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Kiley McDaniel Chat - 2/23/18
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AvatarKiley McDaniel
12:31
My draft article just went up, if you'd like to take a look
12:32
It has reports and video on the guys I saw last week along with lots of news and scout buzz around the game
12:33
Also if you ever wonder what a 60 curveball looks like, my Mason Denaburg video has lots of them all back to back at the beginning of the video. It's 90 seconds of curveballs to start so I'll embed it here
Mike
12:34
How meaningful is it to take assessment to be one of the better players in the DSL at 18? Also why are HR totals so low there?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
12:35
Not great since the most talented players are 17 and still raw. It's kinda like having the best stats at a high school tournament with 16-20 year olds playing. I bet the best long term prospects will not lead the tournament in stats
The stadiums are mostly big, it's really hot and humid, the balls may be lower quality and also it's mostly teenagers swinging wooden bats
Nick
12:35
Do you think Jhailyn Ortiz could be a serviceable outfielder one day or is he destined for 1st base?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
12:35
1B BIG DUDE
Rays gonna Rays
12:36
Does McKay have Otani FV? Arm good enough for SP? Bat good enough for 1B?
Erik
12:37
Is scouting entirely a learned skill, or is there some inherent (genetic?) talent to it? In other words, I watch a lot of baseball--if I watched as much as a scout does, would I end up with the right skills? Or do scouts have, like, better eyes or something?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
12:39
Good question. Some people pick it up a lot faster but I don't think it's vision. I think there's a way to think about the game and rank players and think about the process of narrowing down what a tool grade is, mostly mental, that some people are predisposed to. Having the mental reps of watching/playing the game speeds this up, but I'd bet there's something we can eventually measure way into the future that would predict who has a predisposition to be good at scouting, if they have the environmental factors already on their side
Locke
12:39
Who is the fastest player you've seen in the minors? How does their foot speed stack up against Billy Hamilton?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
12:40
Hamilton definitely. Buxton is probably #2. Having trouble thinking of another at that level right now
John Dillinger
12:40
Hey Kylie, how would you compare a college bat like Griffin Conine to a guy like Michael Conforto entering his draft year? Do you think Conine can be that kind of player? Thanks.
AvatarKiley McDaniel
12:41
Possibly, the raw tools are comparable. Conforto's advantage was patience and feel for hitting, which isn't really a tool, but is the separator. He also may have had a little more bat speed
Bill Wojowski
12:42
Can Alek Thomas be the first Illinois HS draft pick to go in the 1st round since Jayson Werth?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
12:43
Has a chance! More skills than tools so a bit unusual for a prep hitter, but there are teams that see him on the fringes of the first round right now.
Dunkin' Donuts
12:43
What percentage chance does Braves OF prospect Drew Waters have of becoming a star?  I have read ceiling comparisons to Mike Trout.
AvatarKiley McDaniel
12:43
That is not remotely close
Ryan W.
12:44
I love me some draft chat, while Ive enjoyed the 2018 coverage, wondering if our local kid pitcher Hunter Barco has a chance to go 1st overall in 2019?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
RyanW
12:44
Any thoughts on Tristan Gray? Seems like he has some interesting hitter traits, and played fine for NYPL last year, for whatever little that's worth
AvatarKiley McDaniel
12:45
Bat first 2B without a ton of other tools
Carson Cistulli
12:45
Kiley McDaniel, making his weekly Wednesday appearance....On a Friday? This commenter is intimidated-dare I say threatened- Yes threatened, by change!
Svelte Marvin
12:46
What can you tell us about Julio Pablo Martinez, or can you point me to anything you've written/seen about him?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
12:47
I believe Eric has seen him. I have not. Sounds like he's a plus runner that can play CF with 50-55 raw power but some question if it's a 4 or 5 bat. Everyday upside for sure but not a slam dunk.
John Dillinger
12:47
Is Orelvis Martinez the top July 2 free agent or just one of the top guys? Where do you currently rank him?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
12:47
He's one of the 5 hitters that stood out to me most at the MLB event. Luckily after day one when I showed my list to a couple scouts, they said I had it lined up pretty well, since I hadn't done a ton of prep work before getting down there
12:49
Those hitters:
Diego Cartaya, C, VZ
Noelvi Marte, SS, DR
Marco Luciano, SS, DR
Orelvis Martinez, SS, DR
there's a bunch of candidates for the 5th spot, but I'll go with the guy that ran a 6.37 in the 60: Alexeis Azuaje, SS, DR
12:50
Best Arms:
Osiel Rodriguez, RHP, Cuba
Richard Gallardo, RHP, VZ
Sandy Gaston, RHP, Cuba
Abraham Calzadilla, RHP, VZ
you can either take projection with Jerming Rosario, RHP, DR or now velo with Starlyn Castillo, RHP, DR
12:51
I would assume/already know all of those players get $500K on July 2nd or soon thereafter
and there's more than a couple millionaires in there, probably a few over $2M. A couple top guys weren't at the event, but not that many.
CJL
12:51
Any thoughts on Max Marusak yet? That video going around on his bat speed is insane
AvatarKiley McDaniel
12:52
80 runner with some contact skills, pretty new on the scene, in the top 5 rounds right now but opinions vary
Lance
12:52
Any reports from UCLA so far this spring? I see Toglia and Strumpf have put up good numbers.
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