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Kiley McDaniel Chat - 1/16/19
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AvatarKiley McDaniel
12:52
Nope, pretty standard for the active GM types like Preller and Dipoto. CIN is flush at 3B (Suarez, who won't move with Senzel and India on the way) and wants pitching but CLE is flush at IF for now, so they don't really need what CIN may be selling, while so SDP sees an opportunity as they need 3B and Preller loves inserting himself into situations.
12:53
It's really just like trading food at lunch, except it's people and they're all millionaries
(players and GMs, that is)
Freduardo Freeman
12:53
Seems like a lot of talk about the braves not being willing to sign a free agent attached to a qualifying offer because they don’t want to lose the draft pick. Wouldn’t a trade for madbum make sense? It would thin out their AAA pitching prospect pool while at the same time strengthening the mlb rotation AND(hopefully) put the braves in position to offer madbum a qualifying offer at the end of 2019. If he and josh Donaldson left after 1 season, the braves would at least be able to restock the farm.
AvatarKiley McDaniel
12:54
Decent thought there. Could also get a stopgap RF (even Markakis) and mix with Riley and if its not working, then trade for someone in-season or even throw Camargo out there if he's hitting. There's still a lot of options outside of Harper/Pollock
LudeBurger
12:55
Oh Kiley you're so fine, I would love your thoughts on the upside of Isaac Paredes, especially of his power? It was maybe depressed in the Florida State and Eastern leagues, but some of his underlying numbers (estimated FB distance) did not look too good either. I love the rest of his profile, but I am reticent about calling him a building block for the Tigers if he really lacks power. Thanks.
AvatarKiley McDaniel
12:55
Numbers are very good and there's some skills, but it is an aggressive approach and I wonder if he's an early-peaking type of player due to a number of factors. Go check out Jose Tabata's stats and you'll see similarities.
Roger
12:56
The Rays have remained in on Realmuto, and Austin Meadows seems to fit the Marlins ask of a young, MLB ready left-handed OF. Does Avi Garcia make Meadows expendable or am I reading way too far into a $3.5M deal?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
12:57
I think Avisail Garcia is a low-cost gamble on a guy with bonkers tools that could be a 4 WAR player for way less than those cost on the open market...and otherwise they're out $3.5M which isn't much even to TB
Dan
12:58
Are there any players who fit the Soto/Kiriloff category? As in they were highly regarded signings/draft picks but their prospect rankings have been hurt by an injury. If so, any capable a Soto/Kiriloff type of rise in the rankings by mid-summer? Not counting Robles.  Gracias!
AvatarKiley McDaniel
12:58
Hmmm not an exact match but I would direct you to Drew Waters (CF, ATL) who was depressed a bit due to a terrible debut summer and being a 2nd round pick but if he keeps hitting he'll move up and the tools are there.
12:59
And secondly, I noticed Vidal Brujan was a top searched player soon after I answered a question a few weeks ago about him being a top 25 overall prospect at some point in 2019. If you aren't on that bandwagon GET ON NOW
1:00
Eric and I talk about Albies and Luis Urias and Nick Madrigal and say they're the next little 2B that will be better than you think and it's insane that we had like zero of these and now there's a ton but...there's another one.
and there's one on the back end of the Rays list that their people think could be the next Brujan
Guest
1:00
What do you make out of the Mets infield situation? Do they trade Rosario, or does he rot on the bench?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
1:01
Frazier-Rosario-Cano-Alonso, Lowrie/McNeil rotate all over IF and OF, trade Dom Smith
1:02
I think Lowrie is better than Frazier and I worry that McNeil won't get used enough if the OF gets healthy or they try to keep Dom Smith, but that's one injury/trade away from not being an issue
I think a non-contending team that's in need of 1B should trade for Dominic Smith, btw
Syndergaardians of the Galaxy
1:02
Have you seen what Grandal said about why he turned down the Mets offer? Does it make sense to you? I'm not sure it makes sense to me. Seems like there's something missing from this story.
AvatarKiley McDaniel
1:03
I wondered that too. That raising the market for catchers a million or two in AAV was worth leaving $42M guaranteed on the table? Couldn't you just give those guys some of your money? If that's all that was behind it, the Union is doing some truly terrible brainwashing
1:04
I also wonder if Grandal was actually offered $60M guaranteed
Mupton
1:04
The artist formerly known as Bossman Junior is back!
AvatarKiley McDaniel
1:04
I feel much better about this now, I won't mess up his name
tacopocket
1:04
hey kiley.   i know the padres system is very good but they can't really get away with asking for kluber (who has a team friendly contract if i remember correctly) with their top 5 prospects not in play, can they???
AvatarKiley McDaniel
1:07
I think so? Maybe some combination of Margot/Franchy, Paddack/Lucchesi and some sub top-5 hitting prospects?
SDP has the bullets, but not clear they have the willingness and the types of pieces that CLE wants
1:12
So, ballparking it, Kluber is worth something like $60M ($40M/3 in salary, roughly 10 WAR/$100M over that period). Probably not a top 10-20 overall prospect on the table at the moment, so it's more multiple top pieces.
Vern
1:13
More likely to make a big league impact this season: Shed Long or Nick Solak?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
1:13
I like Solak more as a prospect but they're pretty similar overall and both kinda blocked at the moment
similar in overall value, I mean
John Stamos
1:14
How long is this Rays list gonna be?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
1:14
Like reports on over 50 players. SDP will be the only one close to that long
Not sure who will win that battle
Anthony
1:14
Murray's a 45 on the board, but there's obviously a ton more NFL risk now than there was a few months ago. Would most teams still treat him as a 45 if Oakland decided to cut bait and shopped him today?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
1:15
He's kinda untradable right now. His value is kinda zero but might be something real in a few months. Can't see Oakland trading him anytime soon
Hinkie
1:16
2 draft questions:   1.  If healthy, does Carter Stewart get picked higher or lower than where the Braves selected him (1-8) last June?   2.  You have Andrew Vaughn at #6 on The Board, but isn't it more likely he doesn't make the top 10 because of height (5'11"), position (1B) and the fact that he's a RH hitter?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
1:16
1. I would guess lower, but right around there if he's the same
2. He's more likely to go higher than 6. look up his numbers. that's the safest pick on the board
Cheese
1:16
Which is more likely. Kyle Dohy becomes Josh Hader or Spencer Howard becomes Aaron Nola?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
1:17
1. 1%
2. 6%
Quentin
1:17
With a lot of teams hiring away from Driveline do you see this creating rifts between player development and coaches similar to when the analytics were prioritized years ago?
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