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Kiley McDaniel Chat - 11/6/19
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Ryan
12:38
If the Red Sox were offered one of Austin Riley, Jonathan India, Nick Madrigal, Nolan Gorman, or Drew Waters as a main piece for Mookie Betts, and they knew he was intent on free agency, should they accept?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
12:38
You have to see the rest of the offer, but those are reasonable starting points if they're shopping him. He wants to be an FA unless you overpay now, which I can't see Chaim doing.
Winston
12:39
Do you think Klentak is playoffs or bust with his job on the line this year? Would a package of Bohm/Howard for Mookie and completely drain the farm be on the table?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
12:40
No because there's way to show progress, win 90 games and miss the playoffs. The binary analysis is usually not the best rubric for these things. I can't see them doing that since both very well could be 2020 contributors with 13.5 years of control. It would be very short sighted. If both were 19 in A-Ball, it would make more sense.
Sean
12:40
Could Antonio Cabello jump up to 50 FV next year, or has that ship sailed?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
12:41
We anticipated that happening this year and he hasn't fundamentally changed, so still very possible
Nate
12:41
As a writer on a website, how do you manage your time between writing all your various lists, creating pods, seeing live baseball and doing chats. Need some advice on how to spend my time.
AvatarKiley McDaniel
12:42
I mean it's not easy and there's a couple other projects you aren't mentioning. Mainly, prioritizing things by importance and then moving things up that are due in the short term is about all I can offer. I am not a productivity wizard with one crazy secret to solve your problem and one app that changed my life.
Maybe I should be? Can I monetize being annoying?
Have I already done this?
Craigy
12:43
With Chris Gittens exit data, disciplined approach and opposite field power could he be an option for the Yankees next year?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
12:43
Massive raw, but not clear he's better than the 4A 1B types they've been kicking around in recent years (McBroom, Cooper, old version of Voit, etc.)
Purple Mays Haze
12:43
Any idea of timing of 2020 Board update?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
12:44
It's basically done now, just some minor shuffling and adding names on the back before it's "announced"
took Savino off last night
Ben in SoDak
12:44
How do you view J2 guys in rankings? Recent experiences like Wander and Vladdy give positive feeling to ranking someone like Jasson high, but we've also recently seen situations like Maitan.
AvatarKiley McDaniel
12:44
I mean that's about the hit rate of elite draft picks, too.
WashedKing
12:45
What is the most overrated "prospect type" you see ranked? i.e glove first middle infielder, bat first left fielder, etc.
AvatarKiley McDaniel
12:47
Not sure there is a clear one. We've seen some examples of the tools+stats hitters that have an approach that may not work vs. MLB pitching being overrated in our opinions (Lewis Brinson, Monte Harrison, Luis Robert) and I think the crazy stats pitcher with fringe stuff is probably overrated because people think there's two dozen Kyle Hendricks or Glavines in the minors, but magically getting more stuff (Spencer Howard, Shane Bieber, Kolby Allard) changes that profile, so you can't really throw those guys in the trash with all the velo training guys are doing.
brad
12:47
Kiley, do you see Deivi Garcia holding up to a SP workload?  what is his upside SP2/3?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
12:47
I could see him throwing 150-175 IP a few times, but wouldn't count on that perennially
Purple Mays Haze
12:47
From a Player Development standpoint, is there anything that (you are aware of) that teams do to help improve a pitcher's "third time through the order" penalty? Is it just 'add a pitch'?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
12:48
That doesn't really do it, because most MLB pitchers with a big TTO effect have three average or better pitches and slowly bring them out throughout the game. There isn't much you can do, aside from maybe having an extra velo gear late in starts that you save...though that would probably effect your early-in-game performance.
12:49
It's a combination of less stuff, less command via fatigue and the hitters having seen you twice, likely having seen all three pitches.
....
12:49
Why would anyone want to chat with you?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
12:49
mom, let's keep this over text going forward thx
Ryno
12:49
Who is your sleeper team to have a big offseason? Texas moving into a new stadium? Toronto adding some pieces to the young core? Tampa cashing in their depth for controllable MLB talent?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
12:50
Depends what "big offseason" means to you? Lots of guaranteed money handed out to FA? Lots of moves in total? Improves their team a lot?
Idiot person
12:50
Just curious, what is the offseason schedule for recent draftees? Like when do instructs start and either before or after, do the teams give them free reign to do whatever as long as they stay in shape? I'm pretty sure I've seen a recently highly drafted guy at my gym as he looks like the prospect and the HS is in the area (as in 5mins from the gym) and I've seen him as recent as a couple days ago mostly just messing around playing basketball and doing ab/core work and it got me curious.
AvatarKiley McDaniel
12:51
Instructs are late Sept to Oct, then guys are on their own until late Feb/March for spring training. The smart teams give guys detailed plans and workout regimens to do on their own and check in on them in person in the offseason to check in on progress. That's not every team or even every prospect on good teams.
12:52
And some guys prefer just doing active stuff without a lot of baseball-specific or gym-intensive things to keep loose. Makes more sense for pitchers since bulk can often be bad.
The People
12:52
We want new episodes of the Unt. McDongenhagen Project and we want them now!
AvatarKiley McDaniel
12:52
New podcast project and new other project will be announced later this month!
Jorge
12:52
Do you think the braves moves with flowers and markakis constitute a circumvention of salary “cap” rules and will mlb do anything about it?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
12:54
No, teams do this sometimes, tho it isn't often. Put an oddly-designed option with a buyout on a deal knowing that lets you take this one week exclusive rights situation and either pick up option (2020 payroll only) or decline option/pay buyout (2019 payroll only) and sign lower deal. If you're up against it on payroll and you save money for the stretch run in 2019 and never spend it...this is a way to roll that money over. It's good planning, really.
TJ
12:54
Most of the baseball ops jobs I’ve seen posted are internships, not full time jobs. Do teams really expect someone with an MBA and demonstrated experience working with R and SQL to turn down an 80k per year consulting job in order to take an internship? I came into this process expecting lower pay up front but not even being able to find a full time job to apply for is another thing
AvatarKiley McDaniel
12:55
The market allows for it, so the teams expect it. It's not common to fire a baseball ops sub-director level staffer unless there's a clear fit issue and/or change of direction in the office, so they like to have a year or more with potential full-time hires. And there's a seemingly endless pit of consulting jobs, but very few front office jobs. I'm sure you learned about supply and demand in school!
Joe H
12:56
Hearing anything about changes the Braves are making to their player development and scouting departments?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
12:57
Sounds like PD will have some new blood at the director level, amateur scouting sounds like it'll stay the same as last year, int'l probably gets more staff with the bonus pool restrictions coming off soon.
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