JotCast | Kiley McDaniel Chat

Kiley McDaniel Chat - 1/23/19

Prev Page View Full Chat Next Page

Kiley McDaniel

12:59

we're the mystery team

Minnie Minoso

12:59

Would you say that Adley Rutschman is on the same level as Joey Bart? Higher? Lower?

Kiley McDaniel

12:59

Similar but a little higher right now

cash money

1:00

Do you see any chance that the Yanks, Padres and Indians get involved in a 3 way trade involving Andujar, Kluber and the Padres Outfielders / prospects?

Kiley McDaniel

1:00

Some chance but not likely

Pedals

1:00

Do teams manipulate industry prospect lists with misinformation?

Kiley McDaniel

1:00

Well, they try. Probably less than you think, but we know they try.

1:01

We've caught them before. I think they count on us not knowing a scout that's seen the player. So like a latin player that goes from the DSL to the pioneer league would be a guy who is scouted less than most

Joe

1:02

How do you and Eric settle your differences of opinion in regards to scouting prospects?

Kiley McDaniel

1:02

cinematic fist fight on a moving train in the south of france

Tito

1:02

Jesus Sanchez-- You wrote that he has 30 grade plate discipline. His BB numbers show more of a free swinger, but K's aren't bad yet. Is the 30 grade on PD based on you guys watching him and knowing he gets away with swinging at bad pitches? Or maybe his elite bat speed allows him to beat up on unrefined pitching in the lower minors?

Kiley McDaniel

1:03

30 plate discipline means swing/take decisions. He has plus power, bat speed and bat control, with bat control the most important for contact. He can hit pitcher's pitches so he has a habit of swinging at them and it wouldn't show up in K rates until AAA, maybe MLB

1:04

Starling Marte or Carl Crawford is an example of plus everything and below plate discipline working in the big leagues

Camden Warehouse

1:04

Are the Orioles ever going to hire a scouting director?

Kiley McDaniel

1:05

Rumor is that they aren't going to, but I don't know that for sure. Houston hasn't hired one yet, either.

Doc

1:06

It might be "creating problems where they don't exist," but not sure why Braves fans are supposed to be happy with bringing back Markakis instead of upgrading RF, and then also giving Acuña fewer PA's.

Kiley McDaniel

1:10

I don't think you understand what creating problems means b/c that's exactly what you're doing. You signed a guy that put up 2 WAR last year basically for free instead of signing/trading for one that put up 3 or 4 that would also cost way more. Acuna will get like 40 less PA if he's healthy the whole year. These issues wouldn't move the needle for 20 teams.

You have a playoff team with a top farm system full of dudes in AAA. Why your whole fanbase is in this chat every week complaining about why you haven't traded for four all-stars is like hearing Bill Simmons complain about the refs in a Patriots game. This money they haven't spent yet will get spent because they team isn't amazing yet, it's merely good, they just aren't doing it right now.

Ryan

1:11

What does Adonis Medina need to do to reach his high ceiling?

Kiley McDaniel

1:11

Execute pitches more consistently, but all the elements are there

Cove Dweller

1:11

What do you mean by "head whack"?

Kiley McDaniel

1:11

jerking your head around at release of the pitch. bad indicator for command

Hans Crouse

1:12

Did someone say "head whack HS pitcher"?

Kiley McDaniel

1:12

He does it

Beeeel

1:12

Is franco the highest fv you’ve put on a rookieballer?

Kiley McDaniel

1:12

Yeah, 65 is about as high as you can go, all the 70s have been upper minors I believe

Keegan Akin

1:13

You called me a reliever back in June. Still think so?

Kiley McDaniel

1:13

The body will dictate that one, but the elements are there to start

Stir Candelario

1:14

You had no problem ranking Adrian Hernandez on the Mets list. Am I not as good as him?

Kiley McDaniel

1:14

You weren't on the Rays list, so...no.

dope name tho

Weenie

1:14

I clicked the link to your chat AND I WON A FREE PHONE FROM AMAZON!!!!!! Thanks Kiley!

Dan

1:14

How exactly does the $ per WAR calculation work? As I understand it 1 WAR is worth $9 million, but if that is the case shouldn't a guy like Machado be getting more like $45 mil per year? And even more for guys like Trout and Betts in a few years

Kiley McDaniel

1:16

The issue is that different players generally get paid slightly different rates, among other market factors. Some take issue with our value applied to minor leaguers but I have no issue there. We know clubs would competitively bid if every minor league was a free agent--that's who they want to be spending this money on. Given a looming strike, I'm not sure this and the last offseason are completely fair ways to set the market but this is also the market for generally older players.

Also, in multi year deals, there is a discount on that AAV, so on a one year deal, yes your logic would stand up

GraphsFan

1:17

Kiley, are scouts reticent to share information amongst each other? What about sharing it with folks like you and Eric? How many scouts do you correspond with regularly?

Kiley McDaniel

1:18

I mean there's always a hideout guy or a guy your team is trying to sign/trade for that scouts are very tight lipped about. Generally when it's just standard coverage where your single report probably never really matters, the stakes are much lower.

Brian

1:18

Kiley, my son is a 2020 LHP from the Midwest and committed to a sec school. We’re starting to be contacted by numerous “advisors”. Are we allowed to talk to them with our eligibility remaining in tact? If so, what are some important questions we should be asking them all? Thank you

Kiley McDaniel

1:21

Yes, the issue is more on letting them negotiate on your behalf, but if I'm not mistaken the SEC specifically doesn't have that rule anymore. Even in the past it was only an issue in the very rare circumstance (like it happened 2-3 times in 10 years) where a team official slips up and tells the media he negotiated with this kid's agent, then the NCAA can say that's proof he hired an agent and declare him ineligible. That happened to James Paxton and almost always is after a high profile high pick not signing where the team is kinda on tilt afterwards.

1:23

They're mostly generally the same in ability to negotiate for you aside from the handful whose names are in the media all the time, but the issues would be more scale of the agency, if they're the type of outfit you could stick with for all the phases of a whole MLB career, if they can do marketing for you, have an training facility, etc. For most HS players that stuff also doesn't matter, so just picking someone you're comfortable with that will give you attention and general advice is fine. You can always switch later if you want.

duder

1:24

The Marlins overplay/ed their hand with Realmuto, right?

Connecting…

Your current subscriptions

None

E-mail Address	Chat Owner	Status	Remove

Enter your email address to be notified when Kiley McDaniel hosts a chat