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Kiley McDaniel Chat - 1/4/19
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AvatarKiley McDaniel
3:03
Nope
Scott
3:03
How likely is Brendan McKay to be utilized as a hitter when he arrives in Tampa? I could see the Rays using him like the Angels used Ohtani this year.
AvatarKiley McDaniel
3:03
That's the most likely outcome right now
Vidal Brujan
3:04
Could I be a top-25 prospect by the end of 2019?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
3:04
Yes
ballsandgutters
3:05
What would you do with Pirates SS situation:  go with Newman, Erik Gonzalez and Kevin Kramer or sign a FA?  Cole Tucker probably needs at least a year in AAA IMHO.
AvatarKiley McDaniel
3:05
I think they roll with those guys and wait for Tucker to be a superior option, likely in 2020
stlscott319
3:05
I read a comment on twitter that player X strikes out too much. It seems that alot of guys strike out a lot in the minors these days. Is there anything you look for that will give you a clue to who figures it out and who won't> Thanks Kiley!
AvatarKiley McDaniel
3:06
Depends on why they're striking out. If they hit a bunch of homers and have a late-count approach (lots of K and BB) and have loft in their swing, then that's fine and it will continue. That's sort of an equilibrium
3:07
There's other guys where they haven't reached an equilibrium yet. Like Vlad Jr. doesn't have tons of loft in his swing and doesn't K much, but he'll likely add more loft to his swing b/c he has monster power, so he'll likely K more
Or if some guys get Ks due to approach, like they have a low 2-strike whiff rate but high early count whiff rate, so they get in bad counts, but have demonstrated the ability to be selective
MAC
3:07
Who's the biggest riser on THE BOARD since the season's ended?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
3:08
Not sure he's THE biggest riser, but Shervyen Newton is much higher on the Mets list
Hello
3:08
As a Mets fan, seeing "Jarred Kelenic, CF, SEA" makes me sad.  Help?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
3:08
Close your eyes?
Danny
3:08
Why did Winn and Liberatore "fall" to the middle of the first round? I thought one or both were borderline consensus top 10 picks near draft time
AvatarKiley McDaniel
3:09
Prep pitchers have lots of little things in their risk profiles that vary widely team to team, like biomechanical and injury projections, risk tolerance in general, being far from the majors, some teams want specific types of pitchers, medical staffs tend to be a little more specific about requirements medically to project health, etc.
And some teams any given year just won't take a HS pitcher of any type in the first round
3:10
So there's a lot of variance in a specific 1st round caliber HS pitcher's draft projection for this reason
Whereas college hitters are appealing to every single team
3:11
HS pitcher is to running back
as
college hitter is to pass rusher
DJ
3:11
Who is/are the most versatile (competently play multiple positions) prospect(s) in the minors?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
3:11
Josh Morgan, Connor Wong come to mind as guys that can be passable at every position on the field
Ozzie Ozzie Albies Free
3:11
What would be your thoughts of Grullion of the Phils being converted to a pitcher?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
3:12
He just hit pretty well this year, but he also was passed over in the Rule 5 and has an 80 arm, so that's where it goes before things end for good
Joe Random
3:12
To piggy back on Homer Dome's question about little known prospects in the lower levels...Do you have any particular favorites from the list you gave? Which would you target in a fantasy league? thanks!
AvatarKiley McDaniel
3:13
Those were all high upside handpicked guys. You can sort the board by age and see the FVs and variance/risk and see who the highest upside gambles are, but those are the ones I like
Hello
3:13
Odds Vientos stays a 3B?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
3:13
Below average now, tools to be average, so 75%?
If he doesn't progress this year, it's closer to 50%
77 Steps
3:14
I saw you have Liberatore and Winn both in the same tier.  A lot of Rangers fans felt Texas whiffed by taking Winn with Liberatore still on the board.  Did Texas screw up, or is Winn over Liberatore a defensible decision?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
3:14
Defensible for the reasons above...the margin between similar prospects at that juncture of the draft is really small
Ben
3:14
Are there any videos of you dancing on rooftops we should know about?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
3:14
(quickly deletes dozens of videos)
Captain Moonlight
3:16
In the Haseley write up, y’all note that he was a pitcher but has a below average arm in the OF. That kinda blew my mind. How common is it for ‘game arm’ to be worse than ‘raw arm’? And I get that they’re not *exactly* the same mechanics, but they sure seem to use a lot of the same pieces, is that the only cause? Any other notable cases of this?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
3:17
Kyler Murray has a 40 arm and I talked to scouts while we watched him at UCF and we all thought it would be a 55 when he changed his arm stroke a big. It was weird, he had zip on short throws, then not much on the long ones. It's usually a combo of arm stroke efficiency and timing of the hips/kinetic chain. Some guys are much better on the mound or in the OF and some are way better/worse in the IF than the OF. It's weird sometimes, often mental.
amy
3:17
Would it surprise you if Mark Vientos is a top 100 prospect at this time next year ?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
3:18
He's up around there right now. Probably about 100-125 right now if I had to guess, so holding serve and 10-25 guys graduate and could be a yes
Kw
3:18
Completely ignoring everything you wrote after "Roederer is better now than Benintendi was at 19" and how those types of questions aren't fruitful: Same question but Brennan Davis and Mike Trout. How would you compare a 19-year old Brennan Davis to Mike Trout when he was 19? (I apologize, it's been a cold winter for Cubs fans.)
AvatarKiley McDaniel
3:19
lol Mike Trout was really good at 19, so you have to be like clearly top 100 to even be considered
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