JotCast | Kiley McDaniel Chat

Kiley McDaniel Chat - 10/16/18

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Kiley McDaniel

2:49

Franco is one of the rare kids that was clearly the best in his age group at like 14 and further is one of the rare ones to still be the best at 17. The tool grades are wacky, something like 70 hit, future 60 raw, 60-70 run, can probably be a 50 at SS, 60 arm

The list of guys that are super elite at 14 and perform at a super elite level in the pros at 17 is reaaaaaly short. Vlad Jr. is another one. These are just rare, every 5-10 year prospects that happen to be in a glut right now

2:51

Juan Soto got the 21st highest bonus in his class, he doesn't even qualify for this and neither does Tatis Jr.

Frank Lyman from Amherst

2:51

Is the Pads system really really good or just really good?

Kiley McDaniel

2:51

Pretty sure it's #1 right now, but I'll have a better answer soon

James

2:51

Jeff Fletcher said that Suarez and Marsh could get the conversation going for Realmuto, does that sound reasonable or is that way too light?

Kiley McDaniel

2:53

Just those two is very light. Archer didn't make the top 50 trade value rankings this year and Realmuto was in the 20's I believe. Glasnow/Meadows/Baz may not get Realmuto, although today, maybe it would.

Hinkie

2:53

Have you heard anything on Yusei Kikuchi? Is he more likely to sign with a west coast team? What kind of contract can he expect?

Kiley McDaniel

2:53

I'm thinking 4 years, 10-15M area, but probably the lower end of that scale given there's a posting fee

Mike

2:54

I just traded Jacob Nottingham for Ross Stripling in my dynasty league. Did I do well?

Kiley McDaniel

2:54

That's a really deep league

Dan

2:55

If Riley Greene hits enough in the spring, can he be a top 5 pick or will the defensive profile limit him? For comparison's sake, was Kyle Tucker seen as a future corner outfielder at the time of the draft?

Kiley McDaniel

2:55

Tucker was seen that way, Greene is comparable but not quite as loose at the plate. I would guess 6-10 for Greene, but right around there.

Ryan

2:55

Buy or Sell: We will see a HS Righty Pitcher go 1-1 within the next 10 years

Kiley McDaniel

2:55

Sell

Eminor3rd

2:56

I heard you guys mention Dennis Sarfate on one of your recent podcasts. Idk if it's terribly interesting, but: He isn't coming over. He just had a legendary season last year and was given a three year contract by Fukuoka. In interviews, he mentioned that he had weighed taking one more stab at the MLB or staying in the NPB, knowing he only had one more contract in him, and chose the NPB. I could be wrong but I think I remember they're paying him like ~$3mm per year, which is a lot for a foreign RP. He's very popular. Also, he missed most of this past season with a pretty serious hip injury. He is expected to be ready to go for the start of the 2019 season. His nickname is "King of Closer" which is not a typo. They don't put an S at the end of "closer." The fans have banners and merchandise that say it. It's great.

Kiley McDaniel

2:56

Well there ya go, one less guy throwing 100 in the big leagues

Kimbrel Questioner

2:57

What value would it take to aquire Edwin Diaz? Groome + Chavis? Asking for a friend.

Kiley McDaniel

2:57

Way more than that. For reference, Archer and Diaz were pretty close on the trade value list, both just missing it.

Rick Hahn

2:57

Rutschman or Baylor catcher better pick? We need a great catcher.

Kiley McDaniel

2:57

Rutschman by a good margin right no

explain

2:58

what's the best way to go about looking for a job at the winter meetings? is there any particular person within an org (dir of baseball ops, farm director, etc) you should target? and is there a less anxiety-provoking way than simply approaching them while they're mingling in a group of people?

Kiley McDaniel

2:58

email them ahead of time and try to find the person that's running the interviews/hiring for the intern jobs that are open

explain

2:58

would an asst GM/farm director be impressed if you approached them and said you were capable of giving a one-paragraph synopsis of each of the team's top 50 prospects (off the top of your head, of course)?

Kiley McDaniel

2:58

not really

Roger

3:00

What good does an MLB pitching coach do? Do teams generally aim for a philosophy for all of their pitchers vs. focusing on the strengths and weaknesses of each one? (Thinking of Chuck Hernandez and some of the criticisms I've read within the Braves' fans community.)

Kiley McDaniel

3:02

MLB hitting/pitching coaches are much more psychologist/babysitter/ego manager/confidence builder, etc. than they are mechanical change artists that are tweaking half the roster at the same time. Players often handle that stuff themselves and ask coaches/video guys for help at times. Players that are performing pretty well generally get left alone and want to be left alone

Mike

3:02

Are there any other notable int'l FAs besides the Mesas and Sandy Gaston? The Red Sox traded for more space on signing day and still have about about 1 million left in space (and could trade up for even more). Do you think that will go unused?

Kiley McDaniel

3:03

It won't go unused, but just spent of a bunch of 50K to 500K types that we generally haven't heard of because they're late-peaking 17-19 year olds or just lower profile 16 year olds. More on that here: https://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/scouting-the-mesa-gaston-workout/

Ybored at work

3:04

CJ Cron had 30 HR and 122 wRC+ last year and probably has no trade value whatsoever. How can that be?

Kiley McDaniel

3:04

R/R 1B/DH coming off a career year, generally peak early, get paid in arb more than they do in the open market in many cases...not a good type of player to be

well, right now. maybe that will change

RickDickNick

3:05

Going forward, is Tyler O'Neil regular corner OF, or a bench-bat with power?

Kiley McDaniel

3:05

He was top 100 for us, comfortably, for the last 12 months at least

so, regular

maybe well above average

Andrew

3:05

I know the draft is 8 months away, but is Rutschmann more of Bryce Harper prohibitive favorite to go 1-1 or more like a Brady Singer that could easily fall?

Kiley McDaniel

3:05

Between Singer and Harper in terms of consensus-ness and odds he'll fall

3:06

Singer was one of the lowest-rated consensus preseason #1s

3:06

are teams now looking to hire scouts who *are* fluent in the exit velo and spin rate data?

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