JotCast | Kiley McDaniel Chat - 5/1/19

Kiley McDaniel Chat - 5/1/19

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Kiley McDaniel

12:06

Hello from ATL! I'm living in a writer's personal hell today as there's 8 people installing a new roof and they're all banging as hard as they can for going on 5 hours now. Scout is slowly adapting to being in the climactic scene of a Matrix movie but is still sitting next to me in case something goes down.

12:08

We're getting into the stretch run for the draft and ___ guy won't get to pick ___ is getting a little more concrete. The draft rankings for every class (https://www.fangraphs.com/prospects/the-board/2019-mlb-draft?sort=-1,1...) are getting updated daily and here's last week's mock for those interested in such things (https://blogs.fangraphs.com/mock-draft-1-0-the-top-ten/). And lastly, here's your draft order/pools (https://blogs.fangraphs.com/2019-mlb-draft-signing-bonus-pool-and-pick...).

12:16

My tentative weekend game plans look doomed by weather, so I may stay local this weekend around SEC country. I'll go get at least one of the two games CJ Abrams is playing Thursday and next week will likely be making a run in North Carolina. After that I should be able to get the Luis Robert/Cristian Pache/Drew Waters series in Birmingham.

12:17

Sorry, had to step away to deal with the source of that noise

to your questions!

A big dumb idiot

12:17

See my username, but is there any changes to one's opinion of Cavan Biggio with him demolishing AAA?

Kiley McDaniel

12:17

Eric just saw that club and didn't think anything had changed materially on Biggio

Greg

12:20

Austin Riley's struck out 29.3% of the time in 324 PAs in Triple A last year. So far in 103 PAs, that's down to 21.4%. Is that sample size substantial enough to be taken seriously? Also, have you heard anything about his performance?

Kiley McDaniel

12:20

I got one game where he went off, but from asking around it sounds like he's done a better job staying shorter to the ball than he has in the past

Jack

12:20

when's the next mock draft?

Kiley McDaniel

12:21

When the info is fresh enough that we need a new take on it. Sounds like 1-3 will be projected the same until draft time and I don't have much more clarity on 4-10 right now, some stuff 11 and beyond

Brady

12:21

Do you think the tigers pick in the draft comes down to JJ Bleday & Riley Greene??

Kiley McDaniel

12:21

I think those may be the two guys they are highest on that are also on the board, unless Miami takes Bleday at 4

Josh Nelson

12:21

Nick Lodolo has hit a rough patch in his last 3 starts (17 IP, 8 ER, 12 K to 4 BB). Is there a concern here, and does it open the possibility of Alek Manoah being draft before Lodolo?

Kiley McDaniel

12:22

Zack Thompson at Kentucky has been good lately, Manoah has been solid and Lodolo hasn't been so good. Thompson's elbow issues likely keep him from going first of that group, but he could be a Kyle Freeland issue where he goes where he belongs on talent and just signs for below slot.

Jim

12:23

I saw you recently post about Hunter Barco. Where do you see Hunter Barco's ceiling in draft?

Kiley McDaniel

12:24

Sounds like he's in that Joey Wentz area roughly speaking, where he could go for around slot in the 15-25 area or overslot in the comp round.

Crime Dog

12:24

LSU's Josh Smith seems to be in the mold of a lot of the Rays recent MIF picks. Any chance he can stay at SS or is he 2B all the way?

Kiley McDaniel

12:24

Some think SS, feels like 2B/3B is more likely but yes that is exactly the type TB targets.

el Guapo

12:27

Any chance you guys could add an age filter on the MiLB leaderboard? Same way you filter the levels. It seems there is a big difference between a 110 wrc+ at AA from a 25 year old and a 20 year old.

Kiley McDaniel

12:27

I'll pass this along to Sean

CASHMONEY

12:27

Deivi Garcia is 19 and in double A, lot of walks but the strikeout rate is absurd. Do you think he can hold up as a starter or the Yanks put him in the bullpen and he becomes a mini Betances in the bullpen?

Kiley McDaniel

12:27

The common opinion is it's a 150-180 IP starter at best, maybe more like a McCullers/Rich Hill, but definitely a useful big leaguer

Jennifer

12:29

Loved your top 10 mock! Who would be your pick for the Blue Jays in that scenario?

Kiley McDaniel

12:30

Don't have a ton of dope on their preferences there, but the leading candidates would be the four referenced in the article (Jung, Busch, Carroll, Thompson) as top 10 candidates that didn't make the mock. I think they are leaning college and Jung would be my best guess.

Chimmy Chonga

12:32

Jasson Dominguez' prospect ranking mid-season 2020 is what...

Kiley McDaniel

12:33

We've heard some very bullish accounts from clubs that think he should go comfortably in the top 100 the moment he signs. Wander Franco went in the 101-132 area when he signed and I think that's about as high as 16 year old have been put in recent memory.

Roger

12:34

Hi Kiley - have you heard anything on Edward Cabrera? I've heard various things noting improved command and improved feel for the change

Kiley McDaniel

12:35

Actually ran into Cabrera in a random FSL day game a few weeks ago. 94-96 FB, 77-80 CB, 89-91 CH. Obviously CH was too firm, I thought it was a two-seam with occasional plus sink, breaker was average to a hair above, feel was okay but still more thrower than pitcher.

Al Avila

12:36

Odds Andrew Vaughn falls to Detroit? He'd be a perfect elixir for what the system is lacking.

Kiley McDaniel

12:36

Unlikely but not impossible. Maybe 5%?

Gumby Johnson

12:36

Y'all have Brett Baty in the top 20 which I agree with but I've seen him a good bit further down in others, is there a chance he's actually there for teams in the late first? Feels like it should be unlikely to me

Kiley McDaniel

12:37

Don't think he gets past 20-22 or so. Some see 60 hit/power and he can shockingly play 3B pretty well for a guy his size. There's some Nolan Gorman/Austin Riley in there.

another bad dynasty manager

12:38

I used to work in construction...odd that your roofers are making so much noise. Most roofers now use nail guns which make a lot less noise. Are they tearing off the plywood too?

Kiley McDaniel

12:38

Had to tear off the two previous roofs and replace some decking, which I think they just wrapped up, so now comes the easy part?

Mike

12:38

Who are the known "hard signs" from the HS ranks who demand way more than your current ranking on your BOARD?

Kiley McDaniel

12:41

Rumors are $4M+ on Jack Leiter, sounds like Spencer Jones will be $2M+, Jerrion Ealy is probably about $2M. There's some prep arms we have at the bottom of the 40's or 35+'s that are $1.5M or more. Blake Walston also sounds like he'll be overslot if he gets outside of the comp round. Brett Thomas sounds like he'll be a good bit over $1M. Tre Fletcher should be tough after the first day. Vanderbilt looks well positioned to get a couple more studs on campus again, since they have half the guys I just mentioned and a couple others on the board with a big number.

Hunter Hayes

12:42

Someone told me you're my doppelganger..You must "want crazy"

Kiley McDaniel

12:42

I've heard this rumor but not sure I buy it

Lilith

12:42

Likelihood that Abrams is there at 7 for the Reds? How about Bleday?

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