JotCast | Kiley McDaniel Chat

Kiley McDaniel Chat - 2/27/19

Kiley McDaniel

12:15

Hello from ATL, perched on the couch with Scout on her bed, keeping an eye out for chipmunks to chase. To your questions:

Finally Happy Padres Fan

12:15

Please tell me the Padres won't be upstaged with an LA Bryce Harper signing. PLEASE!

Kiley McDaniel

12:16

Sounds like some California clubs are taking a long look. Time to get in the bidding, Oakland!

Darren

12:16

Draft question: how would you describe the plate discipline of Witt and Abrams?

Kiley McDaniel

12:16

Abrams about average, Witt maybe a hair below, but they're pretty close

Adam

12:17

Are we far enough away from the 2016 draft to say that the Padres executed their plethora of picks and pool space poorly?

Kiley McDaniel

12:21

Kinda depends how you look at it. Lauer and Lucchesi are already big leaguers, Potts/Lawson should be solid, Quantrill/Reed are probably role player types. Rumor was they wanted Groome in the Potts spot and he would've gotten some of the Thompson/Lawson money.

You could go thru every draft and play what-if (in this draft, that would be Alex Kirilloff, Taylor Trammell, Carter Kieboom, Bo Bichette, Gavin Lux and Nolan Jones) but I'd say this is solid-average execution so far, chance to be above average.

Owen

12:21

What are the early returns on Zack Thompson?

Kiley McDaniel

12:22

2019 draft lefty at Kentucky. Has come out strong so far, I'll probably track him down in the next month or so. He's got mid-1st round ability but has never put stuff, command and healthy together for more than a start or two in his whole career, so bulk of solid performance is a big factor for him

Ian

12:22

Kiley please don't leave us I'm scared

Kiley McDaniel

12:22

I'm having too much fun.

Not chatting with you guys, to be clear, just in general.

Josh Nelson

12:23

Bryson Stott is off to a good start. Is Abrams/Witt ceiling too high for Stott to pass them up on Draft SS rankings?

Kiley McDaniel

12:24

If he goes nuts, he could go top 3. Looks like he can play SS and has 50-55 raw power and hit last spring. UNLV is also hitter-friendly, so teams round down on the stats there, which hurt Kyle Isbel last year.

Mike

12:24

What are your thoughts on a team like the Red Sox loading up on six figure IFAs rather than spending big on a few higher profile IFAs. The strategies of the Yankees and Red Sox seem to be quite different over the past year.

Kiley McDaniel

12:25

There isn't a correct answer, obviously since the top 10 guys in any given class always has a few six figure types and usually at least one low six figure type. If you can consistently create value from those kinds of bonuses (and ideally have 2 DSL clubs to house them all) then that's probably better than being in the super competitive big bonus space where you're locking up 14 year olds with more incomplete information

or less complete

12:25

now that Jeff is a Ray, congrats on becoming the only Fangraphs chat host willing to entertain my shitty trade proposals

Kiley McDaniel

12:26

You guys are like the court jesters and I'm like the tyrant king? Sorry, been watching Game of Thrones the last couple weeks for the first time.

MaineBall

12:26

Did you and Eric update the individual tool/pitch grades for each player on THE BOARD! this past update or only the players like Kirby who jumped up?

Kiley McDaniel

12:26

Went thru them all as each list was written

12:27

and every now and then there's a mistake or a guy that slipped thru the cracks, raw/game power grades are flipped or what have you. Quick twitter/chat question about any specific one and it'll get answered/addressed

Cove Dweller

12:27

Why would the MLB propose a rule to reduce the September roster size?

Kiley McDaniel

12:30

Well the cynical answer is there'd be like 10 less players per team so 1/6 of the league minimum, which is something like 900k - 1M in salary for guys who essentially aren't playing

12:31

So yeah, I'd go with the cynical answer since it doesn't hurt much, other than more pitching changes and quality of play drops a bit, but that's only for non-contenders with lower attendance in September anyway

12:32

So saving $1M and service time and saying it's about pace of play seems like a good idea for the owners

John

12:33

How is Josh Jung's name pronounced? I've heard it pronounced as "young" and the same way as Carl Jung ("yoong"). Which is it?

Kiley McDaniel

12:33

I believe it's Young

Lou

12:33

With Dave Cameron, August, Cistulli, and now Sullivan gone, will Fangraphs become the Joe Piscopo SNL years or will it continue the greatness like the Dana Carvey SNL years?

Kiley McDaniel

12:34

Eric and I have been pushing to bring back NotGraphs, so probably more Piscopo

12:35

If we were to re-draft the 2018 MLB draft class.. Which player do you think would be drafted much higher than he initially was?

Kiley McDaniel

12:35

Nolan Gorman is the main one

12:36

Xavier Edwards was overpaid to get to where he did, but he'd probably go higher than even his bonus. Daniel Lynch, Grant Lavigne, Jordyn Adams also, in that order

12:37

Some later ones: Owen White, Jeremiah Jackson, Cole Roederer, Jeremy Eierman, Josiah Gray, Jarren Duran

12:38

We had about half of those players rated well ahead of where they went, too, so I feel like our pre-draft rankings were solid

Connor

12:38

ETA on Rangers list?

Kiley McDaniel

12:38

A's are next and go this week, then HOU/TEX/SEA after that, more in the order they get finished, since they're all in progress. I would guess next week

Big Al Avila

12:40

Kiley, who would you target at pick 5 if you were me? Thx

Kiley McDaniel

12:40

If I had to guess what our top tier will be on draft day, I will say this:

1. Adley Rutschman, C, Oregon State
2. C.J. Abrams, SS, HS - GA
3. Andrew Vaughn, 1B, California
4. Bobby Witt, SS, HS - TX
5. Bryson Stott, SS, UNLV
6. Kameron Misner, RF, Missouri

12:41

Which isn't that different than what we have right now, but I'm guessing which guys we need more evidence for to move up/down end up showing this spring

Load More Messages

Connecting…

Your current subscriptions

None

E-mail Address	Chat Owner	Status	Remove

Enter your email address to be notified when Kiley McDaniel hosts a chat