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Kiley McDaniel Chat - 11/21/18
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AvatarKiley McDaniel
11:29
and landed on $34 million in prospects for $35-50 million in Paxton
which almost exactly matches the perception of the deal, which is "acceptable/fine, but lower than we expected given that a bunch of teams were showing interest"
and Craig pointed out how it matched in the Archer/PIT deal as well
11:30
Teams are necessarily doing this exact calculation, but more than a few are doing a version of it and some less analytically-inclined one are using past deals as markers, but the past deals match this framework
so there's a reason these deals broadly fit into this context, often the same way your snap reaction gut feel would evaluate it
11:31
And this week's podcast, likely getting posted today, we have Craig on for one segment to explain it, then Meg for another to talk about the more icky implications of putting dollar amounts on humans, etc. that this does
Stevie the TV
11:31
When will you be reproducing
AvatarKiley McDaniel
11:31
Ah, the holidays with family
Pip
11:31
Does Mason Denaburg have a chance to move into the top 100 next season if he puts up decent numbers? Is the stuff already good enough?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
11:32
Yes, he likely would've been higher on draft/current rankings if he didn't miss time with an injury in the spring. Comparable to current top 100 guys
Somewhere 140-175 right now
Hamantha
11:32
I’m in the market for a meat based product that I can use in the bathroom. Thoughts?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
11:32
Could I interest you in Jon Hamm's John Ham?
Purple Mays Haze
11:33
What are somme of the factors to project a hit tool grade on a 16 year old? Quick bat, quiet mechanics? For someone given a 20/50, what do they need to do to get to the 50?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
11:34
Bat speed, mechanics, consistency, quality of at bats. Obviously tougher with everything in flux and limited ABs
David
11:34
Kiley never put on oakley blades again, please.
AvatarKiley McDaniel
11:35
Only for comedic effect. Well, these days it's only for comedic effect. I had my Guy Fieri days.
TJ
11:35
For a current college player looking to work in an MLB front office at the conclusion of my career, would you recommend getting a master's degree in a technical field such as statistics? Or would simply learning R/SQL on my own likely be good enough?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
11:36
masters in stats would help, R/SQL before you first job would help more
Will
11:37
Paxton seemed like a perfect trade target for the Braves. Do you see them in the market for a Patrick Corbin type of free agent?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
11:37
Paxton does fit what they seem to be looking for, sounds like they made a healthy offer. Corbin fits as a player, but for the contract I think it's unlikely
David
11:38
Are you excited for Dipoto's annual thanksgiving eve trade?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
11:38
I assume he's at Carrie Mathieson/Pepe Silvia levels of research on the walls in Safeco
Purple Mays Haze
11:39
Instead of protecting the 'best' players for the 40 man, how much hiding players do clubs do? e.g. not sending guys to AFL to pretend they're not in high regard, etc.
AvatarKiley McDaniel
11:40
If a Rule 5 eligible guy played in short season and was injured some/tough to see is the guy you hide. Almost everyone else has been seen enough that hiding them is just telling other teams that you like them
Al Killeu
11:41
Best thanksgiving cockatil
AvatarKiley McDaniel
11:41
You know I'm living that PSL
Tumbler, Whiskey
11:43
Thank you, Kiley (you don't have to post this)
AvatarKiley McDaniel
11:43
Compliments get posted!
Hey offseason its me ya boy
11:43
Is it probable that Austin Hays will bounce back given he has a healthy 2019?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
11:43
Likely to be better next year, yes. Some bad luck and snowballing
Efrim
11:43
"Acuna or no deal" still seems to be happening in talks with Realmuto if you listen to some.
AvatarKiley McDaniel
11:43
hosted by Howie Mandel
Jart
11:43
Should fans of all competitive non-NYY teams be mad that their teams didn't match or beat that package for Paxton?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
11:44
In general, yeah. Any specific team may have and SEA just felt like this was the best of similar deals
Robin
11:44
You mentioned bat speeds. Does this include vampire bats
AvatarKiley McDaniel
11:45
This one was definitely from one of the family members sitting in the room with me rn
Kareem O’Weet
11:45
Choose between Carrie Underwood and Shania Twain. QUICK
AvatarKiley McDaniel
11:45
I choose the MERICAN
Lola Beedow
11:46
Favorite minor league baseball team, purely based on mascots?
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