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Kiley McDaniel Chat - 5/16/18

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Kiley McDaniel

12:03

Hello everyone, a couple quick plugs for the new @FG_Prospects twitter account and yesterday's mock draft: https://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/2018-mlb-mock-draft-v-2-0/ and of course THE BOARD, which will be updated shortly https://www.fangraphs.com/scoutboard.aspx

Peter

12:03

What'd you think of Muller the other day? What does he project as? #4?

Kiley McDaniel

12:05

Saw Florida/St. Lucie yesterday with Kyle Muller and Justin Dunn pitching, included some notes on twitter and Cristian Pache video @kileymcd if you're interested in that. Muller now appears to be essentially what was expected out of HS: low 90's touch 95, solid avg offspeed that could be 55's along with starter command and a sturdy frame with some projection. Still young enough that things can still change a bit, but he's fully recovered from a rocky 2017. Also has easy plus raw power he'll get to use in Double-A.

Foolish Child

12:05

is Bart’s floor the Mets at 6?

Kiley McDaniel

12:06

I think it's probably 5/CIN but yeah maybe 6/NYM, right around there.

Jimmy

12:06

Do you buy or sell the Dodgers missing the playoffs ?

Kiley McDaniel

12:07

BUY it's much closer to a coinflip now but people are treating them like their done, so I'm scooping up those Dodgers shares on the cheap

I am very much excited for BUY or SELL today

Jimmy

12:07

Do you buy or sell the dbacks re-signing Goldscmidt when free agent ?

Kiley McDaniel

12:08

SELL fans will want him back but doesn't feel like something this front office would do, paying huge money to a first baseman that will be turning 32 when he becomes a free agent

Rob

12:08

I have no basis to question it but thought it was interesting that Nander De Sedas didn't make the mock. Does he go to school? Or sign an overslot deal in the 2nd round? Other?

Kiley McDaniel

12:09

I think he'll go to school. Don't love shining a spotlight on high school kids that have had a tough spring, but he's one. Sounds like his stock is 4th-5th and his expectations are probably much higher.

Bork

12:09

Is Cavan Biggio legit?

Kiley McDaniel

12:10

Talked to a guy that saw him recently and he thinks he's a solid piece, but it's fringy at 2B, more corner utility fit and is lifting the ball now so there's more offensive upside but hard to see as everyday. I can already feel Jays fans being mad that I'm saying this but hey you found a real prospect outside the top few rounds so feel good

Mike

12:11

How much longer realistically can the Jay's keep Vlad Jr. In the minors and do you think they skip him over AAA. Also any concerns about Bo Bichette's evaporation of slugging at A+ and now AA+, has his bat wrap been exploited by better pitching.

Kiley McDaniel

12:12

From what I can gather, the Jays (and everyone with eyes) can see there isn't much to gain from staying in AAA, but they want to motivate him to try harder at 3B, where he can be something approaching average in the short term, but he's never really seemed to care that much about defense, for some obvious reasons. This is why we projected him to 1B just because this doesn't feel like the longterm home even if he could choose to be serviceable there with more focus and keeping the body where it is.

12:13

Also, I mentioned this last week, but we'll be updating his present hit/power grades now, since I'm not sure anything thought he'd be doing this well right now in a first look at Double-A with not exactly warm weather. And I confirmed that he's hit three balls 117 mph this year so that's pretty good.

Tom

12:14

Matthew liberatore has a chance for 4 plus and plus command? Is that unrealistic?

Kiley McDaniel

12:15

Eh yeah probably. There's a chance for 3 plus and plus command but even that would be pushing it a bit. I think the 75-90% outcome/realistic upside is something like 60 FB, 65 CB, 55 CH, 50 SL, 55 CMD.

The Candy Man

12:15

Sean Hjelle, thoughts on him?

Kiley McDaniel

12:16

We're probably going to be the low ones on him. Low 90's fastball extreme plane obviously being 6'11, offspeed is average but sometimes is below, command is average to a little above, just more of a backend strike thrower groundball type than a mid rotation guy with anything close to an outpitch. We'll probably have him late 2nd round and he'll probably go comp to early 2nd.

Peter

12:17

Do you see any MN HS kids in the next few years being drafted?

Kiley McDaniel

12:19

RHP Seth Halvorsen is the big name for this year, but he's in that not-sure-where-he-goes area since I don't know his asking price. For 2019, RHP Will Frisch has some buzz and for 2020 SS Mac Horvath may be the best of those three. Sam Carlson's little brother Max is also on the radar for 2020.

OddBall Herrera

12:19

To your knowledge is there any player in the minors who is so bad defensively that he wouldn't be the best defensive player on your average beer league softball team? I am guessing the answer is "No, even a rookie league washout is probably the best player you'd ever be on a field with"

Kiley McDaniel

12:19

That is correct

Larry

12:20

I know we're only a little over a month into the minor league season, but any word on Cristian Pache's season? The numbers show more power this year, hoping seeing him in person shows the same.

Kiley McDaniel

12:20

Saw him yesterday, think this will answer most of your question

Braves CF Cristian Pache is our 37th-ranked prospect in baseball and he took some not so great hacks today, then hi… twitter.com/i/web/status/9…

(there's a video to his best swing of the day in the tweet)

Chicago White Sox

12:20

How would you compare scouting grades of Madrigal & India? Stats wise India has clearly been the superior player this year with the bat, but that obviously only tells a small part of the story.

Kiley McDaniel

12:21

India, for me, is 50 hit, 50 game power (55 raw), 50-55 glove, 55 arm. Probably 3B only, but you could try him at 2B, emergency only at SS

and 50 run

12:22

Madrigal is 60 hit, 40-45 game power, 60-70 run, 50 arm, 60 glove at 2B, chance to be average at SS if he gets more reps there but not a slam dunk. And the power could turn into 50 and the hit could turn into 70 depending on what sort of swing/approach he uses

12:23

You could still argue Madrigal is the best prospect in the draft and, for me, India isn't in the top 10.

Mr. Fister

12:23

What are your thoughts on Walker Buehler thus far? I'm assuming that the Dodgers have an innings cap in mind, and that is why we won't be seeing many 6+ inning starts?

Kiley McDaniel

12:23

And I think they lean more to the camp of not going third time thru the order particularly with rookies. Electric stuff, fun to watch, as advertised

Tim

12:24

As a Pirates fan, who should I be happy with at pick 10? I'm hoping they get Liberatore, Stewart, or Kelenic. Is that reasonable?

Kiley McDaniel

12:24

Heard yesterday they are on Grayson Rodriguez as well. Yeah, you should get a shot at at least one of those

Butts

12:24

Hearing anything with the ChiSox on India? Is he still an under-slot candidate at 4? Or has his rise played himself into slot value if selected that high?

Kiley McDaniel

12:25

Only team in the top 10 we've heard seriously considering him is 6/NYM

Hinkie

12:25

Is Alec Bohm a 3Bman for the long term ?

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