He's been outstanding. This is a good article idea. Note taken.
Manny
1:14
Guys like Mookie or Trout don’t have 80 hit tools? Arraez even? Thanks for taking so many questions and almost always staying around so long btw
Kevin Goldstein
1:15
I don't think either of them have 80 hit tools. Both are around .300 career hitters.
Juan Soto
1:15
I have an 80 hit tool.
Kevin Goldstein
1:15
Career .298 hitter, hitting .305 this year. Nope.
Sean
1:15
The M's will probably miss the playoffs again, but is there any value for the young players winning games, especially close games?  Or does it not carry over from one season to the next?
Kevin Goldstein
1:15
I think the experience does help, yes.
Kretin
1:15
Did you ever think Stassi would turn out to be this successful?
Kevin Goldstein
1:16
I didn't, but I'm glad it did. One of the nicest players I ever dealt with.
JB
1:16
Padres fired Larry Rothschild as pitching coach. I get it. But also, they signed Jake Arietta last week.
Kevin Goldstein
1:16
Yeah, exactly. It's always easy to fire the manager/coach.
Derek
1:16
Isn't the general idea that every 10 points away from 50 on the 20/80 scale represents one standard deviation from average? In which case it could make perfect sense that no players are 3 standard deviations better or worse than average in certain skills depending on the distributions of those skills across the player base, right?
Kevin Goldstein
1:17
That is the general idea yes, but as stated, the way the 20-80 scale is utilized is not perfect adherence, but it is something that everyone understands, which is more important.
Marn
1:17
I think the Reds will surprise and beat out the Padres
Kevin Goldstein
1:17
Certainly could happen!
Bearry
1:17
Should hit tool include plate discipline? Or is that a separate tool?
Kevin Goldstein
1:18
Approach as a tool has been long debated. It certainly needs to be accounted for in any hitting evaluation, but it's not the hit tool.
Josh
1:18
Did Tony Gwynn have a 80 hit tool?
Kevin Goldstein
1:18
You bet your bippy.
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