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Kiley McDaniel Chat - 10/1/18
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AvatarKiley McDaniel
11:23
Apologies for the delay, ran late on a scout call
11:24
We're chatting at this odd time since I'm traveling this week and we have day baseball today in 90 minutes
11:25
I've been around instructs this week -- ATL, DET, TOR, NYY, TB, BOS -- and put out the most recent podcast last week: https://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/fangraphs-audio-presents-the-untitled-...
we also have a new prospect land page where you can find all of our content: https://www.fangraphs.com/prospects/
waks
11:26
does nick senzel's bout of vertigo do anything to his projections? i forget how nick esasky dealt with it, but can it be a recurring thing?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
11:26
don't have a ton of experience with this in baseball, so we're just assuming he returns back to where he was until there's evidence to the contrary
John
11:26
Thoughts on loisiaga next year? Does he get a starting role?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
11:26
I would guess he's a 6th/7th starter that starts in the pen and can jump in the rotation, since his stuff works in short stints and AAA would kinda be wasting him
11:27
Similar to the conundrum the Braves have with all the pitching being ready. Allard won't play up in the pen, so he's rotation or AAA, whereas others like Touki could play up in the pen, so they're more likely to break camp, etc.
Draft20/80
11:28
Who helped themselves the most on the cape this year? Vaughan?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
11:28
That's Cal 1B Andrew Vaughn. He was already gonna be top 20 if he skipped the summer, so he didn't gain that much ground. Here's our draft rankings for reference
UNC RF/1B Michael Busch made some ground, working into that top tier of corner bats when it wasn't clear he was tehre
11:29
Vandy RF JJ Bleday, Stanford RF/1B Kyle Stowers and Creighton RF Will Robertson all showed better than was expected and made some money on the Cape
Heathcliff Slocumb
11:30
Anything positive to take from Tristin Lux's year?  The power numbers don't quite seem to be where one would expect.
AvatarKiley McDaniel
11:31
Tristen Lutz (for player tagging purposes, not being spelling police) posted a 110 wRC+ in Low-A at age 19 for a power-over-hit guy that had a terrible first month. That's really good. In-game power usually comes last and he's already showing it against much older pitching
11:32
I'd be buying on Lutz
Jay
11:32
Is the delightfully-named Brock Deatherage a legit prospect?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
11:33
Not legit for me. Has some tools, but is already 23, swing is a little stiff. BABIP-fueled debut. He was a 10th round senior sign for a reason.
Still could be a big leaguer and that would make him a nice find at that pick, but wouldn't expect anything more than generic reserve
Xam
11:34
Max Fried has looked awfully good out of the pen. Is he offseason trade bait or a key bullpen piece for the Braves next year?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
11:34
Another good example of what teams with lots of arms need to do--figure out which ones can be short-term pen guys and save you from having to go sign a $5M matchup lefty
he's already going to be on the 40-man and you only have 5 Triple-A rotation spots
Clay
11:34
Which International prospects have you drooled over this year?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
11:37
Wouldn't say I drooled over anyone in this class, whereas Wander Franco and Daniel Flores in last year's class were all-time J2 guys in terms of loud tools. Dodgers C Diego Cartaya is an advanced defender with a big arm and some contact skills. Mariners IF Noelvi Marte has advance hit/power tools but isn't big and may be a 2B. Giants SS Marco Luciano has some of the flashy big tools and game performance, which is why he was our top 16 year old.
DJ Tanner
11:38
Any good Javier Baez comp’s in the minors? Guys who can play all over the diamond, don’t have great peripherals (High K’s, low BB), yet get by because they simply are incredibly talented.
AvatarKiley McDaniel
11:39
Minus the infield thing, Cristian Pache. Maybe Isaac Paredes? None have the 80 bat speed of Baez, so I don't like putting their names next to him, but those guys kinda fit what you said minus the player name.
Cole Blaque
11:39
Does Kevin Smith have a little Trevor Story in him?  Middle infielder with some swing-and-miss issues, good power, and good speed.
AvatarKiley McDaniel
11:40
Eh maybe if you really squint, but Smith isn't that dynamic/explosive
J
11:41
Has Elijah Cabell signed with a Juco yet?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
11:41
He's going to FSU. LSU had Zack Hess, Duplantis and Watson return so they didn't have room for him and the whole incoming class--which was tops in the country.
Angelus Novus
11:42
How would a scout grade Blake Snells four pitch arsenal?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
11:42
11:44
Something like 70FB-70CB-60CH with 60 command? Maybe better than that. I don't think we would project those grades on any pitcher in the minors. Like if you took the top 10% of Forrest Whitley or MacKenzie Gore's projections it might be that, maybe top 5%.
Jim
11:44
Do you anticipate Will Smith or Keibert Ruiz having a better MLB bat?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
11:45
We've had Smith over Ruiz for the last year and it sounds like the Dodgers have it that way, as well. Both above defender with above bats and above raw power, but Smith is a better athlete with more loft in his swing
(they're still ranked very closely, tho)
Tvators
11:46
Syndergaard to Padres, Last week's chat Jeff (admittedly off the cuff) said maybe Paddack, Espinosa, Hedges.  That feels real light to me, I  wouldn't expect Tatis, but Noah would have to bring back more than that? What you say?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
11:46
I wouldn't say that's real light, but probably one more solid piece or swap in a top 100-150 prospect for Hedges
Okay there's a ton of Braves questions in here, so I'll go lightning round
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