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Kiley McDaniel Chat - 1/9/19
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AvatarKiley McDaniel
1:20
so you aren't really even talking about upside, since he's an 80 now. This is a point Dave Cameron would bring up a lot, that upside is kinda  useless term when fringe prospects become 80s
So, our system will give you a slotting based on his trade value industry wide and give you variance so you know if this could go up/down a lot or not
1:21
and that's enough for industry types to get it, but to a novice reader, we get that this is still kinda dense. Like a 50 in Low-A projects to be a 2 win player just like a 50 in MLB would be a 2 win player, right? Eh not really, because risk and distance to the majors is factored into the minor leaguer and not the major leaguer
Anyway, we have another innovation to add to this that more casual reader focused that we think you'll like. It will come with the Top 100 package
1:22
We think it's kinda the missing part of this whole equation I'm describing here, especially with the asset values so the MLB to prospect comparisons are much easier now
Quinn
1:22
What does Parker Meadows need to do to reach 50 FV?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
1:22
Tools are there, just needs to hit
Spotted cow
1:22
How likely are keiboom and rodgers to stay at ss when they are blocked by young studs
AvatarKiley McDaniel
1:23
They're both possible average shortstops that also may end up being a little below average and naturally moving to 2B or 3B naturally
Dr. Funk
1:24
What would a Cards trade for MadBum look like?   Munoz & Garcia?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
1:24
Dylan Carlson, Dakota Hudson, Elehuris Montero
that would be the three headliners candidates
Cotty
1:25
Do you think Luis Patino has risen enough to jump Joey Bart in the rankings? I'm curious whether he would've been the #2 pick.
AvatarKiley McDaniel
At the end of the MILB season, we had then 10 slots apart...so essentially tied
Bk
1:25
What do you think of Chavez young?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
1:25
Likely a low 45/or 40+, but haven't made calls on Toronto yet
Stove
1:26
Ethan Hankins seems like the exact type of arm that's being severely underrated because of injury. Is the shoulder issue he had early last year giving you guys a lot of pause, or do you expect him to be fine and blow up?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
1:27
He wasn't the same pitcher afterwards and, generally speaking, when a pitcher gets injured, has been back for months and doesn't look the same, we aren't going to bet on them magically improving. Some do, but that's a losing bet to make over the long run.
Brendon
1:27
Which division is next in the prospects list?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
1:27
AL East
Boston then TB
Phillie Phanatic
1:28
Are you a fan of Alec Bohm?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
1:29
We just wrote him up in a lot of detail here: https://blogs.fangraphs.com/top-36-prospects-philadelphia-phillies/
Cotty
1:31
(Just wanted to say thanks for the long response! Really like your work, it's been super valuable.)
Jerome
1:31
Thanks for all the prospect coverage. Don't feel bad posting a message like this one in the chat every once in a while, it's well-earned.
AvatarKiley McDaniel
1:31
Thanks for the nice messages!
Sammy Sooser
1:31
Why haven't you signed yet? Collusion?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
1:31
(pulls collar away from neck)
Bob
1:36
How has no pro scout seen Kyler Murray? Am I misunderstanding what a pro scout is? He was drafted 9 overall?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
1:38
pro scout is minors/majors (pro players) while amatuer scout is HS/JC/College and int'l scout is basically latin teenagers (but also Cuban/Mexican pros, australia/asia/europe/africa amateurs). There's some overlap with Japanese/Korean pro teams sometimes being scouted by pro or int'l scouts depending on the team
steve
1:38
Deivi Garcia will be a challenge when we do the NYY list. Does that mean you are hesitant to rank him high on the nyy list due to his height?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
1:39
Balancing his build (height itself doesn't really matter) with his ability is tough, since the ability is high upside but the build presumably limits the innings at some point, so then lowers the upside
spin guyer
1:41
and is there anywhere that I can find the spin rates for other minor leaguers
AvatarKiley McDaniel
1:42
Not that I know of
PD
1:42
How does Nick Madrigal have 30 current game power with 50 future? What in his profile indicates that sort of pop?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
1:43
Guys with compact/athletic frames and plus plus bat control tend to get to more than you'd expect: Albies, Betts, Altuve, etc.
Extremely Cool Commenter
1:43
FRANMIL. REYES.
AvatarKiley McDaniel
1:43
whoa that kinda snuck up on me
welp i guess that's it
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